What is Polly Gundry's strike rate?

Polly Gundry has won 56 of 894 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Polly Gundry do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 7 wins from 67 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Polly Gundry?

Nick Scholfield, with 130 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.9%).

Is Polly Gundry in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Polly Gundry's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 890 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Polly Gundry

894 runners in the lifetime window · 147 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 91% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

56–894

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=894

189 (21%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=890 · 0.73 incl. margin

−412.47

£1 level stake

n=894 at SP · −46.1%

£635k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (282 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 894 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 34% when favourite Nick Scholfield: 6.9% from 130 Claiming riders: 7.8% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.24). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −58.55 to a £1 stake over 168 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nick Scholfield rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well in Chase races (10.2%, n=334). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.7% over 59 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Charlie Nugent Memorial Mares' Chase at Newbury (Jan 2025, £19,933). The stable star of the record: Dawson City (GB) — 7 wins from 52 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−1.5

n=168 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −58.55

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.4%−4.9

n=74 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −72.17

Debutants · first career start

6.8%+0.5

n=74 · A/E 2.15 · £1 −23.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%−1.0

n=38 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.2%−2.1

n=24 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −9.00

When favourite

34%

n=47 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +1.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%+1.5

n=282 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −123.71

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.3%+7.0

n=15 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −10.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.5% vs 6.3% · n=54

With C&D winners 11.9% vs 6.3% · n=67

In Chase races 10.2% vs 6.3% · n=334

With James Best 1.3% vs 6.3% · n=80

With new recruits 1.4% vs 6.3% · n=74

Off a 61-180-day break 1.7% vs 6.3% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 423 17 4% −273.70

Chase 334 34 10.2% −44.52

Flat 84 2 2.4% −72.75

NH Flat 53 3 5.7% −21.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 317 19 6% −158.13

Soft 174 7 4% −67.25

Good to Soft 172 11 6.4% −86.38

Heavy 100 9 9% −44.09

Good to Firm 86 7 8.1% −43.87

Standard (AW) 39 2 5.1% −27.75

Firm 6 1 16.7% +15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 120 11 9.2% −33.52

Wincanton 81 5 6.2% −46.75

Newton Abbot 79 2 2.5% −66.50

Taunton 75 5 6.7% −9.00

Fontwell 67 7 10.4% +1.30

Chepstow 58 1 1.7% −54.25

Worcester 55 4 7.3% −25.50

Warwick 34 3 8.8% −12.00

Stratford 31 1 3.2% −20.00

Uttoxeter 30 2 6.7% +10.00

Hereford 24 1 4.2% −17.00

Plumpton 24 2 8.3% −16.00

Ffos Las 18 1 5.6% −3.00

Kempton (AW) 16 1 6.3% −8.00

Newbury 14 3 21.4% +16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 357 23 6.4% −146.76

Class 4 325 16 4.9% −188.87

Class 3 93 9 9.7% −22.50

Class 6 80 5 6.3% −28.25

Class 2 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 1 17 2 11.8% −12.09

Class 7 4 1 25% +4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 18 31% 1.15 −1.47

2nd–3rd fav 127 14 11% 0.71 −43.00

4th–6th fav 272 16 5.9% 0.83 −88.00

7th+ in betting 437 8 1.8% 0.74 −280.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 314 24 7.6% −97.97

2m1f – 2m4f 245 14 5.7% −116.50

1m5f – 2m 145 5 3.4% −109.50

Over 3m 113 11 9.7% −22.75

1m2f – 1m4f 34 1 2.9% −30.75

1m – 1m1f 22 0 0% −22.00

6f – 7f 18 1 5.6% −10.00

Under 6f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 6 1 16.7% −4.17

2009 5 0 0% −5.00

2010 4 1 25% +0.00

2011 52 7 13.5% +0.80

2012 60 2 3.3% −49.00

2013 52 3 5.8% −34.25

2014 62 5 8.1% +16.00

2015 61 6 9.8% −14.25

2016 64 5 7.8% −4.00

2017 52 3 5.8% −33.25

2018 44 3 6.8% −17.00

2019 73 3 4.1% −57.00

2020 52 2 3.8% −12.00

2021 87 2 2.3% −68.50

2022 39 3 7.7% −27.38

2023 47 2 4.3% −20.00

2024 30 1 3.3% −17.00

2025 56 5 8.9% −31.09

2026 48 2 4.2% −35.38

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 558 44 7.9% −163.51

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 318 25 7.9% −86.20

11-13 runners 245 14 5.7% −99.50

5-7 runners 168 11 6.5% −95.89

14-16 runners 122 3 2.5% −100.00

17+ runners 24 1 4.2% −21.00

2-4 runners 17 2 11.8% −9.88

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.5% completed · 757 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 334 75.7% 11 5 62 3 0

