What is Michael Winters's strike rate?

Michael Winters has won 155 of 1,501 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Winters do best at?

Galway by strike rate: 8 wins from 34 runners (23.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Winters?

Brian Hayes, with 131 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (6.1%).

What is Michael Winters's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 1,501 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Winters

1,501 runners in the lifetime window · 214 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 92 days ago 93% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

155–1,501

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=1,501

387 (26%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=1,501 · 0.92 incl. margin

−501.46

£1 level stake

n=1,501 at SP · −33.4%

£2.50m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). In Group and Graded company the record reads 24% (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,501 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Nov 37.7% when favourite Brian Hayes: 6.1% from 131 Group/Graded: 24.2% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Galway (23.5%, n=34), clear of the yard's 10.3% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 24.2% (n=66, Fair A/E 1.38), but debutants struggle at 3.9% (n=154, Fair A/E 0.73). Brian Hayes rides 9% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.1% vs 10.3%, A/E 0.90). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (24.2%, n=66). 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle at Galway (Aug 2012, £156,600). The stable star of the record: Rebel Fitz (FR) — 18 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.8%−2.5

n=332 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −153.59

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.6%−3.7

n=61 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −26.25

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−6.4

n=154 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −118.42

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%−1.0

n=86 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −9.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.8%+1.5

n=68 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −17.25

When favourite

37.7%

n=162 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +1.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−2.6

n=765 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −263.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

24.2%+13.9

n=66 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +6.91

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 31.3% vs 10.3% · n=144

With C&D winners 29.6% vs 10.3% · n=71

With Davy Russell 33.3% vs 10.3% · n=30

In Class 1 24.2% vs 10.3% · n=66

In Group / Graded races 24.2% vs 10.3% · n=66

At Galway 23.5% vs 10.3% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 907 81 8.9% −322.93

Chase 395 51 12.9% −103.48

Flat 103 16 15.5% −13.80

NH Flat 96 7 7.3% −61.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 506 46 9.1% −181.02

Good 426 46 10.8% −98.40

Heavy 376 44 11.7% −138.13

Good to Soft 122 15 12.3% −24.25

Good to Firm 61 4 6.6% −49.66

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 242 26 10.7% −124.19

Clonmel 204 18 8.8% −84.00

Limerick 174 13 7.5% −54.67

Tramore 111 6 5.4% −55.25

Thurles 103 11 10.7% −42.06

Listowel 87 12 13.8% −4.08

Killarney 79 5 6.3% −44.43

Tipperary 70 10 14.3% −30.93

Ballinrobe 63 7 11.1% −30.06

Wexford 53 8 15.1% +9.50

Downpatrick 46 3 6.5% +4.25

Galway 34 8 23.5% −0.03

Punchestown 33 2 6.1% −27.58

Fairyhouse 30 7 23.3% +45.33

Kilbeggan 25 5 20% −4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 66 16 24.2% +6.91

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 174 64 36.8% 1.28 +2.17

2nd–3rd fav 272 53 19.5% 1.33 +8.37

4th–6th fav 366 23 6.3% 0.94 −122.00

7th+ in betting 689 15 2.2% 0.79 −390.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 608 59 9.7% −178.95

1m5f – 2m 507 57 11.2% −199.21

2m5f – 3m 312 35 11.2% −77.80

1m2f – 1m4f 37 4 10.8% −8.50

Over 3m 15 0 0% −15.00

6f – 7f 11 0 0% −11.00

1m – 1m1f 10 0 0% −10.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 57 6 10.5% −2.50

2009 44 7 15.9% −17.08

2010 53 7 13.2% −9.09

2011 63 9 14.3% −25.64

2012 77 10 13% −44.32

2013 101 17 16.8% −14.85

2014 86 9 10.5% −41.87

2015 98 17 17.3% −27.84

2016 125 8 6.4% −75.43

2017 114 9 7.9% −54.00

2018 120 10 8.3% −53.37

2019 95 5 5.3% −63.88

2020 47 7 14.9% −10.38

2021 118 8 6.8% −55.12

2022 86 5 5.8% −38.00

2023 71 3 4.2% −13.42

2024 54 7 13% +52.00

2025 55 7 12.7% +9.00

2026 37 4 10.8% −15.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 690 72 10.4% −57.85

