F-X Belvisi
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 8% (73 runs).
The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (9.4%, n=170), clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. It is weakest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (0% over 90 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.9% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −111.70 to a £1 stake over 189 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Stephane Pasquier rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.6% vs 5.7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 47 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Luminous Mind (USA) — 6 wins from 69 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,019 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,019 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2009 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is F-X Belvisi's strike rate?
- F-X Belvisi has won 58 of 1,019 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does F-X Belvisi do best at?
- Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 16 wins from 170 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for F-X Belvisi?
- Stephane Pasquier, with 128 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8.6%).
- Is F-X Belvisi in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is F-X Belvisi's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 1,013 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.