What is C Lerner's strike rate?

C Lerner has won 234 of 2,575 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C Lerner do best at?

Lyon Parilly by strike rate: 10 wins from 30 runners (33.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for C Lerner?

M Lerner, with 384 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (6.8%).

In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is above the baseline of 9.1% since 2008.

What is C Lerner's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,463 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C Lerner

2,575 runners in the lifetime window · 422 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 2 winners last 14 days Runners today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

234–2,575

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=2,575

699 (27%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,463 · 0.86 incl. margin

−294.47

£1 level stake

n=2,503 at SP · −11.8%

£7.25m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 13% (152 runs, true-first definition). The yard is in form now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,575 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 10.1% 21.5% when favourite M Lerner: 6.8% from 384 Claiming riders: 9.7% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lyon Parilly (33.3%, n=30), clear of the yard's 9.1% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=152, Fair A/E 1.78), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.72). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.35 and +157.50 to a £1 stake over 516 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is firing: 2 winners from 15 runners in the last 14 days (13.3%, 4.2pts above the 9.1% baseline). M Lerner rides 15% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.8% vs 9.1%, A/E 0.89). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (20.3%, n=69) and off a 8-14-day break (14.5%, n=173). 22 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix du Cadran at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2015, £132,884). The stable star of the record: Simba (FR) — 8 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.1%+1.0

n=513 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −61.15

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.3%−1.8

n=82 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −45.60

Debutants · first career start

8.3%−0.8

n=337 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −29.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.2%+4.1

n=152 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +76.30

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.1%−4.0

n=59 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −37.40

When favourite

21.5%

n=181 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −37.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.7%+0.6

n=516 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +157.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.6%+0.5

n=229 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −40.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lyon Parilly 33.3% vs 9.1% · n=30

At trips under 6f 20.3% vs 9.1% · n=69

With Yann Lerner 18.8% vs 9.1% · n=69

With C Soumillon 14.8% vs 9.1% · n=257

With Anthony Crastus 0% vs 9.1% · n=31

Off a 8-14-day break 14.5% vs 9.1% · n=173

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,262 207 9.2% −296.77

Hurdle 265 23 8.7% +12.50

Chase 48 4 8.3% −10.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 795 59 7.4% −137.90

Soft 645 54 8.4% −98.38

Good 523 52 9.9% −52.90

Good to Soft 378 43 11.4% +38.76

Heavy 231 25 10.8% −48.85

Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +4.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 632 48 7.6% −81.08

Chantilly (FR) 483 36 7.5% −162.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 335 38 11.3% +25.20

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 313 27 8.6% −102.40

Longchamp (FR) 293 25 8.5% −71.47

Auteuil (FR) 198 15 7.6% −109.20

Enghien (FR) 65 9 13.8% +94.50

Clairefontaine 58 5 8.6% −8.87

Compiegne 56 6 10.7% +34.90

Lyon Parilly 30 10 33.3% +65.15

Dieppe 27 2 7.4% −15.00

Fontainebleau 16 3 18.8% +9.20

Lyon-La Soie 8 1 12.5% −3.00

Le Croise-Laroche 7 0 0% −6.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 232 22 9.5% −43.87

Class 3 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 2 6 1 16.7% −2.75

Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 195 41 21% 0.83 −45.08

2nd–3rd fav 440 71 16.1% 1.14 +0.11

4th–6th fav 687 49 7.1% 0.91 −160.60

7th+ in betting 1,181 47 4% 1.18 −88.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Vedeux (IRE) 66 6 23 12 Jul 20

Simba (FR) 45 8 20 30 Jul 16

Marmaris (FR) 42 2 17 31 Aug 16

Mille Et Mille (GB)from Rod Collet · then C & Y Lerner 38 6 18 15 May 20

Lando Blue (IRE) 35 3 12 9 Jun 19

Yume (FR)then S Cerulis 32 4 10 22 Aug 17

Cheveley (FR)then Mrs E Collinson 30 1 9 5 May 14

Zambeso (FR)from U Suter · then Claudia Erni 27 2 8 26 Aug 17

Belgrano (FR) 26 3 7 23 Jul 20

Rominou (FR) 22 4 6 11 Aug 19

Sierra Leona (FR)then S Cerulis 22 1 8 13 Aug 16

Catushaba (IRE)then F-X Belvisi 22 2 6 10 Jan 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 422 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J-C Rouget (2) and U Suter (2); 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for C & Y Lerner (4) and Claudia Erni (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

