3:20 Redcar
The William Hill Two Year Old Trophy is a Listed Class 1 event over 5f 217y at Redcar on good ground, featuring a field of 13 juveniles. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Satellite of Love heading the ratings on 65, just ahead of Stardom Glory on 64 and Revels on 63, indicating a competitive renewal among some smart and useful types stepping up in class. Several runners remain lightly raced while others bring placed form in stronger company, and the overall KTB numbers point to a race where proven ability at the trip and on the surface will be key.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present, including Stardom Glory, Revels and Quillan all inclined to race prominently. This shape suggests the leaders could go hard early and the pace may collapse in the closing stages, which would play into the hands of hold-up types. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate and sustain their effort or if the race will fall into the lap of a late closer from mid-division or further back.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Satellite of Love KTB Selection65/100
Satellite of Love is a smart 2-year-old who has shown his ability with two wins from four starts, including a Listed success. He drops back to 5f today having won at the trip earlier in the season though his latest effort over 6½f was a shade disappointing. Clive Cox has a solid 16% strike rate at Redcar while Paul Mulrennan is aboard. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 3/26 (12%) record with an A/E of 0.99. Held up in his races, he usually produces his effort late and that run-style could be ideally suited if the strong pace materialises as expected. He steps up in class from an OR of 105 with recent form figures of 1152 and is unproven on good ground having had no previous runs on it.
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2Stardom Glory64/100
Stardom Glory is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this season with two wins and two seconds from five starts. He drops back to 5f today having won at the trip earlier in the year and acts well on good ground with one win from four starts on it. First-time headgear is now applied as he steps up in class from an OR of 93. The Hugo Palmer and Jason Hart partnership holds a 32/192 (17%) record with an A/E of 1.00. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, his prominent run-style will be central to how the strong pace unfolds from draw 2. His recent form figures read 22166 and he has no previous course form.
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3Revels63/100
Revels is a useful sort who has already won twice including over this trip and on this ground. He scored on debut here at Redcar and the recent form figures show respectable placed efforts in stronger company. Burke has a solid 11 percent strike rate at the track from a big sample while James is up. The trainer and jockey show a combined 132/817 (16%) record with an A/E of 0.90. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, though with limited evidence, his front-running style will be influential in a race where the pace is expected to be strong. From an OR of 104 with form figures of 19104, he has won once from once on good ground and boasts a course record of one win from one run.
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4Myesme58/100
Myesme has shown fair ability in two starts so far, finishing second then winning a minor event. The step up to 5f looks a fair question given she has only placed at the trip without winning, and she remains lightly raced overall. The yard has a solid 25% strike rate at Redcar while the good ground is a proven plus with one win from one start on it. Edward Bethell and Oisin Orr combine with a 13/58 (22%) record and an A/E of 1.17. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she could be well suited by the anticipated strong pace from her draw in stall 1. Stepping up in class from an OR of 84 with form figures of 21, she has no course form on record.
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5Thames Waterman56/100
Thames Waterman has won both starts at this trip and carries a fair level of ability for a 2-year-old. The Richard Hughes yard has a strong 33% strike rate from six runs at Redcar. Finley Marsh takes the ride but the going remains an unknown with only two runs on the board and no previous starts on good ground. The trainer and jockey show a 162/1009 (16%) record with an A/E of 0.95. Stepping up in class from an OR of 85 with form figures of 11, he has no course form. As a lightly raced type with two wins already, he represents an interesting contender though the surface question adds an element of risk.
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6Baddaddan53/100
Baddaddan is a fair performer who has already won over today's trip. Recent form has been mixed with a win at this distance sandwiched between lesser efforts, while the wide draw in stall 12 adds a negative here. Trainer Richard Spencer has a solid 15% strike rate at Redcar from 20 runs. Usually held up with limited evidence, he steps up in class from an OR of 83 with form figures of 41004 and has two runs on good ground without winning or placing.
