2:32 Bath
The 2:32 at Bath is a Class 5 handicap over 1m5f11y on good to firm ground with a field of 14. Several modest performers line up, many of them with placed form or recent wins at lower levels, and the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched between 56 and 40. The selection, Belle of Kt, tops the KTB rankings on the back of three wins this year and a course success, though questions remain around the ground for a few of the leading contenders.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two confirmed front-runners in the field. Society Girl and Cosmo Brown both tend to make the running or race prominently, which should ensure an honest gallop that has the potential to collapse in the closing stages. That shape would play to the strengths of the many hold-up performers, with the race likely to be decided by which of the patiently ridden runners can pick up the pieces when the leaders tire.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Belle of Kt KTB Selection56/100
Belle of Kt is a modest performer who has won three times this year and arrives in solid form after a respectable third last time. She has already won over this trip and at this track, which adds to her appeal on the return to Bath. The five-year-old is dropping in class and is held up, usually producing her effort late. J. S. Moore has an 8% strike rate at Bath from 544 runs while Millie Wonnacott, claiming 5lb, has a 13% strike rate here from 45 rides. The main unknown is that she has had no runs on good to firm ground.
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2Yokkell54/100
Yokkell is a modest performer who won on his only previous visit to Bath. He has been in and out of form this year and is now stepping up in trip having last run over 1m2f. The seven-year-old is held up and usually produces his effort late. Adrian Wintle has a 15% strike rate at the track from 278 runs while Finley Marsh is unproven at Bath. He holds a record of one win from three starts on good to firm with two placings.
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3Percy Jones53/100
Percy Jones is a modest performer who has been placed on all three previous visits to Bath without winning. He has shown consistent form of late with a string of minor honours and is proven on good to firm ground with one win from four starts and two placings. The seven-year-old is held up with a high degree of confidence in that run-style and is dropping in class. Mark Loughnane has a 9% strike rate at Bath from 172 runs while Taylor Fisher has a 12% strike rate here from 138 rides.
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4Society Girl50/100
Society Girl is a modest performer who has shown a bit more lately with a win and a third in her last three starts. The three-year-old steps up in trip today having never been beyond 1m4f so this is a fresh question. She tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence in that style. Ed Walker has a 14% strike rate at Bath from 74 runs and the good-to-firm ground has already produced a win from four attempts for her. Kieran Shoemark takes the ride.
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5Virtue Diligence48/100
Virtue Diligence is a modest performer who has shown little sign of progress in six starts. The three-year-old is held up and usually produces his effort late with high confidence. Amanda Perrett has a solid 16% strike rate at Bath from 259 runs though this one looks up against it from stall 12 having failed to place in any of his races. He has had three runs on good to firm without winning or placing and the trip remains a question mark after one unplaced run at the distance.
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6Cosmo Brown46/100
Cosmo Brown is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form at this level without looking like winning. He steps up in trip today having never tried beyond 1m4f, which asks a fresh question of his stamina, and tends to make the running or race on the pace. The yard has a modest record at Bath.
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7Calshot Spit45/100
Calshot Spit is a modest performer who has won once from three runs at Bath and is 1 from 2 at today's trip. Drops back from 2m3f having shown placed form on good to firm but no win on that surface. The trainer operates at a 9% strike rate here from 56 runs.
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8One Cool Dreamer44/100
One Cool Dreamer is a modest performer who has been largely consistent this year without winning. Drops back in trip to an untried 1m5f today which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Bath from 42 runs.
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9Hebridean Nomad44/100
Hebridean Nomad is a modest performer who has been consistent this year with form figures of 31224 and has shown he stays this trip having been placed both starts at it. Steps up from 1m4f today while making his first visit to Bath on ground he has never tried. Andrew Balding has a solid 15% strike rate here from 478 runs while the 7lb claimer is making his course debut.
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10Zarco44/100
Zarco is a modest performer who has shown some consistency, finishing second on his most recent start at this track over 1m4f. He now steps up in trip for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Bath.
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11Beggarman42/100
Beggarman is a limited performer who has been placed three times from six runs at Bath without winning. He has won over today's trip and is competitive on good to firm ground, though his recent form of 0-4524 shows no real spark. The yard's modest 11% strike rate here from a big sample adds little encouragement.
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12Moab42/100
Moab is a modest performer who has been consistent of late with two placed efforts after a win earlier this year. He has never won or placed on good to firm ground from just two attempts and drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried. The trainer has a 20% strike rate at Bath from five runs.
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13Chambers41/100
Chambers is a modest performer who showed a bit when winning a weaker handicap on good to firm last time but then ran no sort of race when dropped back to 1m5f at this track. Has two previous fourths here without ever looking like winning, and the wide draw in stall 11 adds to the negatives. Trainer has only four runs at Bath so far which is too small a sample to judge.
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14Two Plus Two40/100
Two Plus Two is a limited performer who has won twice at this track from six runs and holds solid placed form on good to firm. Drops back from 1m6f to 1m5f having failed to score in his only previous try at today's trip. Ed de Giles has a 15% strike rate here from 150 runs while Rossa Ryan is aboard.
KTB verdict
Belle of Kt looks the most solid option on the KTB numbers. She has won three times already this year, boasts course-and-distance success, and is dropping in class while arriving in respectable form. The main concern is her lack of experience on good to firm ground, yet her record and style should see her go well in a race where the strong pace is expected to suit hold-up types. The main dangers are the course-winning Yokkell stepping up in trip, the consistent Percy Jones who knows his way around Bath, and the front-running Society Girl who could get first run if the pace holds.
KTB Selection Belle of Kt
This is the narrative read of the 2:32 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has won three times this year and has course form at Bath?
Belle of Kt
Who is the only horse to have won on its sole previous visit to Bath?
Yokkell
Which runner has been placed on all three previous visits to Bath without winning?
Percy Jones
How many front-runners are highlighted in the pace shape and who are they?
Two or more habitual front-runners; Society Girl and Cosmo Brown tend to make the running or race on the pace
Which horse is dropping in class, has won twice at the track and is ridden by Rossa Ryan?
Two Plus Two
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