2 from 15 13.3% · +4.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13.3%

Lifetime base9.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6812131081188878

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderM Lerner

15% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.89

RiderRWSR£1

M Lerner 384 26 6.8% −113.90

C Soumillon 257 38 14.8% −46.30

Thierry Thulliez 194 18 9.3% −29.60

Antoine Hamelin 150 15 10% +4.50

Tony Piccone 115 7 6.1% −24.30

Fabrice Veron 105 9 8.6% +39.60

Cristian Demuro 103 11 10.7% −6.60

Mlle Frida Valle Skar 97 9 9.3% −4.57

Maximilien Farcinade 80 5 6.3% +41.60

Ronan Thomas 79 8 10.1% −23.02

Yann Lerner 69 13 18.8% −4.40

Alain De Chitray 57 4 7% −21.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

260

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.73m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 26 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mille Et Mille (GB) — Qatar Prix du Cadran (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2015 · Group 1

£132,884

Incanto Dream (GB) — Prix Maurice de Nieuil Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2008 · Group 2

£54,485

Celimene (IRE) — Prix de Flore (Fillies & Mares) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2009 · Group 3

£38,835

Notable horses

Simba (FR) Vedeux (IRE) Mille Et Mille (GB) Yume (FR) Rominou (FR) Verglacial (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elusive City (USA) 8.1% · 16–197

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,425 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,122.

Anabaa Blue (GB) 12% · 13–108

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.

Slickly (FR) 11.4% · 8–70

Progeny have won 8% of 3,070 runs since 2008 (318 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11% from 310. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 243.

Muhtathir (GB) 10% · 6–60

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,713 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.

King's Best (USA) 1.9% · 1–53

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Excellent Art (GB) 12.2% · 6–49

Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2008 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,691 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,691 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Dobba (USA)J: Smr Alkirayw Prix Marcel CoutardClass 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 3/1F

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Waramini (IRE)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix D'aubigny9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Amnesia (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Criterium De VitesseClass 1 · 5.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 22/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Wapi (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix De La Route Des PrincesClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Warriors Whisper (IRE)J: Ronan Thomas Grand Prix Du NordClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 20/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Motraff (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix Droit Divin12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 9/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Barsac (USA)J: Ronan Thomas Prix Du Haras De Poujux9f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Star Fixx (FR)J: Marc Lerner Prix Du Canal Du Havre6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 11/2

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Cherimine (FR)J: Marc Lerner Px Merci A La Boutique Gourmande Expl. Des Resto De Cf (Px Filiberto)9f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 28/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Great Thunder (FR)J: Marc Lerner Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) La Saucelle (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 18/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) General Rochambeau (IRE)J: C. Soumillon Prix De Belleville9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 7/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Terra Proxima (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix De La Mare Aux Evees6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 8/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Artoa (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix Du Chene Du Coup De Foudre9f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 22/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Waramini (IRE)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Du Chene Du Coup De Foudre9f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 16/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Atika (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix De La Forterelle8f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 6/4F

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) King's Road (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix De La Maniguette8f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 6/4F

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Spirit Of Zarak (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix Panacee - Fonds Europeen De L'elevageClass 1 · 12f · Very Soft · 7 ran 1st 1/1F

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bahi (IRE)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Du Haras De La Hume15f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 5/1

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Mister Black (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix De Versailles10f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C Lerner's strike rate?: C Lerner has won 234 of 2,575 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C Lerner do best at?: Lyon Parilly by strike rate: 10 wins from 30 runners (33.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C Lerner?: M Lerner, with 384 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (6.8%).
Is C Lerner in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is above the baseline of 9.1% since 2008.
What is C Lerner's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,463 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.