Skip to content
Trainer profile

Richard Harper

190 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2025 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–190
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=190
17 (9%)
Placed
0.56
Fair A/E
n=189 · 0.49 incl. margin
−155.50
£1 level stake
n=190 at SP · −81.8%
£49,989
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.56).

Deterministic profile computed from 190 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.3%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −116.50 to a £1 stake over 151 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.1%, n=37). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 76 runners (0% strike, −76.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
100%
n=2 · A/E 3.70 · £1 +4.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%+0.7
n=151 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −116.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With James Banks 9.4% vs 2.6% · n=32
Off a 8-14-day break 8.1% vs 2.6% · n=37
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2.6% · n=76
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.6% · n=55
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.6% · n=48
At Towcester 0% vs 2.6% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 112 5 4.5% −77.50
Hurdle 76 0 0% −76.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 86 3 3.5% −58.00
Good to Firm 34 0 0% −34.00
Good to Soft 29 2 6.9% −22.50
Soft 28 0 0% −28.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Towcester 39 0 0% −39.00
Worcester 18 0 0% −18.00
Huntingdon 14 0 0% −14.00
Fontwell 13 1 7.7% −6.00
Stratford 13 1 7.7% −2.00
Market Rasen 10 0 0% −10.00
Newton Abbot 10 0 0% −10.00
Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00
Leicester 9 2 22.2% +4.25
Warwick 7 0 0% −7.00
Kempton 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Ludlow 6 0 0% −6.00
Plumpton 6 0 0% −6.00
Fakenham 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 114 3 2.6% −93.75
Class 4 63 2 3.2% −48.75
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 2 100% 3.70 +4.50
2nd–3rd fav 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00
4th–6th fav 59 3 5.1% 1.04 −31.00
7th+ in betting 110 0 0% 0.00 −110.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
66.5% completed · 188 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 112 61.6% 3 1 38 1 0
Hurdle 76 73.7% 1 1 18 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Top Benefit (IRE)from Kim Bailey 42 1 4 6 Nov 15
Masterpoint (GB)from Shaun Lycett 27 1 4 16 Aug 11
Chapel House (GB)from Howard Johnson 25 3 6 17 Nov 14
Thomas Blossom (IRE)from Ali Stronge 23 0 3 3 Jun 22
Gray Wolf River (GB)from Chris Fairhurst 14 0 0 28 May 17
Just Skittles (GB) 13 0 0 9 Jul 18
Storm Rising (IRE)from Dr Richard Newland 11 0 0 17 Aug 22
Wee Willie Nail (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 7 0 0 17 Jul 25
Poyntzpass (IRE) 6 0 0 16 May 19
Spike Mac (IRE) 5 0 0 9 Mar 14
Long Road (USA)from Niall Madden 5 0 0 5 May 09
Peace Approved (IRE)from Sam England 3 0 0 18 Aug 20
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
075770500000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Banks
17% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.30
RiderRWSR£1
James Banks 32 3 9.4% −11.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£53,595
Prize money
2012
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Masterpoint (GB) — John Dunbar Memorial Novices' Handicap Chase Stratford · Jul 2008 · Class 4
£5,703
Chapel House (GB) — Les Swanwick Electrical Ltd. Novices' Handicap Chase Hereford · Apr 2012 · Class 4
£2,437
Chapel House (GB) — Bhest Racing School Novices' Handicap Chase Leicester · Feb 2012 · Class 5
£2,274
Notable horses
Chapel House (GB) Top Benefit (IRE) Masterpoint (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 6% · 4–67
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Mark of Esteem (IRE) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Fair Mix (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7.3% of 2,578 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Storming Home (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,325 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 206.
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2015 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 235 · newest first

The latest 50 of 235 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 April 2005 to 17 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Jul 25 Worcester Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: Mr Sam Burton eventmasters.co.uk Royal Ascot 2026 On Sale Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran PU 100/1
17 Jun 25 Stratford Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: James Best Visit racingtv.com Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 6th 125/1
04 Jun 25 Warwick Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: James Best Edmond Shipway Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 6th 100/1
01 Aug 23 Worcester Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: James Best Don't Wait Check Your Prostate Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 125/1
09 Jun 23 Market Rasen Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: Harriet Tucker Malton Marquees Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 7 ran PU 100/1
03 Dec 22 Chepstow Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: Jamie Brace Coral Racing Club Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1
24 Nov 22 Taunton Wee Willie Nail (IRE)J: Jamie Brace Bet At racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19f · Good · 9 ran PU 66/1
17 Aug 22 Worcester Storm Rising (IRE)J: James Best Dream Financial Services At Worcester Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran PU 40/1
22 Jun 22 Worcester Storm Rising (IRE)J: James Best Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novices' Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 40/1
14 Jun 22 Stratford Storm Rising (IRE)J: Danny Burton Racing TV Free For A Month Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 50/1
03 Jun 22 Market Rasen Thomas Blossom (IRE)J: Harriet Tucker Book Your Blenheim Horse Trials Tickets Now! Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 5th 50/1
13 Apr 22 Southwell Storm Rising (IRE)J: Danny Burton At The Races App Market Movers Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 22/1
19 Mar 22 Kempton Storm Rising (IRE)J: Danny Burton Virgin Bet Free Bets For Winners Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 66/1
08 Mar 22 Sandown Storm Rising (IRE)J: Sgt Nick Oliver Queen Elizabeth The Queen Mother Memorial Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 80/1
05 Nov 21 Fontwell Storm Rising (IRE)J: James Best Download The Casumo App Today Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Good · 6 ran PU 33/1
19 Aug 21 Stratford Storm Rising (IRE)J: James Best Brian And Sheila Vaughan Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 40/1
27 Jul 21 Worcester Storm Rising (IRE)J: Liam Harrison Appliance Solutions Peter Fletcher Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 18/1
27 Jul 21 Worcester Thomas Blossom (IRE)J: Harriet Tucker Appliance Solutions Of Ledbury Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 80/1
05 Jul 21 Worcester Storm Rising (IRE)J: James Best Visit attheraces.com/marketmovers (Novices' Limited Handicap) Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 8/1
23 Jun 21 Worcester Storm Rising (IRE)J: James Best In Memory Of Liam Treadwell Novices' Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Harper's strike rate?
Richard Harper has won 5 of 190 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Harper do best at?
Towcester by strike rate: 0 wins from 39 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Richard Harper's Fair A/E?
0.56, from 189 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).