What is L Maceli's strike rate?

L Maceli has won 10 of 212 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does L Maceli do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 44 runners (6.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is L Maceli's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

L Maceli

212 runners in the lifetime window · 70 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2025

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

10–212

Wins / Runs

4.7%

Strike rate

n=212

38 (18%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=211 · 0.79 incl. margin

+27.80

£1 level stake

n=211 at SP · +13.2%

£370k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (108 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 212 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.8% Claiming riders: 7.4%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 7.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +63.90 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.8%, n=51). The market has also underrated the yard on Heavy going: Fair A/E 1.22 across 74 runners (6.8% strike, +39.10 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.52 across 117 runners (2.6% strike, −73.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%+0.1

n=63 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +57.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−0.4

n=46 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +36.70

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.7

n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−1.1

n=28 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −22.30

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%+1.6

n=16 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +19.00

When favourite

66.7%

n=3 · A/E 2.39 · £1 +3.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%+2.7

n=108 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +63.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.7

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 9.8% vs 4.7% · n=51

With horses switching code 9.3% vs 4.7% · n=43

With claiming riders up 7.4% vs 4.7% · n=108

In Hurdle races 2.6% vs 4.7% · n=117

On Heavy going 6.8% vs 4.7% · n=74

At Compiegne (FR) 6.8% vs 4.7% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 117 3 2.6% −73.50

Chase 51 5 9.8% +64.40

Flat 44 2 4.5% +36.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 101 4 4% −51.30

Heavy 74 5 6.8% +39.10

Standard (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00

Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% +62.00

Good 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 109 5 4.6% +7.10

Compiegne (FR) 44 3 6.8% −2.20

Saint-Cloud (FR) 14 2 14.3% +66.90

Chantilly (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00

Deauville (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Longchamp (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Pau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Toulouse (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Saint-Brieuc (FR) 1 0 0% —

Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 2 50% 1.88 +2.70

2nd–3rd fav 17 3 17.6% 1.02 −5.50

4th–6th fav 34 1 2.9% 0.38 −26.40

7th+ in betting 156 4 2.6% 1.03 +57.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

69% completed · 168 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 51 68.6% 6 0 10 0 0

Hurdle 117 69.2% 4 1 30 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dreams (FR)then S Pecoraro 10 1 4 10 Jul 23

Lastdream D'Oroux (FR) 9 1 2 10 Apr 25

Paint Prince (FR)from Erwan Grall · then E D'Andigne 9 1 2 3 Oct 23

Benevolat (FR)from G Macaire 9 0 1 7 Mar 21

The Reckoning (FR)from M Seror · then G Lecomte 8 0 4 23 Nov 18

Xat (FR) 7 0 0 1 Oct 25

Afghany (FR)from Paul Dolle 6 0 0 19 Oct 24

Wynoma (FR) 6 0 0 14 Sep 24

Singapore Trip (FR)from Yannick Fouin · then Davide Satalia 6 0 2 30 Mar 23

Stormicaya (FR) 6 0 0 17 Oct 22

Gudari (FR)from Alain Couetil 6 1 1 5 Jul 21

Edidindo (FR)from Mme Doris Schoenherr 6 0 1 19 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 70 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Erwan Grall (3) and M Seror (3); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for G Lecomte (2) and Leonardo D Racco (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

00655000410130

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Luigi Maceli 20 0 0% −20.00

Enzo Bonnet 19 4 21.1% +92.80

Corentin Smeulders 18 1 5.6% +17.00

Thomas Beaurain 10 0 0% −10.00

Rosario Mangione 9 0 0% −9.00

Angelo Gasnier 8 0 0% −8.00

Mlle Maelle Daubry-Barbier 8 0 0% −8.00

Quentin Samaria 7 0 0% −7.00

Christopher Riou 6 1 16.7% −2.40

Benoit Claudic 5 0 0% −5.00

Cristian Demuro 5 1 20% −1.10

Baptiste Meme 5 0 0% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£370k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 3 wins

Lully Des Bruyeres (FR) — Prix Katko (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025

£23,430

Lastdream D'Oroux (FR) — Prix de Thonon (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2024

£10,400

Dreams (FR) — Prix de Chaumont-en-Vexin (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2023

£10,177

Notable horses

Jim'Agime (FR) Dreams (FR) Lastdream D'Oroux (FR) Paint Prince (FR) Gudari (FR) Luminesce (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Morandi (FR) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 7.9% of 560 runs since 2008 (75 horses).

