What is Shane Crosse's strike rate?

Shane Crosse has won 205 of 1,649 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Crosse do best at?

Leopardstown by strike rate: 29 wins from 174 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Crosse ride most for?

Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 1,039 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 156 (15%).

What is Shane Crosse's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 1,649 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Crosse

1,649 rides in the lifetime window · 784 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

205–1,649

Wins / Runs

12.4%

Strike rate

n=1,649

540 (33%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=1,649 · 0.88 incl. margin

−410.34

£1 level stake

n=1,649 at SP · −24.9%

£4.91m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (173 rides). Rides mostly for Joseph Patrick O'Brien — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,649 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Fresh horses: 14.4% 34.4% when favourite Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 15% from 1,039 LTO winners: 19.7% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

It is weakest at Navan (4.4% over 91 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.7% (n=173, Fair A/E 1.10), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.3% (n=767, Fair A/E 0.96). Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 63% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15% vs 12.4%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (17.3%, n=133). The record reads poorly at trips under 6f — 4.9% over 123 rides, 7.5pts below the baseline. 27 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prince Of Wales's Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2022, £599,708). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.4%−3.0

n=784 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −187.28

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.7%+7.3

n=173 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −12.94

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

14.4%+2.0

n=270 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −6.36

When favourite

34.4%

n=212 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −21.34

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.7%−0.7

n=695 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −93.03

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.3%−4.1

n=767 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −310.21

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.4%+0.0

n=218 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −64.98

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Luke Comer 1.9% vs 12.4% · n=53

On last-time-out winners 19.7% vs 12.4% · n=173

At trips under 6f 4.9% vs 12.4% · n=123

At Navan 4.4% vs 12.4% · n=91

With debutants 7.8% vs 12.4% · n=204

On Heavy going 17.3% vs 12.4% · n=133

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 504 51 10.1% −208.57

Standard (AW) 403 52 12.9% −129.53

Soft 370 49 13.2% −67.73

Heavy 133 23 17.3% +48.91

Good to Soft 132 17 12.9% −47.39

Good to Firm 107 13 12.1% −6.03

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 398 49 12.3% −137.03

Curragh 232 20 8.6% −141.39

Leopardstown 174 29 16.7% −5.22

Gowran Park 122 16 13.1% −22.91

Naas 111 11 9.9% +14.38

Navan 91 4 4.4% −58.64

Cork 73 7 9.6% −42.89

Galway 61 9 14.8% +3.20

Fairyhouse 60 5 8.3% −31.04

Killarney 58 5 8.6% −33.84

Limerick 58 9 15.5% +1.00

Tipperary 43 3 7% −21.25

Roscommon 30 4 13.3% +15.00

Down Royal 25 7 28% +6.03

Bellewstown 24 5 20.8% +16.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 218 27 12.4% −64.98

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +0.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 247 78 31.6% 1.09 −35.96

2nd–3rd fav 410 73 17.8% 1.13 −46.18

4th–6th fav 471 42 8.9% 1.12 −51.20

7th+ in betting 521 12 2.3% 0.67 −277.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tyrconnell (IRE) 23 3 10 3 Feb 23

Punk Poet (IRE) 13 2 3 3 Mar 23

Plough Boy (IRE) 13 3 3 19 Jul 20

Neptune Rock (IRE) 11 2 3 20 Sep 22

Major Power (IRE) 10 3 6 8 Oct 21

Speak In Colours (GB) 10 3 4 26 Jun 21

A New Dawn (IRE) 10 0 3 13 Nov 20

Snapraeceps (IRE) 10 1 4 7 Nov 20

Seisai (IRE) 9 2 6 11 Sep 22

Prairie Dancer (IRE) 9 2 4 20 Oct 21

Thundering Nights (IRE) 9 4 8 3 Oct 21

Circuit Stellar (IRE) 9 3 7 3 Jun 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 784 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

19161171511141213111211

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien

63% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 1,039 156 15% −221.54

Edward Lynam 55 10 18.2% −1.12

Sarah Lynam 54 8 14.8% −19.34

Luke Comer 53 1 1.9% −30.00

John James Feane 32 4 12.5% +8.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

205

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.91m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 51 wins

State Of Rest (IRE) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2022 · Group 1

£599,708

Pretty Gorgeous (FR) — bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1) Newmarket · Oct 2020 · Group 1

£226,840

Thundering Nights (IRE) — Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£147,500

Notable horses

Thundering Nights (IRE) Tyrconnell (IRE) Plough Boy (IRE) Major Power (IRE) Speak In Colours (GB) Circuit Stellar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zoffany (IRE) 12% · 11–92

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,787 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Camelot (GB) 14.7% · 11–75

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,746 runs since 2017 (765 horses).

Australia (GB) 22% · 11–50

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,683 runs since 2018 (569 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Dandy Man (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Galileo (IRE) 15.6% · 7–45

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.8% · 5–39

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,246 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,649 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,649 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 October 2017 to 23 June 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Jun 23 Down Royal Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Mount Charles Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 9/2

23 Jun 23 Down Royal Prove It (GB)T: M D O'Callaghan Future Ticketing Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-70)5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 16/1

22 Jun 23 Leopardstown Relevant Range (IRE)T: Gillian Scott Racing With Pride Handicap (47-75)8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 16/1

18 Jun 23 Gowran Park Good Too (FR)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Thomastown Race9.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 9/2

08 Apr 23 Cork Chiketto (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Median Auction Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 5/1

06 Apr 23 Bellewstown That's Mad (GB)T: Leanne Breen Bright Software Handicap5f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 25/1

31 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Jarvis Brook (IRE)T: E Sheehy View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1

25 Mar 23 Curragh Shadowed (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Goffs London Sale (C & G) Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 1st 4/1

16 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Vanguard Star (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Bet In-Play On Racing With BetVictor Race6f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 6/4F

10 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Racing Thursday March 16th At Dundalk Handicap (47-70)6f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

03 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Punk Poet (IRE)T: Edward Lynam DundalkStadium.com Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 14/1

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Hat Toss (IRE)T: Takashi Kodama Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 25/1

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Vanguard Star (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 5/2F

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 2/1F

03 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Tyrconnell (IRE)T: Sarah Lynam Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-75)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 3/1J

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Luigi Antinori (GB)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/1

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Alquinto (IRE)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 125/1

20 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Tyrconnell (IRE)T: Sarah Lynam Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 18/1

20 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Evening Verse (IRE)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Crosse's strike rate?: Shane Crosse has won 205 of 1,649 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Crosse do best at?: Leopardstown by strike rate: 29 wins from 174 rides (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Crosse ride most for?: Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 1,039 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 156 (15%).
What is Shane Crosse's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 1,649 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.