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Trainer profile

Hugh Paul Finegan

303 runners in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–303
Wins / Runs
4.6%
Strike rate
n=303
45 (15%)
Placed
1.06
n=303 · 0.84 incl. margin
−107.00
£1 level stake
n=303 at SP · −35.3%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 303 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Eoghan Finegan: 4.3% from 69
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.5% (n=68, Fair A/E 0.46). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −134.00 to a £1 stake over 231 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Eoghan Finegan rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.3%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (12.9%, n=31). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.80 across 93 runners (7.5% strike, +23.50 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 34 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.32 across 68 runners (1.5% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tara Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2021, £23,600).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.5%−3.1
n=68 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −62.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
4.3%−0.3
n=23 · A/E 2.70 · £1 +28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.6
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10%+5.4
n=10 · A/E 2.01 · £1 +5.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−0.7
n=231 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −134.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+9.7
n=7 · A/E 5.33 · £1 +10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In NH Flat races 12.9% vs 4.6% · n=31
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.6% · n=34
With E Walsh 0% vs 4.6% · n=31
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 7.5% vs 4.6% · n=93
In Flat races 1.5% vs 4.6% · n=68
Off a 31-60-day break 7.1% vs 4.6% · n=56
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 175 8 4.6% −47.50
Flat 68 1 1.5% −53.00
NH Flat 31 4 12.9% +1.50
Chase 29 1 3.4% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 120 7 5.8% −38.00
Soft 83 2 2.4% −70.00
Good to Soft 46 2 4.3% −10.00
Heavy 33 2 6.1% +25.00
Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kilbeggan 24 2 8.3% −8.00
Navan 24 2 8.3% +6.00
Punchestown 23 1 4.3% −16.00
Downpatrick 21 2 9.5% −9.00
Fairyhouse 20 1 5% −8.00
Leopardstown 17 0 0% −17.00
Ballinrobe 16 0 0% −16.00
Dundalk (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Thurles 14 0 0% −14.00
Bellewstown 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Galway 12 0 0% −12.00
Sligo 12 0 0% −12.00
Roscommon 11 1 9.1% −3.50
Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 1 14.3% +10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 21 3 14.3% 1.10 −3.50
4th–6th fav 70 8 11.4% 1.95 +21.50
7th+ in betting 205 3 1.5% 0.61 −118.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.8% completed · 204 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 29 82.8% 3 1 1 0 0
Hurdle 175 86.3% 4 2 17 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Futurum Regem (IRE) 68 3 8 10 Nov 26
Happy Lad (IRE) 35 2 5 14 Dec 22
Never A Secret (IRE) 30 3 9 13 Jul 14
Lady Bluebird (IRE) 23 4 9 23 Sep 26
Not May (IRE) 19 0 4 25 Aug 25
Mustameet Secret (IRE) 18 0 1 1 Jan 26
Television (IRE) 17 0 1 7 Oct 24
Ar Aghaidh (IRE) 13 0 1 31 Oct 25
Nugentstown Sue (IRE) 10 0 1 5 Oct 26
Light Her Up (IRE) 9 0 1 21 Jul 26
Wee Valerie (IRE) 9 0 0 31 May 24
Alice's Star (IRE)then S Michael Millar 8 0 0 18 Jun 17
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for S Michael Millar (2); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0001507527548
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderEoghan Finegan
23% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.98
RiderRWSR£1
Eoghan Finegan 69 3 4.3% −37.50
E Walsh 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
15
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£195k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Futurum Regem (IRE) — Tara Handicap Hurdle (grade B) Navan · Dec 2021 · Grade B
£23,600
Futurum Regem (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (81-130) Navan · Nov 2021
£9,440
Lady Bluebird (IRE) — Cottage Autism Network Mares Beginners Chase Wexford · Jun 2026
£7,657

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sir Prancealot (IRE) 4.4% · 3–68
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,690 runs since 2016 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Heliostatic (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 9.7% of 423 runs since 2011 (44 horses).
Fruits Of Love (USA) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,778 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.
Retirement Plan (GB) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 7.7% of 156 runs since 2021 (17 horses).
Mustameet (USA) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,164 runs since 2013 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,981 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 317 · newest first

The latest 50 of 317 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 February 2005 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Hugh Paul Finegan's strike rate?
Hugh Paul Finegan has won 14 of 303 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Hugh Paul Finegan?
Eoghan Finegan, with 69 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.3%).
Is Hugh Paul Finegan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hugh Paul Finegan's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 303 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).