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Trainer profile

John Dixon

254 runners in the lifetime window · 15 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 29 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
18–254
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=254
45 (18%)
Placed
1.04
n=252 · 0.90 incl. margin
−78.25
£1 level stake
n=254 at SP · −30.8%
£165k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (84 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 254 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.7% Mr John Dixon: 8.2% from 208 Claiming riders: 7.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (10.4%, n=77), clear of the yard's 7.1% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10.7% (n=84, Fair A/E 1.70). Mr John Dixon rides 82% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (10.7%, n=121). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 1.5% over 67 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 57 runners (3.5% strike, −37.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Captain Zebo (IRE) — 7 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.7%+3.6
n=84 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +9.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
37.5%+30.4
n=8 · A/E 4.58 · £1 +21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.3%−2.8
n=23 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
100%
n=2 · A/E 2.95 · £1 +3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%+0.5
n=223 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −55.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 1.5% vs 7.1% · n=67
In Class 4 10.7% vs 7.1% · n=121
On Good to Soft going 3.5% vs 7.1% · n=57
At Carlisle 10.4% vs 7.1% · n=77
In Chase races 3.3% vs 7.1% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.8% vs 7.1% · n=83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 215 17 7.9% −47.25
Chase 30 1 3.3% −22.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 85 6 7.1% −10.50
Soft 68 6 8.8% −23.75
Good to Soft 57 2 3.5% −37.75
Heavy 35 3 8.6% −3.25
Good to Firm 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Carlisle 77 8 10.4% −21.50
Hexham 47 3 6.4% −11.50
Cartmel 28 1 3.6% −20.00
Wetherby 25 3 12% +8.50
Perth 18 1 5.6% +16.00
Ayr 17 1 5.9% −13.75
Kelso 14 1 7.1% −8.00
Newcastle 11 0 0% −11.00
Sedgefield 7 0 0% −7.00
Catterick 6 0 0% −6.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 121 13 10.7% +28.25
Class 5 67 1 1.5% −59.00
Class 3 49 3 6.1% −35.50
Class 2 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 2 66.7% 2.42 +2.50
2nd–3rd fav 35 6 17.1% 1.01 −3.25
4th–6th fav 85 6 7.1% 0.86 −25.50
7th+ in betting 131 4 3.1% 1.14 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.4% completed · 245 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 73.3% 1 1 6 0 0
Hurdle 215 91.6% 2 7 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pistol (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 54 3 13 26 Mar 23
Daniel's Dream (GB) 35 0 0 22 Jul 13
Captain Zebo (IRE)from M F Morris 23 7 9 1 Jun 24
Circus Star (USA)from Pam Sly 22 3 9 10 Mar 17
Crofton Arch (GB)from Maurice Barnes 21 1 3 2 Oct 12
Presence Felt (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill 19 2 4 21 Apr 21
Blazing Court (IRE)from Martin Keighley 14 0 1 2 Oct 26
Road To Rosley (GB) 13 0 1 6 Jun 26
Hourless (GB)from Alan King 13 0 0 22 Mar 26
Crofton Lane (GB) 5 0 0 14 Apr 14
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
818805100006313
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr John Dixon
82% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Mr John Dixon 208 17 8.2% −40.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
£175k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Captain Zebo (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Dec 2020 · Class 2
£10,397
Captain Zebo (IRE) — Like Racing TV On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Feb 2020 · Class 3
£8,123
Pistol (IRE) — Watch Racing Uk On 3 Devices Handicap Hurdle Carlisle · Feb 2016 · Class 3
£6,498

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
High Chaparral (IRE) 5.6% · 3–54
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Prince Daniel (USA) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 6.3% of 207 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Brian Boru (GB) 30.4% · 7–23
Progeny have won 11% of 4,123 runs since 2009 (285 horses).
Borrego (USA) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 4.8% of 62 runs since 2010 (4 horses).
Galileo (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Jumbo Hirt (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 3.7% of 54 runs since 2008 (5 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 295 · newest first

The latest 50 of 295 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Feb 26 Carlisle Road To Rosley (GB)J: Mr John Dixon Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 200/1
16 Dec 25 Catterick Blazing Court (IRE)J: Mr John Dixon Nick Robinson Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Dixon's strike rate?
John Dixon has won 18 of 254 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Dixon do best at?
Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 77 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Dixon?
Mr John Dixon, with 208 runners since 2008 — 82% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (8.2%).
What is John Dixon's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).