Hurdle 423 77.1% 9 3 84 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dawson City (GB) 52 7 20 29 Apr 22

Sir Dylan (GB)from Ronald Harris 32 5 9 25 Feb 20

Hold Me Tight (IRE)from J S Moore 31 0 12 4 Oct 21

Big Time Frank (IRE)from Alex Hales 30 0 11 15 Mar 21

Sweet Nightingale (GB)from Ron Hodges 26 2 7 6 Nov 26

Miss Harriett (GB)from Stuart Kittow 24 0 5 26 Mar 24

King Of The Story (IRE)from Katie Stephens 22 5 6 22 Sep 26

Wind Tor (GB) 22 2 7 8 Mar 24

Mauna Kea (IRE)from Ms Margaret Mullins 22 2 4 5 Dec 19

Edeiff's Lad (GB)from Bill Turner · then L Humphrey 20 1 7 18 Apr 17

Danseur Du Large (FR)from Charlie Longsdon 18 3 6 18 Feb 21

Teenage Kicks (IRE)from Pam Sly 17 3 4 12 May 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 147 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Panvert (3); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Nick Ayliffe (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5495125488636

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNick Scholfield

15% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Nick Scholfield 130 9 6.9% −21.25

James Best 80 1 1.3% −69.00

Tom O'Brien 41 2 4.9% −25.50

Rex Dingle 34 1 2.9% −23.00

Andrew Thornton 31 3 9.7% −1.50

Ben Poste 30 2 6.7% −18.50

Miss Chloe Emsley 30 3 10% −15.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£635k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 7 wins

Don't Rightly Know (GB) — Charlie Nugent Memorial Mares' Chase (Listed) (GBB Race) Newbury · Jan 2025 · Listed

£19,933

Don't Rightly Know (GB) — South West Rail Solutions Ltd Mares' Chase (Listed) (GBB Race) Exeter · Feb 2025 · Listed

£18,509

Dawson City (GB) — Healthy Pets Devon National Handicap Chase Exeter · Feb 2019 · Class 3

£15,890

Notable horses

Dawson City (GB) Sir Dylan (GB) King Of The Story (IRE) Harry's Farewell (GB) Don't Rightly Know (GB) Danseur Du Large (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 11.8% · 10–85

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,495 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Zoffany (IRE) 0% · 0–31

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,783 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Bienamado (USA) 0% · 0–30

Progeny have won 7.8% of 523 runs since 2009 (51 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,765 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Arvico (FR) 0% · 0–28

Progeny have won 7.4% of 659 runs since 2009 (80 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10.9% from 202. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 2.7% from 110.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 894 · newest first

The latest 50 of 894 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2008 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Sweet Nightingale (GB)J: Tristan Durrell Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 16/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell McGregors Charge (GB)J: Ciaran O'Shea Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 9/2

22 Sep 26 Warwick King Of The Story (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 9/1

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot McGregors Charge (GB)J: Ben Godfrey Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot McGregors Charge (GB)J: Jack Stenhouse Grandad Swales Happy 80th Birthday Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 4th 3/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell King Of The Story (IRE)J: Ben Poste Back A Winner - Birchwood Kia Chichester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 25/1

15 Aug 26 Perth McGregors Charge (GB)J: Ben Godfrey Brooks Macdonald Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 3/1J

22 Jul 26 Worcester Alderley Charlie (GB)J: James Best PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester King Of The Story (IRE)J: Ben Poste Widmer Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran PU 33/1

19 Jul 26 Newton Abbot McGregors Charge (GB)J: Ben Godfrey Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 15/2

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Stumps Or Slips (IRE)J: Sean Bowen CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 12/1

03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Mcgregors Charge (GB)J: Callum Pritchard William Hill Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 5th 10/3

01 Jul 26 Worcester King Of The Story (IRE)J: Ben Poste Brookes Wedding Feast & Fair Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Glenary (IRE)J: James Best Happy Birthday June O'Dwyer Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 125/1

04 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Up The Hill (GB)J: Callum Pritchard JAL Roofing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 150/1

03 Jun 26 Warwick King Of The Story (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Rainier Developments Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran PU 6/1

29 May 26 Chepstow Madame Dragon (GB)J: Taylor Fisher Bill Lewtons 80th Birthday Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 250/1

20 May 26 Ffos Las Alderley Charlie (GB)J: James Best Happy 1st Birthday Idris Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 22/1

20 May 26 Warwick King Of The Story (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Mane Event: Logicor Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 11/2

09 May 26 Warwick Sweet Nightingale (GB)J: Freddie Mitchell SVE Services Ltd Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Polly Gundry's strike rate?: Polly Gundry has won 56 of 894 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Polly Gundry do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 7 wins from 67 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Polly Gundry?: Nick Scholfield, with 130 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.9%).
Is Polly Gundry in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Polly Gundry's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 890 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.