John Dixon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (84 runs).
The record is strongest at Carlisle (10.4%, n=77), clear of the yard's 7.1% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10.7% (n=84, Fair A/E 1.70). Mr John Dixon rides 82% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (10.7%, n=121). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 1.5% over 67 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 57 runners (3.5% strike, −37.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Captain Zebo (IRE) — 7 wins from 23 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 295 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 295 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 4 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John Dixon's strike rate?
- John Dixon has won 18 of 254 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Dixon do best at?
- Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 77 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John Dixon?
- Mr John Dixon, with 208 runners since 2008 — 82% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (8.2%).
- What is John Dixon's Fair A/E?
- 1.04, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.