What is Joe Tizzard's strike rate?

Joe Tizzard has won 249 of 1,700 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joe Tizzard do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 10 wins from 35 runners (28.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Joe Tizzard?

Brendan Powell, with 1,098 runners since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 157 (14.3%).

Is Joe Tizzard in form?

In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 28%. That is above the baseline of 14.6% since 2008.

What is Joe Tizzard's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,694 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Joe Tizzard

1,700 runners in the lifetime window · 187 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.2% of 408 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

In form — 7 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

249–1,700

Wins / Runs

14.6%

Strike rate

n=1,700

586 (35%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,694 · 0.89 incl. margin

−274.26

£1 level stake

n=1,700 at SP · −16.1%

£4.77m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 17% (71 runs, true-first definition). The yard is in form now — 7 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,700 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Nov Fresh horses: 15.3% 42.2% when favourite Brendan Powell: 14.3% from 1,098 New recruits: 16.7% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (28.6%, n=35), Plumpton (22.7%, n=97) and Ascot (23.2%, n=56) — all clear of the yard's 14.6% baseline. It is weakest at Stratford (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 10.9% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.93). Right now the yard is firing: 7 winners from 25 runners in the last 14 days (28%, 13.4pts above the 14.6% baseline). Brendan Powell rides 65% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.3%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 7.8% over 154 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the My Pension Expert Clarence House Chase at Cheltenham (Jan 2024, £59,798). The stable star of the record: Scarface (IRE) — 7 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.3%+0.7

n=419 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −20.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.7%+2.1

n=102 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −25.37

Debutants · first career start

12.8%−1.8

n=86 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −11.92

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.9%+2.3

n=71 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +4.49

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−8.7

n=17 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −9.50

When favourite

42.2%

n=218 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +22.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.8%−0.8

n=276 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −100.72

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.9%−3.7

n=92 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −11.18

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.8% vs 14.6% · n=240

At Ffos Las 28.6% vs 14.6% · n=35

At Stratford 3.2% vs 14.6% · n=31

At Plumpton 22.7% vs 14.6% · n=97

At Ascot 23.2% vs 14.6% · n=56

In Class 1 7.8% vs 14.6% · n=154

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 17.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 808 130 16.1% −161.41

Hurdle 752 106 14.1% −81.18

NH Flat 108 11 10.2% −9.17

Flat 32 2 6.3% −22.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 683 111 16.3% −161.52

Good to Soft 534 65 12.2% −14.95

Soft 318 43 13.5% −79.69

Heavy 116 22 19% +1.53

Good to Firm 33 6 18.2% −13.13

Standard (AW) 15 2 13.3% −5.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 208 27 13% −7.42

Newton Abbot 189 36 19% −28.28

Exeter 175 20 11.4% −48.40

Taunton 116 15 12.9% −43.98

Fontwell 107 21 19.6% +84.59

Chepstow 101 9 8.9% −61.93

Plumpton 97 22 22.7% −2.55

Cheltenham 90 8 8.9% −19.34

Kempton 76 9 11.8% −37.31

Newbury 70 9 12.9% −3.92

Ascot 56 13 23.2% −4.07

Sandown 44 4 9.1% −25.12

Worcester 36 4 11.1% −18.37

Hereford 36 8 22.2% +5.36

Ffos Las 35 10 28.6% +15.02

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 600 94 15.7% +11.61

Class 5 409 57 13.9% −120.30

Class 3 324 52 16% −61.65

Class 2 201 32 15.9% −40.07

Class 1 154 12 7.8% −61.35

Class 6 12 2 16.7% −2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 251 105 41.8% 1.26 +37.17

2nd–3rd fav 556 91 16.4% 0.91 −133.93

4th–6th fav 577 45 7.8% 0.88 −80.50

7th+ in betting 316 8 2.5% 0.72 −97.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84% completed · 1,560 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 808 80.2% 26 17 116 1 0

Hurdle 752 88.2% 13 10 64 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Striking A Pose (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 35 4 10 23 Jun 26

