2:22 Listowel
The 2:22 at Listowel is a competitive 18-runner 0-70 handicap over 7f15y on good ground. With no obvious front-runner in the field the race is set to be tactical, and the KTB Fit scores reflect a modest bunch overall where small margins and positioning will matter. Zabriskie Point heads the KTB rankings on 58 despite wide draw concerns, while the rest of the field clusters between 56 and 30.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. Most of the field are held-up types who produce their effort late, so the key question is whether the race will develop enough pace for those coming from the rear to land a blow or whether those able to secure a more forward position will hold the advantage.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Zabriskie Point KTB Selection58/100
Zabriskie Point is a limited horse who has been around a bit and shown only modest form this year. He has run twice at Listowel without placing and is drawn wide today from stall 12. The trainer holds a solid 11 percent strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey is 0 from 3 at the track. His recent form reads 835257 and he is held up, usually producing his effort late. He has been placed once from four starts on good ground but remains without a win on that surface. Overall he is competitive at this level on his best days yet the wide draw adds a layer of difficulty.
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2Gloriously Glam56/100
Gloriously Glam is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. She drops back to 7f having won at the trip in the past though her last run came over 1m1f. The trainer has only a small sample at Listowel while the jockey is making his first ride at the track. Recent form is 852090 and she is held up, usually producing her effort late. She has been placed six times from 12 starts on good ground but is without a win on the surface. From a favourable draw in stall 5 she could be involved if she can rediscover her best.
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3James Henry48/100
James Henry is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with his last win coming over two years ago. He has shown a bit of spark at this track with a placing from his only run here and has also placed five times from 12 starts on good ground. The trip looks suitable having won over it in the past though overall he needs to improve on recent efforts. His form figures read -30008 and he is held up, usually producing his effort late. Drawn in stall 2 he is ideally placed to track the early pace. The trainer's 7 percent strike rate and the jockey's 25 percent record at Listowel offer some encouragement.
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4Distillate45/100
Distillate is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this year and ran no better than eighth when tried here once before. He steps up from 6f today having already won three times at this trip in the past, though his record on good ground is only modest with one win from 14 starts. The trainer has a solid 11 percent strike-rate at Listowel from a big sample. Recent form is 700B03 and he typically settles in midfield. From stall 10 he should be able to find a decent position. The yard's record with the jockey is 10 percent from 1057 rides.
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5Cisterna43/100
Cisterna is a limited performer who has been largely out of form this season and showed little spark when eighth of 12 at the Curragh last time. She has won on good ground over today's trip but the yard's modest 4 percent strike-rate at Listowel offers little encouragement. The jockey has a 6 percent strike-rate from 67 rides at the track. Her form reads 755802 and she is usually held up. From draw 7 she should be able to get a reasonable position early. At three she remains relatively lightly raced and could still have more to offer if the run-style suits.
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6She's On The Ball43/100
She's On The Ball is a limited filly who has shown her best form when winning at this trip on good ground. She has a solid record on this surface but the trainer's record at Listowel is modest. First run here and lightly raced overall so there are still some unknowns.
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7Imperial Dream42/100
Imperial Dream is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little spark when second of 14 at the Curragh last time. He has a win on good ground and has scored at this trip but his overall strike-rate is modest and the wide draw is unhelpful. Trainer Patrick J Flynn has a 6 percent strike rate from 324 runs at Listowel while the jockey is having her first ride at the track.
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8Sand Art42/100
Sand Art is a limited performer who has been well beaten in most of his eight starts and showed very little when winning a low-grade claimer last time. He steps up to 7f for the first time today while wearing first-time headgear. The trainer has a 9 percent strike rate from 22 runs at Listowel.
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9Oppenheimer41/100
Oppenheimer has shown little since a promising debut and remains limited on the balance of his form. Dropping back from 1m to 7f asks a fresh question while the yard records a modest 9 percent strike rate from 22 runs at Listowel. Stall one could prove handy but the overall profile carries few positives.
