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Trainer profile

Gerard Mullins

110 runners in the lifetime window · 10 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2015 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
7–110
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=110
25 (23%)
Placed
1.15
Fair A/E
n=110 · 0.85 incl. margin
−39.60
£1 level stake
n=110 at SP · −36.0%
£87,705
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 110 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well over 1m5f – 2m (10.5%, n=57) and in Hurdle races (9.7%, n=62). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 39 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Bachelor Affair (GB) — 6 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.4
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −3.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−6.4
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Tommy Treacy 12.5% vs 6.4% · n=48
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 6.4% · n=39
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 6.4% · n=39
With claiming riders up 0% vs 6.4% · n=31
Over 1m5f – 2m 10.5% vs 6.4% · n=57
In Hurdle races 9.7% vs 6.4% · n=62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 62 6 9.7% +6.50
NH Flat 25 0 0% −25.00
Chase 20 1 5% −18.10
Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 37 1 2.7% −32.50
Good 23 1 4.3% −15.00
Heavy 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Firm 14 3 21.4% +27.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 2 2 100% +14.90
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 12 3 25% +22.50
Cork 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Clonmel 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Wexford 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 5 1 20% −3.10
Navan 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.74 −4.10
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.56 +1.50
4th–6th fav 24 2 8.3% 1.36 +0.00
7th+ in betting 69 2 2.9% 1.00 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.1% completed · 82 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 20 65% 1 1 5 0 0
Hurdle 62 90.3% 1 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bachelor Affair (GB)from P Hughes 36 6 14 7 Jul 13
Celtic Wish (IRE)then W P Mullins 23 0 6 29 May 12
She Be Fine (IRE) 11 1 3 28 Aug 14
Ms Cabrita (IRE) 11 0 0 17 Nov 12
Soprani Supreme (IRE) 8 0 0 2 Aug 09
Genesta (IRE)then Ms Margaret Mullins 7 0 1 26 Nov 15
Mary's The Boss (IRE)then Ross O'Sullivan 6 0 0 16 Apr 13
Sean Og Katy (IRE)then Laurence James Butler 5 0 1 2 Feb 11
Scolboa King (IRE)from S J Treacy 2 0 0 24 Apr 11
Bo Peep (IRE)then Seamus Mullins 1 0 0 19 Feb 14
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000002701701400
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTommy Treacy
44% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.70
RiderRWSR£1
Tommy Treacy 48 6 12.5% +11.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
7
Archived wins
£87,705
Prize money
2011
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bachelor Affair (GB) — Gowran Christmas Party Meeting 11th December Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Gowran Park · Oct 2009
£10,365
Bachelor Affair (GB) — Gowran Christmas Party Meeting 15th December Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Gowran Park · Oct 2011
£10,005
Bachelor Affair (GB) — Cork Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Cork · Aug 2011
£10,005
Notable horses
Bachelor Affair (GB) She Be Fine (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bachir (IRE) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 8.6% of 395 runs since 2008 (40 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Golan (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Supreme Leader (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Generous (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 111 · newest first

The latest 50 of 111 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2007 to 26 November 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Nov 15 Thurles Genesta (IRE)J: Patrick Corbett Holycross Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 17 ran 14th 66/1
20 Jun 15 Gowran Park Genesta (IRE)J: Mr B O'Neill Joe Bollard Memorial Flat Race20f · Good · 13 ran 4th 5/1
18 May 15 Roscommon Genesta (IRE)J: Mr B O'Neill Kepak Flat Race20f · Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 66/1
28 Aug 14 Bellewstown She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Thatch Bar Katies Kitchen Handicap Hurdle (80-116)24f · Good · 14 ran 10th 14/1
05 Aug 14 Roscommon She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott J.f. Hanley Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Good · 17 ran 3rd 14/1
11 Jul 14 Cork She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Corkracecourse.ie Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Good · 15 ran 9th 4/1F
23 Jun 14 Kilbeggan She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Hurley Family Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 13/8F
18 Jun 14 Wexford She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Hen & Stag Parties At Wexford Racecourse Maiden Hurdle24f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 1st 10/1
02 Jun 14 Listowel Genesta (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Kingdom Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 18 ran 13th 100/1
22 May 14 Clonmel She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Summer Bbq At Clonmel Races June 13th Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran F 20/1
12 May 14 Killarney She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott M.d. O'shea Maiden Hurdle22f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 66/1
27 Apr 14 Limerick She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott June 7th & 20th Twilight Racing Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 8th 33/1
03 Apr 14 Clonmel She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott Go Racing In The South East '5 For 50' Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 100/1
22 Mar 14 Gowran Park She Be Fine (IRE)J: Sean McDermott 19 Silver Packages For Racing Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 8th 66/1
20 Mar 14 Thurles Genesta (IRE)J: Mr N J Redmond Littleton Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 50/1
19 Feb 14 Punchestown Bo Peep (IRE)J: Mr N J Redmond Family Saturday At The Festival Flat Race16f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 25/1
31 Dec 13 Punchestown Genesta (IRE)J: David Mullins Goffs Punchestown Invitational Sale Mares (pro/am) Flat Race18f · Heavy · 17 ran 11th 33/1
14 Dec 13 Fairyhouse Genesta (IRE)J: David Mullins Merry Christmas From Fairyhouse Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 25/1
08 Dec 13 Cork She Be Fine (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Galtee (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 18 ran 11th 20/1
07 Jul 13 Limerick Bachelor Affair (GB)J: Sean McDermott Nathan Carter Play Live 25th July Handicap Hurdle (80-116)21f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 14th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerard Mullins's strike rate?
Gerard Mullins has won 7 of 110 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Gerard Mullins's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 110 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).