What is Mr P Roche's strike rate?

Mr P Roche has won 28 of 356 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr P Roche do best at?

Punchestown by strike rate: 7 wins from 53 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mr P Roche ride most for?

C Roche, with 114 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.6%).

What is Mr P Roche's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 356 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr P Roche

356 rides in the lifetime window · 255 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

28–356

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=356

80 (23%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=356 · 0.77 incl. margin

−138.07

£1 level stake

n=356 at SP · −38.8%

£256k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (74 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 356 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 13.5% C Roche: 9.6% from 114 Claiming: 8.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Punchestown (13.2%, n=53), clear of the rider's 7.9% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 13.5% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.67). C Roche supplied 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2% over 51 rides, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.64 across 104 rides (3.8% strike, −39.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.1%−1.8

n=246 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −118.45

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−7.9

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.5%+5.6

n=74 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +2.50

When favourite

33.3%

n=18 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −0.32

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.2

n=346 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −128.07

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.9%−1.0

n=247 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −70.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.9

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 2% vs 7.9% · n=51

With horses switching code 13% vs 7.9% · n=69

At Punchestown 13.2% vs 7.9% · n=53

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 3.8% vs 7.9% · n=104

In Hurdle races 4.2% vs 7.9% · n=48

Over 1m5f – 2m 10.5% vs 7.9% · n=228

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

NH Flat 239 23 9.6% −102.57

Flat 52 3 5.8% −16.50

Hurdle 48 2 4.2% −2.00

Chase 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 129 13 10.1% −46.75

Heavy 79 8 10.1% +1.50

Good 75 4 5.3% −55.32

Good to Soft 28 0 0% −28.00

Good to Firm 27 2 7.4% +5.00

Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00

Firm 7 1 14.3% −3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 53 7 13.2% +12.00

Wexford 25 4 16% +8.00

Fairyhouse 20 0 0% −20.00

Naas 19 2 10.5% −12.75

Galway 19 1 5.3% −7.00

Cork 18 1 5.6% −12.00

Gowran Park 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Navan 17 2 11.8% −2.00

Limerick 16 0 0% −16.00

Leopardstown 16 3 18.8% +17.75

Kilbeggan 14 0 0% −14.00

Listowel 13 2 15.4% +9.00

Down Royal 12 0 0% −12.00

Roscommon 12 0 0% −12.00

Clonmel 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 24 7 29.2% 1.26 −2.82

2nd–3rd fav 67 10 14.9% 1.06 −21.25

4th–6th fav 95 7 7.4% 1.05 −30.00

7th+ in betting 170 4 2.4% 0.80 −84.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

72.3% completed · 65 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 17 35.3% 3 1 5 1 1

Hurdle 48 85.4% 1 1 4 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Clarkey (IRE) 5 0 0 26 Jul 12

Silver Canyon (IRE) 5 1 2 16 Jun 11

Hairy O'malley (IRE) 4 1 2 2 Feb 14

Ross Bay (IRE) 4 1 4 27 Oct 10

Eyelash Island (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Mar 10

Wise Oscar (IRE) 4 0 3 11 Sep 09

Jossestown Lad (IRE) 4 0 1 26 Oct 08

Deep Determination (IRE) 3 0 2 17 May 13

Limerickurmylady (IRE) 3 0 1 17 Mar 13

Out Of Sight (IRE) 3 0 0 20 May 11

Golden Ticket (AUS) 3 1 2 18 May 11

Tornado Bob (IRE) 3 1 2 14 May 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 255 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

259105893769108

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC Roche

32% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.97

TrainerRWSR£1

C Roche 114 11 9.6% −25.87

Conor O'Dwyer 39 3 7.7% −7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£404k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sweeps Hill (NZ) — Kilternan INH (Pro/Am) Flat Race Leopardstown · Dec 2008

£10,365

Clogher Lass (GB) — M.j.Carroll Hardware Arro Centenary Flat Race (Div 1) Listowel · Sep 2008

£10,020

Dando's Express (IRE) — Spectra Photo Labs Flat Race Listowel · Sep 2008

£10,020

Notable horses

Charyan (IRE) Back Me Up (IRE) Innbrodericksbar (IRE) Silver Canyon (IRE) Golden Aran (IRE) Ross Bay (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Flemensfirth (USA) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Presenting (GB) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Bob Back (USA) 36.4% · 4–11

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).

High Chaparral (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 522 · newest first

The latest 50 of 522 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 6 April 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Apr 17 Limerick Alice Johnston (IRE)T: C Roche Kevin Mcmanus Bookmaker Champion (pro/am) Flat Race (listed)16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 33/1

27 Oct 16 Clonmel Neddyvaughan (IRE)T: C Roche Powerstown Demesne (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Good · 17 ran 2nd 10/1

13 Sep 16 Listowel Act In Time (IRE)T: C Roche Kerry Petroleum Flat Race16f · Heavy · 13 ran 11th 5/2F

14 Apr 16 Limerick Coolfree (IRE)T: C Roche Racing Again At Limerick April 23rd Flat Race16f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 7/1

12 Mar 16 Limerick Brooklynn (IRE)T: C Roche Cheltenham Crazy Prices At Coral.ie (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 16/1

31 Dec 15 Punchestown Open To The World (IRE)T: C Roche Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Heavy · 21 ran 19th 20/1

27 Sep 15 Curragh Park Ranger (IRE)T: C Roche Manguard Plus Amateur Derby (Q.R.) Handicap (50-85)12f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 15th 16/1

08 Nov 14 Naas The Big Apple (IRE)T: C Roche Go Racing In Kildare Membership 2015 (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 5/2J

19 Sep 14 Listowel Good Decision (IRE)T: C Roche John Francis (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 18 ran RR 20/1

02 May 14 Punchestown Barossa Pearl (IRE)T: Noel Meade Irish Thoroughbred Breeders Association Fillies Scheme Fillies Premier Bumper17f · Good To Yielding · 25 ran 10th 40/1

30 Apr 14 Punchestown History (IRE)T: J T Gorman O'Reilly Recruitment Flat Race18f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 11th 50/1

30 Mar 14 Limerick Off The Mark (IRE)T: C Roche Kevin Mcmanus Bookmaker Champion (pro/am) Flat Race (listed)16f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 2/1

16 Mar 14 Navan Illusion Of Time (IRE)T: C Roche Navan Race Members (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 5th 20/1

02 Mar 14 Leopardstown Off The Mark (IRE)T: C Roche Killiney (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 9/4

20 Feb 14 Clonmel Illusion Of Time (IRE)T: C Roche Powerstown Flat Race16.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 25/1

20 Feb 14 Clonmel Castle Lantern (IRE)T: C Roche Bishop Auckland Theatre Hooligans (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 6/1

02 Feb 14 Punchestown Hairy O'malley (IRE)T: C Roche Goffs Punchestown Festival Invitational Sale (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 9/4

24 Nov 13 Navan Whisper Rock (IRE)T: Philip Fenton Itba Fillies Scheme E.B.F. Mares Flat Race (listed)16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 8th 33/1

09 Nov 13 Naas Hairy O'malley (IRE)T: C Roche Go Racing In Kildare Membership 2014 (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 5th 8/1

28 Oct 13 Galway Hairy O'malley (IRE)T: C Roche Nuig Horse Racing Society (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr P Roche's strike rate?: Mr P Roche has won 28 of 356 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr P Roche do best at?: Punchestown by strike rate: 7 wins from 53 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr P Roche ride most for?: C Roche, with 114 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.6%).
What is Mr P Roche's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 356 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.