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Trainer profile

Neill McCluskey

254 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024 94% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–254
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=254
32 (13%)
Placed
0.54
n=253 · 0.44 incl. margin
−221.50
£1 level stake
n=254 at SP · −87.2%
£82,567
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.54).

Deterministic profile computed from 254 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.6% Claiming riders: 2.2%
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (6.5%, n=46), clear of the yard's 2% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −191.50 to a £1 stake over 224 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (5.3%, n=38). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.00 across 63 runners (0% strike, −63.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%+0.6
n=39 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%+0.2
n=224 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −191.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Downpatrick 6.5% vs 2% · n=46
With Gearoid Brouder 5.4% vs 2% · n=37
Off a 0-7-day break 5.3% vs 2% · n=38
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2% · n=63
On Good going 0% vs 2% · n=52
On Good to Soft going 4% vs 2% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 176 5 2.8% −143.50
Chase 44 0 0% −44.00
NH Flat 20 0 0% −20.00
Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 103 3 2.9% −83.00
Good 52 0 0% −52.00
Good to Soft 50 2 4% −37.50
Heavy 33 0 0% −33.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 46 1 2.2% −38.50
Downpatrick 46 3 6.5% −28.50
Punchestown 20 0 0% −20.00
Perth 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 9 0 0% −9.00
Sedgefield 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 1 12.5% −0.50
Cartmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Dundalk (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 23 0 0% −23.00
Class 5 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 23 3 13% 1.05 −5.00
4th–6th fav 57 2 3.5% 0.72 −42.50
7th+ in betting 172 0 0% 0.00 −172.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.9% completed · 220 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 44 63.6% 2 2 12 0 0
Hurdle 176 85.2% 4 1 20 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
I Don't Get It (IRE) 61 4 20 21 Feb 24
Monoxide (GB)from G M Lyons 43 0 5 21 Feb 24
Wee Jerry (IRE)then Ian Patrick Donoghue 21 0 1 30 Jan 24
I'm On Snap (IRE)from Mrs Caroline McCaldin · then Tom Lacey 15 0 2 5 Dec 20
Rust To Riches (IRE)then C A McBratney 12 0 0 10 Nov 23
My Wings (IRE) 11 0 0 16 Jun 21
Drumboy (IRE) 11 0 1 7 Nov 09
One Of Us Is Lying (IRE) 10 0 0 23 Jan 24
Social Distancing (IRE) 9 0 0 2 Jul 23
The Mooch (IRE)from Paul Nolan 4 0 0 7 May 21
Late Return (IRE) 4 0 0 15 May 08
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Liam Lennon (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian Patrick Donoghue (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0009103000600
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGearoid Brouder
15% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 1.36
RiderRWSR£1
Gearoid Brouder 37 2 5.4% −25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
7
Archived wins
£99,736
Prize money
2023
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
I Don't Get It (IRE) — Regeneron 'Science To Medicine' Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Limerick · May 2023
£6,785
Moneynabane (IRE) — J Murdoch Contracts Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Downpatrick · Oct 2023
£5,900
I Don't Get It (IRE) — Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Down Royal · May 2023
£5,900

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stowaway (GB) 6.6% · 4–61
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Galileo (IRE) 0% · 0–43
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Doyen (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,386 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,495 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,198 runs since 2010 (925 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 319 · newest first

The latest 50 of 319 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 July 2005 to 21 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neill McCluskey's strike rate?
Neill McCluskey has won 5 of 254 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neill McCluskey do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 3 wins from 46 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Neill McCluskey's Fair A/E?
0.54, from 253 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).