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Jockey profile

Paddy Mathers

4,095 rides in the lifetime window · 1,755 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2024 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
266–4,095
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=4,095
835 (20%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=4,063 · 0.85 incl. margin
−1,297.66
£1 level stake
n=4,095 at SP · −31.7%
£3.19m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 220 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (273 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,095 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 22.3% when favourite Richard Fahey: 9.6% from 918 LTO winners: 12.8% Rides the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Thirsk (13.6%, n=154) and Leicester (12.3%, n=65) — all clear of the rider's 6.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.8% (n=273, Fair A/E 1.07). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −326.42 to a £1 stake over 676 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Fahey supplies 22% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.6% vs 6.5%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2014, £274,621). The standout partner of the record: Glasses Up (USA) — 6 wins from 41 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.3%−1.2
n=1,703 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −604.66
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.8%+6.3
n=273 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −45.27
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4%−2.5
n=499 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −205.97
When favourite
22.3%
n=130 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −52.53
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.3%+1.8
n=24 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −7.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.7%−2.8
n=676 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −326.42
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.3%+0.8
n=41 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Thirsk 13.6% vs 6.5% · n=154
On last-time-out winners 12.8% vs 6.5% · n=273
With C&D winners 11.4% vs 6.5% · n=614
With Rebecca Menzies 13.3% vs 6.5% · n=45
With horses switching code 0% vs 6.5% · n=49
At Leicester 12.3% vs 6.5% · n=65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 1,263 82 6.5% −488.62
Good 916 57 6.2% −315.89
Good to Firm 867 50 5.8% −189.62
Good to Soft 520 34 6.5% −155.03
Soft 430 33 7.7% −143.50
Heavy 79 9 11.4% +7.00
Firm 20 1 5% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 431 25 5.8% −157.83
Ayr 321 30 9.3% −18.79
Southwell (AW) 280 18 6.4% −145.67
Hamilton 235 16 6.8% −67.90
Redcar 234 14 6% −63.17
Newcastle (AW) 210 14 6.7% −63.50
Chelmsford (AW) 200 20 10% −30.62
Beverley 196 11 5.6% −109.50
Catterick 195 9 4.6% −138.12
Musselburgh 171 6 3.5% −91.25
Thirsk 154 21 13.6% +217.50
Chester 148 14 9.5% −38.50
York 135 5 3.7% −94.62
Ripon 127 6 4.7% −79.25
Carlisle 122 4 3.3% −70.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 1,467 95 6.5% −417.88
Class 5 1,263 79 6.3% −408.62
Class 4 660 48 7.3% −155.50
Class 2 330 19 5.8% −125.75
Class 3 310 20 6.5% −153.79
Class 1 41 3 7.3% −19.00
Class 7 22 2 9.1% −15.12

