What is Mme S Gavilan's strike rate?

Mme S Gavilan has won 16 of 286 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme S Gavilan do best at?

La Teste De Buch by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Mme S Gavilan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mme S Gavilan's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 283 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mme S Gavilan

286 runners in the lifetime window · 100 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

16–286

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=286

43 (15%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=283 · 0.67 incl. margin

−165.43

£1 level stake

n=285 at SP · −58.0%

£344k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 9% (54 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 286 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug New recruits: 8.2% Claiming riders: 5.9%

The read

It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (0% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 9.3% (n=54, Fair A/E 1.34). The yard also reads well on Good going (13%, n=54) and off a 31-60-day break (11.9%, n=42). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 1.3% over 76 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.6%−2.0

n=84 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −60.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.2%+2.6

n=49 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −28.04

Debutants · first career start

5.8%+0.2

n=52 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −38.67

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%+3.7

n=54 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −24.17

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−5.6

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

When favourite

50%

n=8 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +3.74

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%+0.3

n=51 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −11.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.6

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 13% vs 5.6% · n=54

Off a 31-60-day break 11.9% vs 5.6% · n=42

At Longchamp (FR) 0% vs 5.6% · n=33

At Saint-Cloud 0% vs 5.6% · n=31

On Good to Soft going 1.3% vs 5.6% · n=76

With G Guedj-gay 10.2% vs 5.6% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 284 16 5.6% −164.43

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 76 1 1.3% −70.00

Soft 73 3 4.1% −44.37

Good 54 7 13% −25.59

Standard (AW) 54 3 5.6% −18.20

Heavy 25 2 8% −4.27

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 48 2 4.2% −20.20

La Teste De Buch 33 3 9.1% −22.34

Longchamp (FR) 33 0 0% −33.00

Saint-Cloud 31 0 0% −31.00

Toulouse (FR) 26 1 3.8% −21.67

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 21 1 4.8% −16.67

Chantilly (FR) 20 0 0% −20.00

Dax (FR) 19 4 21.1% +2.50

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 19 2 10.5% −9.25

Vichy (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Pau (FR) 4 1 25% +4.00

Tarbes (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Marseille Borely (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 39 3 7.7% −25.92

Class 1 25 0 0% −25.00

Class 3 24 3 12.5% −8.00

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 4 50% 1.81 +3.74

2nd–3rd fav 44 7 15.9% 1.11 −5.37

4th–6th fav 67 2 3% 0.41 −52.00

7th+ in betting 166 3 1.8% 0.54 −111.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Eclaire La Vie (FR) 17 0 2 9 Oct 26

Ready To Go (FR) 10 1 1 1 Nov 26

Nolito (GB)from M Boutin 9 0 2 11 Nov 26

Aquitain (FR) 8 1 3 29 Oct 26

Reve De Vallarsa (FR)from Tiago Martins · then Leonardo D Racco 8 1 2 4 Oct 26

Plateado (FR)from Y Barberot 8 0 1 11 Dec 25

Violin (GB)from Xavier Blanchet 7 0 2 11 Nov 26

La Portugaise (FR)from Tiago Martins 7 0 1 21 Oct 26

Long Ke Wan (FR) 6 0 0 11 Nov 26

Lovatree Paris (FR) 6 0 0 7 Nov 26

Opium Of Success (FR)from Amy Murphy 6 0 0 2 Nov 26

Otomai (IRE)from J-C Rouget 6 0 0 26 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 100 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J-C Rouget (3) and Tiago Martins (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0·000131380705

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderG Guedj-gay

17% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

G Guedj-gay 49 5 10.2% −30.68

Thomas Blanchouin 48 2 4.2% −36.25

Delphine Santiago 43 4 9.3% −3.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£344k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 13 wins

Reve De Vallarsa (FR) — Prix Du Cheval De Loisir (Prix Du Havre) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 2

£25,450

Canncity (FR) — Prix D'arudy Pau (FR) · Oct 2026

£10,500

Space'x (FR) — Prix Baron De Montesquieu Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) · Oct 2026

£10,500

Notable horses

Kohakou (FR) Mana Maha (FR) Ready To Go (FR) Reve De Vallarsa (FR) Aquitain (FR) Night Del Rais (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

City Light (FR) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 13.2% of 1,004 runs since 2023 (160 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.7% from 341. Weakest on Soft going: 10.2% from 226. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.5% from 186.

Trade Storm (GB) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 0% of 21 runs since 2023 (2 horses). A small sample.

Muhaarar (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,839 runs since 2019 (415 horses).

Recoletos (FR) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 9.5% of 839 runs since 2022 (116 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.9% from 209.

Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,302 runs since 2016 (313 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 869. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

Persian King (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 10.6% of 953 runs since 2024 (167 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 294.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 286 · newest first

The latest 50 of 286 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 June 2018 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Ma Tornade (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De La Cote Pavee12f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 22/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Violin (GB)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Comfort Aparthotel Toulouse Metropole12f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 20/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Long Ke Wan (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Jerome Rambaud12f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 18/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Black L'americain (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Paulin Grefeuille8f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 40/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Flying Flash (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Paulin Grefeuille8f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 7/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Nolito (GB)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De La Ville De Toulouse12f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 40/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Space'x (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Criterium Du Languedoc - Prix Bernard De Marmiesse8f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 15/2

07 Nov 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Lovatree Paris (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix De L'ile Maire13f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 14/1

07 Nov 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Fathiyya (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Des Prophetes9f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 6/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Canncity (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De La Banche9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 4/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Eagle Tree (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Labyrinthe De Buis8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 18/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Opium Of Success (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Des Alisiers6f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Ready To Go (FR)J: Mme Lara Le Geay Prix Pierre De CastelbajacClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 5/2

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sir Crater (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Philippe MartinClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Aquitain (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Chapeau RougeClass 1 · 7f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Ma Tornade (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix Ketch10f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 20/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Violin (GB)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Dax10f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Otomai (IRE)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De La Cite De L'espace6f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Godessa (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Zoffwaltz (FR)J: Samy Le Quilleuc Prix De Saint-faust8f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme S Gavilan's strike rate?: Mme S Gavilan has won 16 of 286 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme S Gavilan do best at?: La Teste De Buch by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mme S Gavilan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme S Gavilan's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 283 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.