Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%+0.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 44.7% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase2400%−24.00
Hurdle1700%−17.00
Flat1200%−12.00
NH Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good1300%−13.00
Soft1300%−13.00
Standard (AW)1100%−11.00
Good to Firm900%−9.00
Good to Soft700%−7.00
Heavy500%−5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW)800%−8.00
Uttoxeter800%−8.00
Ludlow400%−4.00
Stratford400%−4.00
Chepstow400%−4.00
Towcester400%−4.00
Worcester400%−4.00
Bangor-on-Dee300%−3.00
Kempton (AW)300%−3.00
Plumpton200%−2.00
Hereford200%−2.00
Cheltenham200%−2.00
Sandown200%−2.00
Taunton100%−1.00
Exeter100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 42300%−23.00
Class 52000%−20.00
Class 6600%−6.00
Class 7600%−6.00
Class 3300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav1700%0.00−17.00
7th+ in betting3600%0.00−36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m1500%−15.00
2m5f – 3m1500%−15.00
2m1f – 2m4f1000%−10.00
Over 3m600%−6.00
6f – 7f500%−5.00
1m2f – 1m4f300%−3.00
1m – 1m1f300%−3.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20083200%−32.00
2009200%−2.00
20101100%−11.00
2011400%−4.00
2017100%−1.00
2018200%−2.00
2019300%−3.00
2020100%−1.00
2024100%−1.00
2026100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2400%−24.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners2600%−26.00
14-16 runners1200%−12.00
8-10 runners1200%−12.00
5-7 runners600%−6.00
17+ runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 17 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.
5 have since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000·0·0·0
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Heavy Weather (IRE) — Free Live Commentary @ gg.com Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Nov 2006 · Class 4
£4,554
Squantum (IRE) — Compare Prices At Gg-odds.com Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Jan 2006 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 447 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Mtoto (GB)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,003 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.3% from 135. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 203. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 103.
Dr Massini (IRE)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Glacial Storm (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.3% of 959 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.6% from 151.
Goldmark (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.7% of 606 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 154. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 138.
Alflora (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 114 · newest first
The latest 50 of 114 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2006 to 15 May 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Joanne Priest's strike rate?
Joanne Priest has won 0 of 58 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Joanne Priest's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 58 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Joanne Priest·SR 0%·A/E 0.00
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy