What is James Grassick's strike rate?

James Grassick has won 4 of 201 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Grassick do best at?

Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 37 runners (2.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is James Grassick's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Grassick

201 runners in the lifetime window · 24 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 17 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

4–201

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=201

11 (6%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=185 · 0.64 incl. margin

−60.40

£1 level stake

n=186 at SP · −32.5%

£42,698

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 4% off breaks of two months or more (57 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.5%

The read

The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (5.1%, n=39). The market has also underrated the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 2.07 across 51 runners (3.9% strike, +70.20 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 52 runners (0% strike, −45.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.5%+1.5

n=57 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −41.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%+5.7

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−2.0

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+9.1

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−2.0

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

1.9%−0.1

n=103 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +17.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.1% vs 2% · n=39

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 2% · n=52

Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2% · n=43

Off a 15-30-day break 3.9% vs 2% · n=51 · A/E 2.07

Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 2% · n=38

Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 2% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 171 4 2.3% −31.40

Hurdle 24 0 0% −23.00

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 73 1 1.4% −64.60

Soft 42 1 2.4% −38.00

Good to Soft 26 0 0% −21.00

Good 24 0 0% −21.00

Good to Firm 16 1 6.3% +86.00

Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Heavy 10 1 10% +8.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 37 1 2.7% −28.60

Saint-Cloud (FR) 20 1 5% −3.80

Wolverhampton (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00

Bath 15 1 6.7% +86.00

Kempton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Longchamp (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Brighton 10 0 0% −10.00

Chepstow 6 0 0% −6.00

Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00

Chantilly (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Lingfield 4 0 0% −4.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 4 1 25% −2.00

Morlaix (FR) 4 0 0% —

Chelmsford City (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Chester 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 51 1 2% +50.00

Class 4 22 0 0% −22.00

Class 5 22 0 0% −22.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

4th–6th fav 25 1 4% 0.90 −16.60

7th+ in betting 161 2 1.2% 0.72 −43.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Valentine Mist (IRE)from Seamus Mullins 36 1 6 17 Dec 21

Galik (FR)from P Sogorb 21 1 1 14 Oct 26

Lady Natasha (IRE)from K R Burke 18 0 1 10 Jan 20

Farrah's Choice (GB)from Tim Easterby 18 0 0 26 Jun 17

Sotchi (FR) 17 0 0 9 Jan 26

French Diva (FR)from E Lecoiffier · then Mme J Le Stang 14 1 2 23 Dec 24

Poetic License (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 11 0 0 1 May 17

Just Marion (IRE)from David Evans · then Clare Ellam 11 0 0 27 May 16

Isobel Bleu (GB) 8 0 0 6 Jan 23

Living On A Dream (GB) 8 0 0 14 Apr 21

Coco Light (FR)then Mme J Le Stang 5 0 0 19 Aug 23

Armement (FR) 5 0 0 16 Nov 16

All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dean Ivory (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Mme J Le Stang (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

006000650005

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Mme Manon Fleury 17 0 0% −17.00

Sophie Ralston 16 1 6.3% +85.00

Charlie Hammond 12 0 0% −12.00

Julia LaCroix 8 0 0% −8.00

Steve Drowne 8 0 0% −8.00

Delphine Santiago 7 0 0% −7.00

Paddy Pilley 7 0 0% −7.00

Fabrice Veron 7 1 14.3% +9.20

Conor Shoemark 5 0 0% −5.00

George Wood 4 0 0% −4.00

Mlle Marie Lemartinel 4 0 0% —

Tom Marquand 4 0 0% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

£42,698

Prize money

2025

Best season · 1 win

Galik (FR) — Prix de Montmartin (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2025

£9,091

French Diva (FR) — Prix de Moulines-Prix Finale du Challenge Barriere le Royal Deauville (Handicap) (4yo+) (Am) (Poly) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2024

£7,826

Glockenspiel (IRE) — Prix Claude Rouget (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Malo (FR) · Jul 2021

£4,464

Notable horses

Valentine Mist (IRE) Galik (FR) French Diva (FR) Glockenspiel (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Vale Of York (IRE) 2.8% · 1–36

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,909 runs since 2008 (139 horses).

Galiway (GB) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 11.5% of 1,730 runs since 2008 (287 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.5% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 393. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 231. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 483.

Alfred Nobel (IRE) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 7% of 985 runs since 2008 (63 horses).

Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,540 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

Olympic Glory (IRE) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,064 runs since 2008 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 149.

French Fifteen (FR) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.8% of 981 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 125. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.2% from 106. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.2% from 210.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 201 · newest first

The latest 50 of 201 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 October 2015 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Galik (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De Bretagne8f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 14/1

11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Galik (FR)J: Mohammad Zeeshaan Sahebjan Prix Bernard ChausseClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 16/1

02 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Galik (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix du Quai de la Quarantaine - World Pool by PMUClass 3 · 7.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 20/1

22 Jul 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Galik (FR)J: Soufiane Saadi Prix Claude RougetClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 15/2

11 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Galik (FR)J: L Boisseau Prix De La Mare Aux Canards3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 10/1

11 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) GalikJ: L Boisseau Prix De La Mare Aux Canards3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 10/1

05 Mar 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Galik (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix de Montmarin (Handicap) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 8th 19/1

09 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Maritime Mist (GB)J: Xavier Bergeron Prix de Saint-James (Maiden) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 93/1

09 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Sotchi (FR)J: Xavier Bergeron Prix de la Tortonne (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 113/1

13 Dec 25 Deauville (FR) Maritime Mist (GB)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix du Chalet Mozin (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 76/1

25 Oct 25 Cheltenham Sotchi (FR)J: Ellis Collier Play William Hill's Final One Standing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 13 ran PU 250/1

23 Sep 25 Auteuil (FR) Tillmouth (FR)J: Mathis Cypria Prix de Gien (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 34/1

13 Jul 25 Stratford Tillmouth (FR)J: Chris Ward 2025 Mary Cecilia Beddows Memorial Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 28/1

09 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Galik (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix de la Vallee du Lot (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Good · 16 ran 8th 20/1

17 Apr 25 Longchamp (FR) Galik (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix du Totalisateur Automatique (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Good · 14 ran 13th 10/1

11 Mar 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Galik (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix de Montmartin (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Heavy · 16 ran 1st 152/10

20 Feb 25 Chantilly (FR) Sealeria (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix de la Pierre de Rhuis (Maiden) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 17 ran 15th 179/1

20 Feb 25 Chantilly (FR) Galik (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix de l'Allee du Point Au Roi (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Grassick's strike rate?: James Grassick has won 4 of 201 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Grassick do best at?: Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 37 runners (2.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is James Grassick's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.