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7Quillan53/100
Quillan is a fair 2-year-old who showed useful early speed to win on debut over C&D before adding a listed success at York. He has since run below that level twice, including when fifth in a hot nursery last time, and now tries headgear for the first time. The Barron yard's modest 7% strike-rate at Redcar tempers expectations, though the horse does have solid form on good ground with two wins from two starts. Usually to the fore, he steps up in class from an OR of 86 with form figures of 1105 and has a course record of one win from one run.
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8Elevating53/100
Elevating is a fair performer who has shown mixed form across five starts, winning once but finishing down the field in stronger company on his last two outings. Stall three is no disadvantage and he has already placed at today's trip, though the step back up in class asks a fresh question. Trainer Richard Hannon has a solid 16% strike rate at Redcar from 61 runs while Kevin Stott takes the ride. Usually held up, he is unproven on good ground from an OR of 86 with form figures of 29157.
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9Mind Those Steps49/100
Mind Those Steps is a fair performer who has already won over today's trip and showed his best form on this ground. Dropping back from 7f should suit after a string of ordinary efforts, though the yard's modest strike-rate at Redcar is a negative. Stall nine is no help either. Usually held up, he steps up in class from an OR of 77 with form figures of 310035 and has one win from two starts on good ground.
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10Rlasthope46/100
Rlasthope is a fair 2-year-old who has shown consistent form, winning at today's trip from four attempts and finishing third in a stronger race last time. The first-time headgear is an unknown and the wide draw in stall 13 will not help. Trainer Tony Coyle has a solid 17% strike rate at Redcar from 30 runs while Tom Eaves has no established record here. Usually held up, he steps up in class from an OR of 78 with form figures of 523317 and has placed once from two starts on good ground.
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11Global Success43/100
Global Success is a modest performer with a consistent but limited record, placing three times from nine starts without winning. He drops back to 5f today having been placed at the trip earlier in the season, though his latest efforts over longer distances were unconvincing. The yard has a 10% strike rate from 50 runs at Redcar while the jockey is making his first ride at the track. Usually held up, he steps up in class from an OR of 66 with form figures of 252534 and has one run on good ground without placing.
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12Too Many Spirits41/100
Too Many Spirits is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes a win at this trip. Has been placed in two of his last three starts and looks ready to go well again from a decent draw. Trainer has a good 17% strike rate at Redcar from 30 runs. Usually held up, he steps up in class from an OR of 74 with form figures of 522414 and has placed once from three starts on good ground.
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13Cheeky Chesca40/100
Cheeky Chesca is a modest performer who has been in and out this season. She has shown some ability at this track with a second from three runs and has won at today's trip, though she is 0-3 on good ground. The yard's modest record here adds a note of caution. Usually held up, she steps up in class from an OR of 66 with form figures of 793316 and has course form of sixth, second and fifth.
KTB verdict
Satellite of Love is the KTB Selection. A smart 2-year-old with Listed success already on his CV, he brings the highest level of ability in the field and his record of two wins from four starts includes a victory at this trip. The Clive Cox yard's healthy strike rate at Redcar adds to the appeal, and his hold-up run-style should be favoured if the strong pace collapses late as the numbers suggest. The main dangers are likely to come from Stardom Glory, whose consistent profile and first-time headgear could see him go well if he can make the running, and Revels, who has course-winning form, a win on good ground and the speed to be involved from the front.
KTB Selection Satellite of Love
This is the narrative read of the 3:20 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course-winning form at Redcar?
Revels scored on debut here at Redcar and has a course record of one win from one run, while Quillan also won here on debut over C&D.
How does the strong pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace with two or more habitual front-runners could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses such as Satellite of Love and Myesme.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Stardom Glory and Quillan are both fitted with first-time headgear, while Rlasthope also runs in first-time headgear.
Which trainers have the strongest strike rates at Redcar in this field?
Richard Hughes has a 33% strike rate at Redcar from six runs, Edward Bethell has 25% from 102 runs, and Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood have 17% from 30 runs.
Which horses are proven on good ground?
Stardom Glory has one win from four starts on good, Revels has one win from one, Quillan has two wins from two, Myesme has one win from one, and Mind Those Steps has one win from two.
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