Scarface (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 31 7 14 6 Nov 26

Belgarum (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 30 5 9 13 Jul 26

Triple Trade (GB)from Colin Tizzard 29 7 13 25 Oct 26

Sherborne (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 29 7 12 14 Oct 26

Bourbali (FR)from Colin Tizzard 28 2 10 23 Mar 26

West Orchard (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 27 5 11 11 Oct 26

Kauto The King (FR)from Colin Tizzard 27 5 8 14 Nov 24

Non Stop (FR)from Colin Tizzard 25 5 12 5 Nov 26

Bertie Wooster (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 25 1 9 17 Oct 26

Moonlight Artist (GB) 25 2 6 17 Apr 26

Copperhead (GB)from Colin Tizzard 25 5 10 29 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 187 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Colin Tizzard (33); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

7 from 25 28% · +13.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days28%

Lifetime base14.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1514121118187172717209

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrendan Powell

65% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Brendan Powell 1,098 157 14.3% −209.68

Freddie Gingell 285 52 18.2% +9.07

Harry Kimber 79 9 11.4% −34.90

Harry Cobden 35 5 14.3% +18.07

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

249

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.77m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 62 wins

Elixir De Nutz (FR) — My Pension Expert Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2024 · Grade 1

£59,798

Jpr One (IRE) — BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race) Exeter · Nov 2024 · Grade 2

£59,440

Alexei (GER) — Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2025 · Class 1

£56,950

Notable horses

Scarface (IRE) Sherborne (IRE) Triple Trade (GB) Jpr One (IRE) Alexei (GER) Belgarum (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 12.5% · 15–120

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 19.4% · 18–93

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,054 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 12.3% · 10–81

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,192 runs since 2010 (922 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Westerner (GB) 21% · 17–81

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,861 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Milan (GB) 15% · 9–60

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,883 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 13.6% of 2,250 runs since 2016 (256 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,700 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,700 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2022 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Aintree Alexei (GER)J: Harry Cobden William Hill Molyneux Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (Formerly Registered As The Elite Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 1st 4/7F

06 Nov 26 Aintree JPR One (IRE)J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr. BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 11/4

06 Nov 26 Hexham Scarface (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 4/1

06 Nov 26 Hexham Walk Tall (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran UR 15/8

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Sea Warrior (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams OPC Home Guard Remembrance Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 6/5F

06 Nov 26 Hexham Luna Marquesa (FR)J: Freddie Gingell Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 7/2

05 Nov 26 Plumpton Jenny France (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (EBF Mares' NH Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 3 ran 1st 4/7F

05 Nov 26 Plumpton Sweet Caryline (GB)J: Freddie Gingell Bet On-Course With Star Sports Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 9/4

05 Nov 26 Newbury Non Stop (FR)J: William Featherstone OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Uncle Cc (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 3/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Squib (GB)J: Freddie Gingell LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 250/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Horethorne (IRE)J: Freddie Gingell LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 150/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Gingerbred (GB)J: William Featherstone Lords Taverners Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 10/11F

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Diamond Days (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran F 5/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Colombe D'or (FR)J: Brendan Powell Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 7/2

31 Oct 26 Ascot Rightsotom (GER)J: Brendan Powell Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 12th 28/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot No Way Jay (IRE)J: Brendan Powell 1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 7/4

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Ugo Bingo (FR)J: Brendan Powell bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 13/8F

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Valiant Soldier (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Dandara Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/2

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Baile An Or (IRE)J: Brendan Powell bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 10 runs (won 3) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 12 runs (won 5) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 5) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Joe Tizzard's strike rate?: Joe Tizzard has won 249 of 1,700 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joe Tizzard do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 10 wins from 35 runners (28.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Joe Tizzard?: Brendan Powell, with 1,098 runners since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 157 (14.3%).
Is Joe Tizzard in form?: In the last 14 days: 25 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 28%. That is above the baseline of 14.6% since 2008.
What is Joe Tizzard's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,694 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.