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Trainer profile

S Gouvaze

237 runners in the lifetime window · 62 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 302 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–237
Wins / Runs
8%
Strike rate
n=237
65 (27%)
Placed
1.25
n=234 · 1.04 incl. margin
−37.30
£1 level stake
n=234 at SP · −15.9%
£358k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.25).

Deterministic profile computed from 237 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Christopher Grosbois: 5.8% from 52
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.6% (n=83, Fair A/E 0.73). Christopher Grosbois rides 22% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.8% vs 8%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (12.1%, n=58) and over 1m – 1m1f (11%, n=100). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.2% over 31 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.55 across 58 runners (3.4% strike, −18.90 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%−4.4
n=83 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −51.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−2.7
n=38 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −28.70
Debutants · first career start
4.2%−3.8
n=24 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +0.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
30%
n=10 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%−1.7
n=32 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +2.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 3.4% vs 8% · n=58
Off a 15-30-day break 12.1% vs 8% · n=58
Off a 61-180-day break 3.8% vs 8% · n=52
Off a break of 180+ days 3.2% vs 8% · n=31
With Fabien Lefebvre 11.8% vs 8% · n=51
Over 1m – 1m1f 11% vs 8% · n=100
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 7.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 138 8 5.8% −34.30
Soft 38 4 10.5% −5.30
Good 30 3 10% +7.00
Good to Soft 22 3 13.6% −0.40
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −4.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 95 6 6.3% −12.20
Chantilly (FR) 54 6 11.1% −2.30
Saint-Cloud (FR) 44 3 6.8% −17.80
Longchamp (FR) 15 3 20% +6.40
Angers (FR) 7 1 14.3% +8.60
Nantes (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Pornichet-La Baule (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
La Roche-Sur-Yon (FR) 1 0 0% —
Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 3 30% 1.34 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 31 6 19.4% 1.44 +3.60
4th–6th fav 52 4 7.7% 0.96 −13.50
7th+ in betting 141 6 4.3% 1.28 −28.40
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Raven Ridge (IRE)from Robert Collet 15 1 3 8 Apr 22
Guadalest (FR) 12 0 1 8 Nov 24
Fly Now (FR)then B Legros 12 1 3 2 Jun 17
Royalickly (FR) 10 1 3 21 Jul 20
Red The West (FR)then Maximilien Justum 9 0 0 17 Apr 25
Treguiss (FR)then B Legros 9 1 3 22 Aug 20
Eclair Du Ninian (FR)from M Cailler 9 0 4 23 May 20
L'Ienissei (FR)from Markus Geisler 8 1 4 22 Dec 25
Vazy Ninian (FR)then F Foucher 8 2 3 22 Aug 20
Chunka Wakan (FR)then F Hayeres 7 0 0 13 Jun 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 62 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Guillaume Courbot (6) and Yannick Fouin (4); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for B Legros (2) and F Foresi (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
41100010148181059
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
22% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 0.94
RiderRWSR£1
Christopher Grosbois 52 3 5.8% −16.10
Fabien Lefebvre 51 6 11.8% −7.10
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
19
Archived wins
£358k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
Madame Ly (FR) — Prix de la Grande Folie (Conditions) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2025
£12,851
Samagace Du Vivien (FR) — Prix Qatar National Stud (Handicap) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2019
£12,613
York Town (FR) — Prix des Erables (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2024
£11,739

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Le Houssais (FR) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 7.9% of 114 runs since 2013 (13 horses).
Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,985 runs since 2014 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 267. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.
High Chaparral (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Early March (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 910 runs since 2011 (119 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.9% from 202. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13% from 138. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.9% from 127.
Zelzal (FR) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,734 runs since 2021 (242 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.8% from 108.
Dariyan (FR) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,133 runs since 2020 (141 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 237 · newest first

The latest 50 of 237 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 October 2010 to 10 January 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Gouvaze's strike rate?
S Gouvaze has won 19 of 237 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Gouvaze do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S Gouvaze?
Christopher Grosbois, with 52 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.8%).
What is S Gouvaze's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 234 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).