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 161 32 19.9% 0.76 −70.28
2nd–3rd fav 453 83 18.3% 1.19 +8.62
4th–6th fav 1,181 88 7.5% 1.00 −300.00
7th+ in betting 2,300 63 2.7% 0.94 −936.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Glasses Up (USA) 41 6 14 22 May 24
Black Friday (GB) 36 4 11 15 Jul 24
Dynamo Walt (IRE) 33 5 11 31 May 19
Hammer Gun (USA) 30 6 11 3 Sep 19
Northern Bolt (GB) 29 4 8 28 Nov 12
Samphire Coast (GB) 28 5 12 25 Apr 19
Loyalty (GB) 24 5 8 7 May 19
Mission Impossible (GB) 24 5 12 14 Aug 15
Top Boy (GB) 23 1 8 7 May 19
Royal Countess (GB) 22 2 8 5 Sep 23
Naralsaif (IRE) 19 5 8 26 Jun 19
Royal Challenge (GB) 19 2 5 10 Aug 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,755 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
697466689735
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardRichard Fahey
22% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 1.08
TrainerRWSR£1
Richard Fahey 918 88 9.6% −132.80
Derek Shaw 583 44 7.5% −180.04
Ian McInnes 284 14 4.9% −103.00
R Mike Smith 264 22 8.3% −78.12
Alan Berry 204 9 4.4% −73.50
Peter Grayson 107 2 1.9% −77.00
Jim Goldie 97 7 7.2% −5.00
Tony McWilliams 87 2 2.3% −38.50
Ian Williams 78 5 6.4% −37.25
Tracy Waggott 77 9 11.7% +29.00
Colin Teague 71 1 1.4% −37.00
David Thompson 69 3 4.3% −36.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
327
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£3.54m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 42 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bond's Girl (GB) — Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2014 · Class 2
£274,621
The Wagon Wheel (IRE) — Betway Stakes (Nursery Handicap) York · Aug 2016 · Class 2
£37,350
Pin Up (IRE) — Betfred 'Be Part Of The Action' Handicap Haydock · Sep 2015 · Class 2
£28,013
Notable horses
Glasses Up (USA) Hammer Gun (USA) Dynamo Walt (IRE) Samphire Coast (GB) Loyalty (GB) Mission Impossible (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Acclamation (GB) 10.1% · 10–99
Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Kyllachy (GB) 11.1% · 9–81
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Equiano (FR) 8.3% · 6–72
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,544 runs since 2014 (549 horses).
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 8.7% · 6–69
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.
Piccolo (GB) 4.5% · 3–67
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Dark Angel (IRE) 7.8% · 5–64
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,292 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,292 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 24 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Jul 24 Catterick One Of Our Own (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Racing Again 6th August HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 1st 9/2
24 Jul 24 Catterick Manigordo (USA)T: Adrian Nicholls Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 20/1
22 Jul 24 Ayr Zebra Star (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 12th 14/1
22 Jul 24 Ayr Earn Your Stripes (GB)T: R Mike Smith Join Racing Tv Now HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 4th 22/1
21 Jul 24 Redcar One Of Our Own (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Michael Hunter HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 6th 7/1
20 Jul 24 Ripon Fountain Cross (GB)T: Tim Easterby Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1
20 Jul 24 Ripon Tees Aggregates (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls Dobsons Gaskets EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 5/1
19 Jul 24 Pontefract Tees George (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Sky Bet Supporting Matt Hampson Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 5th 15/2
19 Jul 24 Pontefract Spanish Blessings (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Northern Commercials Used Stock For Instant Delivery EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 80/1
19 Jul 24 Pontefract Heartened (IRE)T: Ollie Pears Northern Commercials Used Stock For Instant Delivery EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 7th 80/1
17 Jul 24 Thirsk Saaheq (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls David Lever Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
17 Jul 24 Thirsk Ingleby Archie (IRE)T: Adrian Nicholls JW 4x4 Northallerton HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 4/1
16 Jul 24 Beverley Tees Douge (FR)T: Adrian Nicholls Malcolm Greenslade Doncaster LVA Stalwart Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 16/1
15 Jul 24 Ayr Zebra Star (IRE)T: R Mike Smith Afternoon Tea At Western House Hotel HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 8th 20/1
15 Jul 24 Ayr Black Friday (GB)T: R Mike Smith Ayrshire Cancer Support HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1
13 Jul 24 York Daaris (IRE)T: Kevin Frost John Smith's Stayers' HandicapClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 20/1
08 Jul 24 Ripon Stars Away (IRE)T: Fionn McSharry Family Day Bank Holiday Monday 26th August HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 125/1
08 Jul 24 Ripon Thornaby Pearl (GB)T: Adrian Nicholls Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 17/2
06 Jul 24 Beverley Dandy's Angel (IRE)T: John Wainwright Maureen 'I Am Fine' Steer Life Celebration HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 4th 25/1
06 Jul 24 Beverley Ifonlytheycudtalk (IRE)T: Tim Easterby George Kilburn Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paddy Mathers's strike rate?
Paddy Mathers has won 266 of 4,095 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paddy Mathers do best at?
Thirsk by strike rate: 21 wins from 154 rides (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paddy Mathers ride most for?
Richard Fahey, with 918 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (9.6%).
What is Paddy Mathers's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 4,063 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).