Simone Brogi
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). New recruits from other yards win at 14% first time out (57 runs).
The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (17.3%, n=139), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (2.8% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 14% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.34), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.3% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.50). Ioritz Mendizabal rides 28% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.2% vs 10.6%, A/E 0.86). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.3% over 46 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 67 runners (4.5% strike, −41.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Haras des Granges - Prix Caravelle at Toulouse (FR) (Apr 2019, £24,775).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 348 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 348 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 March 2015 to 13 December 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Simone Brogi's strike rate?
- Simone Brogi has won 37 of 348 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Simone Brogi do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 24 wins from 139 runners (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Simone Brogi?
- Ioritz Mendizabal, with 98 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.2%).
- What is Simone Brogi's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 335 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.