What is F Monnier's strike rate?

F Monnier has won 49 of 633 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does F Monnier do best at?

Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 25 wins from 278 runners (9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for F Monnier?

Maxime Guyon, with 53 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.4%).

Is F Monnier in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is F Monnier's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 602 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

F Monnier

633 runners in the lifetime window · 112 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

49–633

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=633

166 (26%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=602 · 0.82 incl. margin

−137.60

£1 level stake

n=613 at SP · −22.4%

£1.09m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (60 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 633 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Jan 14.8% when favourite Maxime Guyon: 9.4% from 53 Claiming riders: 11.7% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (4.6% over 108 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 11.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 1.48), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). Maxime Guyon rides 8% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 0.73). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (14.6%, n=41). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Super Handicap de la Rentree at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2025, £39,669). The stable star of the record: Astral Merit (FR) — 5 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.6%−1.1

n=196 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −74.40

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−2.0

n=35 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −4.10

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−3.8

n=76 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −22.10

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−7.7

n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.7

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

When favourite

14.8%

n=61 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −24.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.7%+4.0

n=60 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +11.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.3%−1.4

n=16 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −2.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With first-time headgear 0% vs 7.7% · n=32

Off a 8-14-day break 14.6% vs 7.7% · n=41

With Stephane Pasquier 13.6% vs 7.7% · n=44

With debutants 3.9% vs 7.7% · n=76

With claiming riders up 11.7% vs 7.7% · n=60

At Chantilly (FR) 4.6% vs 7.7% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 630 49 7.8% −134.60

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 330 29 8.8% −30.50

Soft 121 10 8.3% −46.20

Good to Soft 75 4 5.3% −1.40

Good 68 3 4.4% −40.40

Heavy 36 3 8.3% −18.10

Good to Firm 2 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 278 25 9% −8.00

Chantilly (FR) 108 5 4.6% −62.40

Longchamp (FR) 79 4 5.1% −54.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 68 5 7.4% −28.20

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 16 1 6.3% −12.40

Clairefontaine (FR) 12 2 16.7% +47.70

Saint-Malo 9 3 33.3% +9.10

Le Lion-D'Angers 8 1 12.5% −6.00

Craon 7 0 0% −6.00

Nantes 6 0 0% −6.00

Angers (FR) 6 1 16.7% +10.50

Senonnes-Pouance 4 1 25% +2.90

Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Argentan 4 0 0% −4.00

Pornichet-La Baule 4 1 25% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 19 2 10.5% −12.50

Class 1 16 1 6.3% −2.20

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 62 9 14.5% 0.68 −25.50

2nd–3rd fav 102 12 11.8% 0.96 −33.00

4th–6th fav 138 16 11.6% 1.47 +21.20

7th+ in betting 311 10 3.2% 0.89 −100.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 238 17 7.1% −58.10

1m2f – 1m4f 197 17 8.6% −73.20

6f – 7f 151 11 7.3% +6.30

1m5f – 2m 31 2 6.5% −14.70

Under 6f 9 1 11.1% +4.30

2m1f – 2m4f 7 1 14.3% −2.20

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 4 0 0% —

2009 2 0 0% —

2010 25 1 4% +9.00

2011 32 4 12.5% −1.80

2012 25 0 0% −25.00

2013 33 3 9.1% +14.80

2014 28 4 14.3% +0.30

2015 44 1 2.3% −33.50

2016 25 4 16% +2.40

2017 27 3 11.1% +16.10

2018 32 1 3.1% −26.60

2019 46 4 8.7% −6.20

2020 31 2 6.5% −10.40

2021 37 5 13.5% +17.20

2022 47 4 8.5% −22.20

2023 35 1 2.9% −20.70

2024 50 5 10% −18.20

2025 40 3 7.5% −19.20

2026 70 4 5.7% −13.60

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 431 33 7.7% −95.30

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 352 26 7.4% −47.80

11-13 runners 95 7 7.4% −59.30

17+ runners 79 2 2.5% −61.10

8-10 runners 68 10 14.7% +7.70

5-7 runners 20 3 15% +29.90

2-4 runners 19 1 5.3% −7.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Le Hoyo (FR)then Mme Stephanie Jaffrelot-Bedon 31 4 13 16 Feb 23

