Mr N. McParlan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (63 rides).
The record is strongest at Perth (17.1%, n=41), clear of the rider's 6.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.7% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.99). S McParlan supplies 23% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (17.5%, n=63). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 1.9% over 104 rides, 5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2018, £41,972). The standout partner of the record: Mount Colah (IRE) — 9 wins from 37 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,074 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,074 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2005 to 15 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr N. McParlan's strike rate?
- Mr N. McParlan has won 68 of 987 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mr N. McParlan do best at?
- Perth by strike rate: 7 wins from 41 rides (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mr N. McParlan ride most for?
- S McParlan, with 225 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (6.7%).
- Is Mr N. McParlan in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mr N. McParlan's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 986 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.