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 474 36 7.6% −149.47

11-13 runners 357 34 9.5% −171.93

17+ runners 350 31 8.9% −90.55

8-10 runners 220 28 12.7% −79.57

5-7 runners 95 24 25.3% −9.11

2-4 runners 5 2 40% −0.83

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.7% completed · 1,302 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 395 83% 28 12 27 0 0

Hurdle 907 88.3% 27 9 63 4 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Crowsatedappletart (IRE)then M Winters 48 8 20 3 Aug 26

Silver Chief (IRE) 36 2 11 31 Aug 14

Theos Well (GB)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 33 5 10 15 Apr 18

Doldido (IRE) 30 3 11 12 Oct 21

Rebel Fitz (FR) 30 18 25 19 Sep 15

Missunited (IRE) 29 12 21 31 Jul 14

Shes Flat Tothemat (IRE) 27 3 5 10 Dec 20

Pana To Milan (IRE) 26 3 5 13 Feb 25

Damut (IRE)from Joseph Dullea 25 2 6 24 Feb 22

Chatham Street Lad (IRE) 25 6 11 20 Nov 21

Model Cloud (IRE) 24 1 3 17 Aug 18

Junot (IRE)from G M Lyons 21 1 6 14 May 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 214 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G M Lyons (2) and John J Walsh (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for M Winters (4); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5991010127101717126

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hayes

9% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 0.90

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hayes 131 8 6.1% −88.00

Martin Ferris 102 6 5.9% −53.50

Donal McInerney 89 9 10.1% −23.37

Darragh O'Keeffe 71 11 15.5% +8.25

B J Foley 64 2 3.1% −50.25

Mr M J O'Connor 55 11 20% −4.92

Simon Torrens 39 2 5.1% −10.00

L P Dempsey 32 3 9.4% −4.87

Davy Russell 30 10 33.3% −1.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

164

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.61m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rebel Fitz (FR) — Guinness Galway Hurdle (Grade A Handicap) Galway · Aug 2012 · Grade A

£156,600

Missunited (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (grade A) Galway · Aug 2013 · Grade A

£156,600

Chatham Street Lad (IRE) — Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Dec 2020 · Grade 3

£59,798

Notable horses

Rebel Fitz (FR) Missunited (IRE) For Bill (IRE) Crowsatedappletart (IRE) Chatham Street Lad (IRE) Theos Well (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 15.5% · 16–103

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 6.7% · 5–75

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Beneficial (GB) 16.4% · 10–61

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 10.2% · 6–59

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,285 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Golan (IRE) 25.5% · 14–55

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 15.7% · 8–51

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,870 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,576 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,576 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 3 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Crowsatedappletart (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 6th 10/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Carajillo (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 13th 150/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Le Vent D'ex (FR)J: Jordan Canavan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 12th 125/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Clarin Breeze (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17f · Good · 16 ran 13th 80/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Misty Valentine (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 15th 250/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Kauto Empress (FR)J: Ms A T O'Reilly www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 10th 200/1

01 Jun 26 Listowel Misty Valentine (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott Nora Canty Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 66/1

01 Jun 26 Listowel Kauto Empress (FR)J: Aidan Kelly Nora Canty Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 80/1

30 May 26 Listowel Carajillo (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Eamon Foran Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran PU 80/1

30 May 26 Listowel Black Dakota (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Eamon Foran Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 28/1

15 May 26 Kilbeggan Shellrunforbriggs (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Cooke's Bar And Restaurant Caragh Beginners Chase20.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st EvensF

15 May 26 Kilbeggan Carajillo (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott CK Interiors Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 50/1

07 May 26 Wexford Black Dakota (IRE)J: Mr Andrew Burke-Ott Buy Tickets Online Novice Hunters Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 5th 4/1

07 May 26 Wexford Crowsatedappletart (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Wexford Town Handicap Chase16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 1st 10/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Fenian Maxios (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 8th 50/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Shellrunforbriggs (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe D'Icon Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 1st 3/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Crowsatedappletart (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe D & J Glazing Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 8/1

06 Apr 26 Cork River Vale (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Coolmore N.H. Sires Kyprios Handicap Chase17f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 10/3

06 Apr 26 Cork Fenian Maxios (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Leisure Dome Ltd. Marquee Hire Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 16/1

02 Apr 26 Clonmel Blossom Trixie (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor KEP Italia Superior Helmets Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Winters's strike rate?: Michael Winters has won 155 of 1,501 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Winters do best at?: Galway by strike rate: 8 wins from 34 runners (23.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Winters?: Brian Hayes, with 131 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (6.1%).
What is Michael Winters's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 1,501 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.