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10Survivor's Code41/100
Survivor's Code is a limited performer who has won once in 11 starts and is dropping back to his winning trip of 7f. He has shown very little in his last four runs and his only start on good ground brought no reward. The trainer has yet to strike at Listowel from five attempts.
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11Brains40/100
Brains is a limited 10-year-old with a modest recent record of 657563 and has been busy this year with 50 runs. He has shown some ability on good ground with one win and three places from ten starts and has won at today's trip in the past. The yard has a 4 percent strike rate from 72 runs at Listowel while the jockey has no established record at the track.
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12Sceitimini40/100
Sceitimini is a limited performer who has shown little in five starts this season after a poor debut. He drops back to an untried 7f today having been well held over a mile last time and holds no obvious appeal from the widest draw. The trainer has a modest 5 percent strike rate at Listowel from 37 runs.
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13Platino Bianco39/100
Platino Bianco is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of modest efforts since his sole win. He steps up to 7f for the first time in a while having failed to trouble the judge on his previous four attempts at the trip and he has only one win from 13 runs on good ground. The trainer has a 0 percent strike rate from five runs at Listowel.
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14Thumama Sands39/100
Thumama Sands is a limited performer who has struggled in all five starts to date and looks up against it from a wide draw. She drops back to 7f having failed to make an impact at that trip on four previous attempts. The trainer has an 11 percent strike rate from 134 runs at Listowel while the jockey has no established record at the track.
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15Sayonara37/100
Sayonara is a limited performer who has shown just a single placing from 11 starts and arrives in modest form. First-time headgear is reached for while the yard's poor 4 percent strike rate at Listowel adds little encouragement. She has placed once on good ground and once at this trip but remains short of solid claims.
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16Micasso36/100
Micasso is a limited performer who has struggled to make an impact this year and finished well down the field on his last two starts. He has shown some ability on good ground but is zero from seven at this trip and could only manage sixth on his one previous run here. The trainer has yet to register a winner from 11 attempts at Listowel.
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17Tariff32/100
Tariff is a limited performer who has shown a bit of ability on good ground, finishing placed once from four starts. He has also placed at this trip without winning and the yard has a modest 0 percent strike-rate from five runs at Listowel. This is his first run here today from stall 15.
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18Tamazu30/100
Tamazu is a limited performer who has been out of form for a long time and showed little spark on his two starts this year. He is 1-6 on good ground and has been placed on it twice so the surface is no problem, yet he has failed to win in five attempts at this trip. The yard is 0-5 at Listowel and this looks another tough assignment from stall 9.
KTB verdict
Zabriskie Point is the KTB Selection. He is a limited horse who has shown only modest form this year yet the trainer's solid 11 percent strike rate at Listowel from a big sample and the jockey's strong 22 percent record at the track provide the strongest combination of yard and rider factors in the race. His held-up style should suit a steadily-run affair and although the wide draw is far from ideal he has the best KTB Fit score on 58. Main dangers are Gloriously Glam from a good draw, James Henry with his course placing, and Distillate who steps back up to a trip where he has won three times before.
KTB Selection Zabriskie Point
This is the narrative read of the 2:22 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Zabriskie Point the KTB Selection despite his wide draw?
He tops the KTB Fit ranking on 58 and benefits from the trainer's solid 11 percent strike rate at Listowel from 134 runs combined with the jockey's 22 percent strike rate and 3.63 A/E from nine rides at the track.
How does the lack of a leader affect the shape of this 7f handicap?
It points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay, with most runners being held-up types who produce their effort late.
Which horse has the best course record among the principals?
James Henry, who has placed third on his only run at Listowel.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Listowel for the yard of the top two in the KTB Fit rankings?
Adrian McGuinness is 11 percent from 134 runs while Ms Claire O'Connell is 0 percent from three runs.
Which horses are stepping up or down in trip from their most recent start?
Gloriously Glam drops back to 7f from 1m1f, Distillate steps up from 6f, and Oppenheimer drops back from 1m.
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