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Trainer profile

M Krebs

676 runners in the lifetime window · 64 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Runners today 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
41–676
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=676
148 (22%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=667 · 0.75 incl. margin
−231.45
£1 level stake
n=667 at SP · −34.7%
£752k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (75 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 676 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 22.7% when favourite M Guyon: 10.5% from 76 New recruits: 6.3% Claiming riders: 8% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −92.70 to a £1 stake over 219 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. M Guyon rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.5% vs 6.1%, A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well on Soft going (11.9%, n=59) and off a 15-30-day break (10%, n=251). The stable star of the record: Shyamala (GB) — 6 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.2%−2.9
n=219 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −92.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%+0.2
n=48 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −27.90
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%+0.2
n=32 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −3.80
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
22.7%
n=44 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −3.95
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%+1.9
n=75 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −15.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 6.1% · n=43
On Soft going 11.9% vs 6.1% · n=59
With Jerome Claudic 0% vs 6.1% · n=35
Off a 15-30-day break 10% vs 6.1% · n=251
At Saint-Cloud 0% vs 6.1% · n=31
With M Guyon 10.5% vs 6.1% · n=76
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 667 40 6% −229.35
Hurdle 9 1 11.1% −2.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 460 26 5.7% −180.55
Good to Soft 83 6 7.2% −15.30
Soft 59 7 11.9% +16.50
Good 53 2 3.8% −31.10
Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 261 17 6.5% −83.05
Chantilly (FR) 225 9 4% −136.20
Longchamp (FR) 48 2 4.2% −22.60
Saint-Cloud 31 0 0% −31.00
Strasbourg (FR) 25 1 4% −21.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 16 3 18.8% +32.90
Vichy (FR) 11 2 18.2% +13.00
Moulins (FR) 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 9 1 11.1% +15.70
Lyon Parilly (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Compiegne (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.10
Vittel 6 0 0% −5.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 5 2 40% +8.70
Nancy (FR) 5 0 0% −3.00
Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 23 3 13% +18.00
Class 3 13 3 23.1% +12.50
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 45 10 22.2% 1.08 −4.95
2nd–3rd fav 71 10 14.1% 1.10 −17.30
4th–6th fav 151 8 5.3% 0.66 −71.20
7th+ in betting 400 12 3% 0.89 −138.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shyamala (GB)from E J O'Neill 45 6 13 21 Feb 25
Sea Wings (GB)from N Caullery 42 2 16 2 May 25
Bremontier (FR)from S Wattel 35 1 7 20 Sep 26
Louve Precieuse (FR)from H-A Pantall 31 2 6 3 Nov 26
Secret Glory (FR) 29 1 6 20 Sep 26
Into The Rock (GB)from F Foresi 28 0 7 6 Jan 23
Hur Cat (FR)from M Boutin 26 3 7 16 Oct 26
Makenzo (FR) 25 2 9 3 Feb 24
Antinea (FR)from S Cerulis 24 3 8 19 Oct 26
Kailyn (GER) 24 4 9 7 Aug 22
Poldina (FR)from H-A Pantall 23 0 4 7 Oct 23
Audeladesetoiles (FR)from S Wattel 22 1 4 16 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 44 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H-A Pantall (3) and N Caullery (3); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
74545306126611
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderM Guyon
11% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 0.93
RiderRWSR£1
M Guyon 76 8 10.5% −27.40
Theo Bachelot 69 7 10.1% +7.40
Marvin Grandin 52 2 3.8% −28.00
Cristian Demuro 39 3 7.7% −9.50
F Valle Skar 37 2 5.4% +1.30
Jerome Claudic 35 0 0% −35.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 34 1 2.9% −9.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
42
Archived wins
£757k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 10 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nadeem Alward (FR) — Prix des Aunettes (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Sep 2018
£24,336
Kailyn (GER) — Prix Dunette (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Fontainebleau (FR) · Mar 2018
£23,009
Nadeem Alward (FR) — Prix Cirrus des Aigles (Conditions) (4yo+) (Polytrack) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2019
£12,613
Notable horses
Shyamala (GB) Kailyn (GER) Gold Shiva (FR) Hur Cat (FR) Antinea (FR) Nadeem Alward (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sepoy (AUS) 13.3% · 6–45
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,373 runs since 2016 (279 horses).
Goken (FR) 11.4% · 5–44
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,094 runs since 2020 (246 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 4.8% · 2–42
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,979 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 0% · 0–37
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,567 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Ultra (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 7.6% of 382 runs since 2021 (63 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.5% from 142.
Dabirsim (FR) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,160 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 676 · newest first

The latest 50 of 676 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2007 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Asprila (GB)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix Du Labyrinthe De Buis8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 9/1
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Louve Precieuse (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix D'hablonville7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 16/1
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Asterale (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix D'hablonville7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 11/4F
02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) No Time (FR)J: Benjamin Marie Prix Des FrenesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 22/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Fury Boxing (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Race And CareClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 20/1
01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Lady Madeira (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Square De LiegeClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 12/1
28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Kaleocreek (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De PeronneClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 15/2
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Nousdeux (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Des Pentes De La Croix-rousseClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 15/2
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Louve Precieuse (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix De La Foret De Bizy7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 7/1
21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Asterale (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De La Foret De Bizy7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 11/4F
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Antinea (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De La Foret De Cerisy9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 20/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Fury Boxing (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Foret D'ecouves9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 14/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Lady Madeira (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Foret De Cinglais9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 12/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wakaburn (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 40/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) No Time (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 28/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Audeladesetoiles (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Hur Cat (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Soutien A La Foret De FontainebleauClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 7/2
15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Charming Cecilia (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Du Chene De La Basse Pommeraie9f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 7/1
11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Nousdeux (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix "Eperon De Nancy"Class 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran — 18/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Kaleocreek (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Carrefour Du FrancportClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 4th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Krebs's strike rate?
M Krebs has won 41 of 676 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Krebs do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 17 wins from 261 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Krebs?
M Guyon, with 76 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10.5%).
Is M Krebs in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Krebs's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 667 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).