Elias Mikhalides
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (101 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (4.3% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.46). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.55 and +35.30 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Marvin Grandin rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (19.4%, n=31) and off a break of 180+ days (12.2%, n=41). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 5% over 100 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix de Vichy at Vichy (FR) (Jul 2018, £35,398).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 296 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 296 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 June 2018 to 13 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Elias Mikhalides's strike rate?
- Elias Mikhalides has won 24 of 296 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Elias Mikhalides do best at?
- Chantilly by strike rate: 8 wins from 81 runners (9.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Elias Mikhalides?
- Marvin Grandin, with 53 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.5%).
- Is Elias Mikhalides in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Elias Mikhalides's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 296 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.