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Trainer profile

Ms Sheila Lavery

2,052 runners in the lifetime window · 187 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
147–2,052
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=2,052
450 (22%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=2,047 · 0.83 incl. margin
−597.80
£1 level stake
n=2,052 at SP · −29.1%
£3.12m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,052 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 8.5% 28.6% when favourite Robbie Colgan: 5.9% from 996 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.7% (n=120, Fair A/E 0.28). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 8.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.45 and +146.37 to a £1 stake over 365 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −98.92 to a £1 stake over 258 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robbie Colgan rides 49% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.7% over 119 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Petingo' Handicap at Leopardstown (Sep 2022, £88,500). The stable star of the record: Danz Gift (IRE) — 7 wins from 64 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.5%+1.3
n=365 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +146.37
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+2.8
n=10 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +57.00
Debutants · first career start
3.4%−3.8
n=178 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −61.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6%−1.2
n=100 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +26.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.9%−2.3
n=41 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −23.50
When favourite
28.6%
n=91 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −10.57
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.4%−1.8
n=258 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −98.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
1.7%−5.5
n=120 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −93.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With G. F. Carroll 14.7% vs 7.2% · n=156
In Group / Graded races 1.7% vs 7.2% · n=120
In Class 1 1.7% vs 7.2% · n=119
With Ronan Whelan 12.4% vs 7.2% · n=129
With Pat Smullen 13.5% vs 7.2% · n=52
On last-time-out winners 11.7% vs 7.2% · n=137
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 2,024 142 7% −644.05
Hurdle 17 3 17.6% +39.25
Chase 8 1 12.5% −3.00
NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 619 50 8.1% −84.95
Good 544 37 6.8% −183.92
Standard (AW) 370 32 8.6% −99.34
Heavy 217 13 6% −62.92
Good to Soft 156 6 3.8% −96.17
Good to Firm 146 9 6.2% −70.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 366 32 8.7% −95.34
Curragh 327 15 4.6% −110.13
Leopardstown 212 14 6.6% −77.92
Naas 193 11 5.7% −28.00
Gowran Park 147 14 9.5% −53.09
Navan 145 8 5.5% −47.70
Cork 94 8 8.5% +36.55
Fairyhouse 80 8 10% −1.75
Galway 77 8 10.4% +1.50
Roscommon 64 7 10.9% −19.42
Killarney 59 5 8.5% −29.00
Limerick 49 4 8.2% −26.75
Tipperary 48 3 6.3% −31.50
Ballinrobe 28 1 3.6% −20.00
Listowel 27 3 11.1% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 119 2 1.7% −92.25
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 109 30 27.5% 1.13 −9.99
2nd–3rd fav 302 52 17.2% 1.24 +7.19
4th–6th fav 538 38 7.1% 0.96 −181.00
7th+ in betting 1,103 27 2.4% 0.80 −414.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Danz Gift (IRE) 64 7 16 16 Mar 23
Secret Wizard (IRE)then Conor O'Dwyer 50 5 15 31 Jan 20
Quizical (IRE) 43 2 11 5 Apr 23
Markievicz (IRE) 41 2 6 31 Jan 24
Anvika (IRE) 35 3 10 20 Oct 26
Mr Ormsby (IRE) 35 2 14 20 Jan 21
Zeeyalater (IRE)then Ian O'Connor 33 1 9 2 Nov 18
Laid Back Luke (IRE) 32 6 13 14 Mar 21
Sevenleft (IRE)then Noel C Kelly 30 3 8 3 Dec 19
Mandamus (IRE)then Mrs Ann Mooney 30 2 5 4 Sep 18
New Hill (IRE) 28 2 7 31 Oct 23
Half Nutz (IRE)then J P Murtagh 27 5 6 17 Oct 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 187 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian McGuinness (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
51411788867669
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Colgan
49% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.95
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 996 59 5.9% −266.72
G. F. Carroll 156 23 14.7% −18.12
R. P. Cleary 149 7 4.7% −99.95
Ronan Whelan 129 16 12.4% +19.37
Wayne Lordan 56 5 8.9% −3.00
Pat Smullen 52 7 13.5% −25.12
Gavin Ryan 38 3 7.9% −15.50
Siobhan Rutledge 35 2 5.7% −26.75
Leigh Roche 33 3 9.1% +1.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
147
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£3.12m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 19 wins
Moracana (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Petingo' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Leopardstown · Sep 2022
£88,500
Magnetic North (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Nasrullah' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Leopardstown · Jul 2019
£59,000
Fort Vega (FR) — Mallow Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cork · Jun 2025
£59,000
Notable horses
Danz Gift (IRE) Laid Back Luke (IRE) Secret Wizard (IRE) Half Nutz (IRE) Global Energy (GB) Truffles (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 5.3% · 13–247
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Haatef (USA) 8.7% · 9–104
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,427 runs since 2012 (89 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 2.7% from 112.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 9.1% · 8–88
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,888 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Elzaam (AUS) 10.8% · 7–65
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,534 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 3.1% · 2–64
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,233 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,200.
Roderic O'connor (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,341 runs since 2015 (166 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.5% from 126. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.7% from 224. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.3% from 143.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,052 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,052 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2013 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Suerte (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 18/1
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Connova (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 6/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Louisiana (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 12th 40/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Mapa (CAN)J: R. P. Cleary Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 7th 200/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Tinshona (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 22nd 200/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kokoshanelle (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 16/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Leveraging (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 5/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tinshona (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 125/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Lily Parr (GB)J: Robbie Colgan Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 5th 14/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Anvika (IRE)J: Reese Holohan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran UR 9/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) African Affair (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 6th 14/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Anvika (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 1st 14/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Fort Vega (FR)J: Robbie Colgan Naas Racecourse Handicap7f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 16/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Leveraging (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 16/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Dress Dance (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 15th 40/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Connova (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 8th 4/1J
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Suerte (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 25/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Mapa (CAN)J: Miss R Hogan Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap12f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 33/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Belle Vision (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 100/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Tintinabulla (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ms Sheila Lavery's strike rate?
Ms Sheila Lavery has won 147 of 2,052 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ms Sheila Lavery do best at?
Roscommon by strike rate: 7 wins from 64 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ms Sheila Lavery?
Robbie Colgan, with 996 runners since 2008 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (5.9%).
Is Ms Sheila Lavery in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ms Sheila Lavery's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 2,047 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).