What is Mme A Rosa's strike rate?

Mme A Rosa has won 14 of 216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme A Rosa do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Mme A Rosa's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mme A Rosa

216 runners in the lifetime window · 49 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2022

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

14–216

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=216

44 (20%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=211 · 0.90 incl. margin

+4.00

£1 level stake

n=213 at SP · +1.9%

£404k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 216 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance New recruits: 9.4%

The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (10.8%, n=37), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.62). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (12.1%, n=33). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.3% over 77 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.35 across 50 runners (2% strike, −40.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−3.5

n=66 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −9.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.4%+2.9

n=32 · A/E 2.77 · £1 +50.20

Debutants · first career start

5.9%−0.6

n=17 · A/E 1.77 · £1 −1.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

20%+13.5

n=10 · A/E 3.93 · £1 +14.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+13.5

n=10 · A/E 4.61 · £1 +55.10

When favourite

22.2%

n=9 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −1.10

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.3%−2.2

n=47 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +0.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.5

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chantilly (FR) 0% vs 6.5% · n=37

On Standard (AW) going 1.3% vs 6.5% · n=77

Over 1m5f – 2m 12.1% vs 6.5% · n=33

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2% vs 6.5% · n=50

In Hurdle races 2.1% vs 6.5% · n=47

At Saint-Cloud (FR) 10.8% vs 6.5% · n=37

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 39.6% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 162 12 7.4% +43.80

Hurdle 47 1 2.1% −37.70

Chase 7 1 14.3% −2.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 77 1 1.3% −56.00

Soft 64 6 9.4% +26.80

Heavy 33 3 9.1% −24.10

Good 28 4 14.3% +70.30

Good to Soft 14 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 59 3 5.1% +23.90

Chantilly (FR) 37 0 0% −37.00

Auteuil (FR) 37 2 5.4% −22.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 37 4 10.8% +22.30

Longchamp (FR) 13 1 7.7% +2.40

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 11 2 18.2% +30.10

Compiegne 10 2 20% −4.90

Enghien (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Clairefontaine 3 0 0% −3.00

Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Lyon Parilly 1 0 0% —

Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% —

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 18 0 0% −18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.56 −1.10

2nd–3rd fav 19 1 5.3% 0.41 −14.10

4th–6th fav 54 4 7.4% 1.06 +1.80

7th+ in betting 131 6 4.6% 1.56 +17.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Serienschock (GER)from David Pipe 34 1 11 28 Dec 20

Chemin Faisant (FR)from R Chotard 18 4 5 10 Jan 15

Sparkle Jack (FR) 12 0 2 8 May 17

Softsong (FR)from David Pipe 12 1 3 6 Apr 16

Decoy (FR)from David Pipe 12 1 2 14 Oct 15

One More Light (FR) 11 1 1 25 Oct 22

Gonamira (GER) 9 1 2 4 Nov 22

Pao Enki (FR) 8 0 4 26 Nov 21

Arctic Cercle (GER) 7 1 2 21 Feb 20

Guadix (GB)from F Alloncle · then L Rovisse 7 0 2 1 Mar 18

Maloof (GB)from Roger Varian 6 0 0 27 Jun 13

Janouche (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Jan 21

All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 49 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Pipe (3) and Mme Pia Brandt (3); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Gallagher (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

605052271114400

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Mlle Alison Massin 24 1 4.2% −3.10

Christophe Soumillon 21 3 14.3% −12.10

Ludovic Philipperon 19 2 10.5% −4.80

Mlle Alexandra Rosa 16 2 12.5% +14.30

Cristian Demuro 13 0 0% −13.00

Tony Piccone 9 2 22.2% +36.10

Bertrand Lestrade 7 0 0% −7.00

Dylan Ubeda 7 0 0% −7.00

Kevin Nabet 6 0 0% −6.00

Maxime Guyon 6 1 16.7% +9.40

Thomas Huet 5 1 20% +36.00

Theo Bachelot 5 2 40% +37.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£404k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 3 wins

One More Light (FR) — Prix Beaurepaire (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies Unraced Over Obstacles) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2021

£22,179

Desir De Cotte (FR) — Prix de Brissac (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2018

£22,089

Serienschock (GER) — Px Reconversion d'Un Cheval de Courses en Cheval de Concours Complet (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2018

£12,389

Notable horses

Chemin Faisant (FR) Serienschock (GER) Softsong (FR) Decoy (FR) One More Light (FR) Gonamira (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sholokhov (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,277 runs since 2008 (423 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Dyhim Diamond (IRE) 22.2% · 4–18

Progeny have won 10.2% of 372 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 115.

Cat Junior (USA) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 5.9% of 188 runs since 2016 (21 horses).

Della Francesca (USA) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 10% of 1,477 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 338. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16% from 100. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.3% from 160.

Singspiel (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

Diamond Boy (FR) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.9% of 2,299 runs since 2016 (288 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 216 · newest first

The latest 50 of 216 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2012 to 19 November 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Storm Of Success (FR)J: Gabin Meunier Prix de Beaugency (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 26/1

19 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Pretence (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix de Beaugency (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 45/1

04 Nov 22 Auteuil (FR) Gonamira (GER)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Leopold Bara (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 26/5

25 Oct 22 Auteuil (FR) One More Light (FR)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Santo Pietro (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 22/1

15 Oct 22 Auteuil (FR) Comann (FR)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Miss Hungerford (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 41/1

09 Oct 22 Auteuil (FR) Gonamira (GER)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Jack Barbe (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran 4th 12/1

20 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) One More Light (FR)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Calabrais (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran 12th 9/1

13 Sep 22 Auteuil (FR) Gonamira (GER)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Alain et Gilles de Goulaine (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran PU 18/1

30 Jun 22 Longchamp (FR) Quian (GER)J: Mr John Reddington Prix des Centaures - Trophee Studio Harcourt (Conditions) (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 25/1

28 Jun 22 Auteuil (FR) One More Light (FR)J: Bertrand Lestrade Prix Gerald de Rochefort (Hurdle) () (4yo) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 4th 7/1

18 Jun 22 Auteuil (FR) One More Light (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Daniel Lescalle (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 5th 58/10

06 Jun 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Goldstone (FR)J: Christophe Soumillon Prix de la Celle Saint-Cloud (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 12th 15/1

04 Jun 22 Auteuil (FR) Gonamira (GER)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Beaumanoir (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 17 ran 2nd 11/1

01 Jun 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Queen Clemence (IRE)J: Olivier Peslier Prix Producer (Maiden) (Unraced 3yo Fillies) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 24/1

22 May 22 Auteuil (FR) One More Light (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Le Parisien - Prix Ex Voto (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 4th 17/1

19 May 22 Longchamp (FR) Goldstone (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix Mercedes-Benz Paris (Prix du Ruisseau des Sablons) (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post)13.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 30/1

19 May 22 Longchamp (FR) Quian (GER)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de la Boetie (Conditions) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)14f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 12/1

07 May 22 Auteuil (FR) Law Of Attraction (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix du Vivarais (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 9/1

07 May 22 Auteuil (FR) Gonamira (GER)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Vanille (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 4th 27/1

11 Apr 22 Compiegne (FR) Gonamira (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Orvilliers (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 16 ran 11th 17/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme A Rosa's strike rate?: Mme A Rosa has won 14 of 216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme A Rosa do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mme A Rosa's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.