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Trainer profile

Dermot Murphy

124 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2022
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–124
Wins / Runs
0.8%
Strike rate
n=124
9 (7%)
Placed
0.26
Fair A/E
n=124 · 0.20 incl. margin
−98.00
£1 level stake
n=124 at SP · −79.0%
£17,231
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.26).

Deterministic profile computed from 124 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 1.6%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%+4.0
n=21 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +5.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−0.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.6%+0.8
n=63 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −37.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 0.8% · n=71 · A/E 0.00
With claiming riders up 1.6% vs 0.8% · n=63 · A/E 0.49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 107 1 0.9% −81.00
Hurdle 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Soft 27 0 0% −27.00
Good 25 1 4% +1.00
Heavy 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Firm 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Leopardstown 12 1 8.3% +14.00
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Curragh 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
7th+ in betting 105 1 1% 0.40 −79.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Blue Belle Polka (IRE) 29 0 2 18 May 11
Prince Art (IRE)then Derek Shaw 14 0 2 13 Jul 14
Mayan Son (GB) 13 0 1 23 Apr 22
Princess Misty (IRE) 12 0 0 20 Dec 09
Early Strike (FR)from J P Murtagh · then D Buckley 8 0 0 23 Nov 20
Mammy's Boy (IRE) 8 0 2 18 Nov 09
Sasvana (GB)from K J Condon 7 1 1 21 Jul 21
Complete Fiction (IRE)then Sabrina J Harty 7 0 1 18 Nov 20
Via Veneto (IRE)from J P Murtagh 4 0 0 20 Oct 20
Boketto (IRE)then Derek Shaw 4 0 0 3 Feb 17
Nickeys On Time (IRE)then Mark Loughnane 4 0 0 28 Mar 12
Kalahari Princess (IRE) 4 0 0 19 Oct 08
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J P Murtagh (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Derek Shaw (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ms N A Kane 18 1 5.6% +8.00
Danny Grant 11 0 0% −11.00
Michael Hussey 7 0 0% −7.00
Ross Coakley 7 0 0% −7.00
Keagan Latham 7 0 0% −7.00
Ben Curtis 5 0 0% −5.00
Gary Carroll 5 0 0% −5.00
Nathan Crosse 4 0 0% −4.00
Jamie Powell 4 0 0% −4.00
Leigh Roche 3 0 0% −3.00
Seamie Heffernan 3 0 0% −3.00
B M Cash 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£25,869
Prize money
2021
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nanny Mcphee (IRE) — positivesigns.net Maiden (Div 1) Fairyhouse · Sep 2007
£8,638
Sasvana (GB) — RACE Academy Apprentice Handicap Leopardstown · Jun 2021
£6,785
Notable horses
Sasvana (GB) Nanny Mcphee (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Touch Of The Blues (FR) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 4.9% of 205 runs since 2008 (41 horses).
Art Connoisseur (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7% of 1,171 runs since 2013 (75 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 212. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.2% from 169.
Twilight Son (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,669 runs since 2020 (283 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.
Dawn Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8% of 3,581 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.
King's Best (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 150 · newest first

The latest 50 of 150 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2005 to 18 November 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Nov 22 Dundalk (AW) Be Adored (IRE)J: Cian Horgan William Hill Pick Your Places Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 100/1
14 Oct 22 Dundalk (AW) Be Adored (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1
23 Apr 22 Limerick Mayan Son (GB)J: Mikey Sheehy Racing Again May 26th Handicap (47-65)11f · Good · 16 ran 15th 28/1
07 Apr 22 Gowran Park Mayan Son (GB)J: Andrew Slattery GowranPark1 Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)13.5f · Good · 13 ran 12th 14/1
11 Feb 22 Dundalk (AW) Mayan Son (GB)J: Andrew Slattery Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (45-70)16f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 40/1
21 Jan 22 Dundalk (AW) Mayan Son (GB)J: Robert Whearty DundalkStadium.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 8/1
10 Dec 21 Dundalk (AW) Mayan Son (GB)J: Jamie Powell Crowne Plaza Hotel Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (45-65)12f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 20/1
26 Nov 21 Dundalk (AW) Mayan Son (GB)J: Jamie Powell 12 Euros Racing TV For A Year Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 16/1
10 Nov 21 Dundalk (AW) Mayan Son (GB)J: Jamie Powell Extra Places Everyday At BetVictor Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 66/1
29 Sep 21 Bellewstown Mayan Son (GB)J: Ms N A Kane Savills Claiming Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 200/1
26 Sep 21 Curragh Mayan Son (GB)J: Gary Carroll William Hill Ireland Double Your Odds Maiden10f · Good · 13 ran 13th 250/1
24 Aug 21 Bellewstown Mayan Son (GB)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden8f · Good · 15 ran 11th 200/1
16 Aug 21 Roscommon Mayan Son (GB)J: Gary Carroll Athleague Maiden7.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 14th 250/1
21 Jul 21 Naas Sasvana (GB)J: Ms N A Kane O'Neill & Co. Chartered Surveyors & Auctioneers Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)8f · Good · 14 ran 6th 11/2
15 Jul 21 Leopardstown Mayan Son (GB)J: N G McCullagh Manguard Plus Maiden9f · Good · 9 ran 8th 125/1
08 Jul 21 Leopardstown Sasvana (GB)J: Ms N A Kane Ballsbridge Handicap (50-80)8f · Good · 16 ran 5th 18/1
23 Jun 21 Naas Mayan Son (GB)J: Seamie Heffernan Naas Racecourse Nursery Of Champions Maiden7f · Good · 16 ran 16th 80/1
19 Jun 21 Down Royal Sasvana (GB)J: Ms N A Kane Metcollect Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Good · 11 ran 7th 3/1F
10 Jun 21 Leopardstown Sasvana (GB)J: Ms N A Kane RACE Academy Apprentice Handicap7f · Good · 12 ran 1st 25/1
16 Dec 20 Dundalk (AW) Sasvana (GB)J: Ms N A Kane Follow Us On Twitter At DundalkStadium Handicap (45-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dermot Murphy's strike rate?
Dermot Murphy has won 1 of 124 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0.8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dermot Murphy do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 30 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Dermot Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.26, from 124 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).