Astral Merit (FR) 31 5 12 29 Nov 17

Magic Zen (FR)from A Junk · then A De Watrigant 24 4 6 24 Jan 14

Lagoa Santa (FR)from H-F Devin 23 1 6 21 Oct 26

Bafana Linngari (FR)from P Monfort 23 3 5 6 Jul 24

Stormy Flight (FR)from an unnamed yard 21 0 7 14 Sep 15

Nice Stroke (FR) 20 2 11 26 Jan 24

Hey Man (FR)from N Caullery 19 1 4 13 Oct 26

Opiana (GB)from Edouard Monfort 19 1 5 7 Aug 26

Zaverna (IRE)from Y Barberot · then Joel Phelippon 17 3 8 5 Oct 19

Deaufils (FR)from X Nakkachdji 17 1 2 5 Feb 15

Schuman (FR) 15 1 5 15 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 112 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A & G Botti (2) and H-F Devin (2); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard; 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

157336214764139

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMaxime Guyon

8% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.73

RiderRWSR£1

Maxime Guyon 53 5 9.4% −6.10

Stephane Pasquier 44 6 13.6% +11.40

Alexandre Roussel 34 2 5.9% −16.80

Fabrice Veron 31 2 6.5% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.11m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Olympic Goal (FR) — Super Handicap de la Rentree (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2025

£39,669

Kais (FR) — Prix du Manoir (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2014

£23,500

Astral Merit (FR) — Prix Lyphard () (3yo+) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Nov 2017 · Listed

£22,222

Notable horses

Astral Merit (FR) Le Hoyo (FR) Magic Zen (FR) Bafana Linngari (FR) Zaverna (IRE) Nice Stroke (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Apsis (GB) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 8.3% of 785 runs since 2010 (91 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 115. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 112.

Rajsaman (FR) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,838 runs since 2016 (311 horses).

Prince Gibraltar (FR) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 9.5% of 878 runs since 2019 (130 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 155. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.5% from 128.

Stormy River (FR) 0% · 0–27

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,229 runs since 2011 (253 horses).

Zieten (USA) 16.7% · 4–24

Progeny have won 9% of 324 runs since 2008 (33 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 100.

Linngari (IRE) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 9.2% of 822 runs since 2012 (94 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.7% from 295. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 223.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 644 · newest first

The latest 50 of 644 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Dryas (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix De Fierville7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 25/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Lagoa Santa (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Foret De Bizy7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Twarab (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De La Foret D'ecouves9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Schuman (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix De La Vierge De LoretteClass 2 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 9/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Alpha Spirit (FR)J: Christopher Grosbois Prix Madhmoon8f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Hey Man (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Geores Batiot9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 17/2

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Twarab (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Du Bois Bourillon9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Lagoa Santa (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix De La SambreClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 9/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Hey Man (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Wings Of EagleClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 25/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Lagoa Santa (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Credit Mutuel (Prix Du Val D'athee)Class 4 · 6.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 11th 7/2

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Alpha Spirit (FR)J: Mme Lara Le Geay Prix Des Dauphines - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 7/1

21 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Hey Man (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix De Combronde10f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 18/1

21 Sep 26 Vichy (FR) Twarab (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix De Moulins10f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 25/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Vraiment Bien (FR)J: Mr Florent Guy Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo15f · Good · 14 ran 4th 17/2

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Dryas (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Brantome8f · Good · 13 ran 6th 16/1

19 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Schuman (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Du Cabinet Des LivresClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 6/1

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Nice Ruler (FR)J: Maximilien Justum Prix Du ChateauClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 16/1

13 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Mohyra (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Place D'estienne D'orvesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 18/1

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Alpha Spirit (FR)J: Mme Lara Le Geay Prix Aktem - Prix Marquise D'andigne - Challenge France SireClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 5/2F

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Nice Ruler (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Equidia - Bar Des Halles (Prix De La Touche)Class 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 14th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F Monnier's strike rate?: F Monnier has won 49 of 633 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does F Monnier do best at?: Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 25 wins from 278 runners (9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for F Monnier?: Maxime Guyon, with 53 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.4%).
Is F Monnier in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is F Monnier's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 602 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.