Dom Alco (FR) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 17.1% of 1,831 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 21.5% from 326. Weakest on Good going: 14.1% from 389.

Goken (FR) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,062 runs since 2008 (245 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 244. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.2% from 198.

Karaktar (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 12.8% of 721 runs since 2008 (146 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.7% from 257. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.

Prince Gibraltar (FR) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.6% of 868 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 155.

Enrique (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,601 runs since 2008 (289 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 370. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.8% from 462. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 347.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 212 · newest first

The latest 50 of 212 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 March 2018 to 1 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Oct 25 Auteuil (FR) Xat (FR)J: Enzo Bonnet Prix Vivienne (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 7 ran DSQ 13/1

10 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Rum Tum Tugger (FR)J: Mme Perrine Cheyer Prix de Clarbec - Familia Menditeguy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf)5.5f · Good · 16 ran 14th 50/1

10 Jul 25 Longchamp (FR) Rum Tum Tugger (FR)J: Mme Perrine Cheyer Prix de Charenton (Handicap) (4yo) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 80/1

29 Jun 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Monclar De Mix (FR)J: Mr Yannick Mergirie Prix General de Saint-Didier - Trophee Studio Harcourt (Conditions) (4yo+) (Gentlemen Amateur Riders15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 94/1

29 Jun 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Luminesce (FR)J: Mr Niccolo Guarnieri Prix General de Saint-Didier - Trophee Studio Harcourt (Conditions) (4yo+) (Gentlemen Amateur Riders15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 68/1

05 Jun 25 Longchamp (FR) Perle De Beauvais (FR)J: Miss Ella Muntwyler Prix Pat Glennon (Conditions) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)8f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 71/1

05 Jun 25 Longchamp (FR) Strangelove (IRE)J: Jerome Claudic Prix du Petit Montrouge (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 96/1

31 May 25 Auteuil (FR) Lully Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix la Perichole (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 9 ran 5th 40/1

31 May 25 Auteuil (FR) Xat (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix Loreto (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran 6th 15/1

25 May 25 Longchamp (FR) Luminesce (FR)J: Giovanni Sias Prix de la Rue Cremieux (Handicap) (4yo) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)12.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 53/1

17 May 25 Auteuil (FR) Lully Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Enzo Bonnet Prix Regalia (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 18/1

14 May 25 Compiegne (FR) Xat (FR)J: Francesco Mula Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 16 ran 13th 40/1

09 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Strangelove (IRE)J: Leonard Plommee Prix de Brocas (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 73/1

01 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ocean Star (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix Royal Hampton (Conditions) (2yo) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 60/1

28 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Lilas Trezy (FR)J: Giovanni Sias Prix du Bois des Bouleaux (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 15/1

26 Apr 25 Auteuil (FR) Lully Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Enzo Bonnet Prix Katko (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 62/1

11 Apr 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Luminesce (FR)J: Giovanni Sias Prix du Parc de Becon (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 10/1

10 Apr 25 Auteuil (FR) Lastdream D'Oroux (FR)J: Quentin Samaria Prix du Barry (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 10/1

02 Apr 25 Compiegne (FR) Xat (FR)J: Quentin Samaria Prix le Hon (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 9th 35/1

24 Mar 25 Compiegne (FR) Xat (FR)J: Tanguy Andrieux Prix de Brissac (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is L Maceli's strike rate?: L Maceli has won 10 of 212 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does L Maceli do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 44 runners (6.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is L Maceli's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.