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Trainer profile

William Young Jnr

432 runners in the lifetime window · 38 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
28–432
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=432
66 (15%)
Placed
1.12
Fair A/E
n=432 · 0.99 incl. margin
−71.50
£1 level stake
n=432 at SP · −16.6%
£261k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12).

Deterministic profile computed from 432 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Derek Fox: 5.4% from 93 New recruits: 6.7%
The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (11.9%, n=84), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). Derek Fox rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.89). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (19.4%, n=31) and in Class 3 (15.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 36 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Ardera Cross (IRE) — 14 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.5
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%+0.2
n=30 · A/E 3.01 · £1 +45.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.5
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
When favourite
50%
n=8 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +4.63
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−2.6
n=204 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −73.88
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 33.3% vs 6.5% · n=30
On Heavy going 19.4% vs 6.5% · n=31
In Class 3 15.2% vs 6.5% · n=33
At Ayr 11.9% vs 6.5% · n=84
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.5% · n=36
With C&D winners 11.8% vs 6.5% · n=76
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 55.3% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 215 18 8.4% −30.87
Hurdle 210 10 4.8% −33.63
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 204 12 5.9% −11.00
Soft 93 5 5.4% −37.50
Good to Soft 90 5 5.6% −15.50
Heavy 31 6 19.4% +6.50
Good to Firm 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Perth 121 5 4.1% −19.38
Ayr 84 10 11.9% +2.88
Hexham 61 5 8.2% +29.25
Cartmel 56 3 5.4% −9.00
Kelso 43 2 4.7% −29.25
Musselburgh 37 1 2.7% −28.00
Carlisle 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Sedgefield 8 0 0% −8.00
Wetherby 5 1 20% +2.50
Newcastle 2 0 0% −2.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Catterick 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 196 12 6.1% −48.37
Class 5 194 10 5.2% −43.75
Class 3 33 5 15.2% +20.62
Class 2 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 4 44.4% 1.76 +3.63
2nd–3rd fav 41 6 14.6% 0.89 −11.63
4th–6th fav 144 11 7.6% 1.08 −25.50
7th+ in betting 238 7 2.9% 1.23 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.1% completed · 425 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 215 77.7% 5 3 39 0 1
Hurdle 210 78.6% 3 3 38 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ardera Cross (IRE)from Dan Skelton 82 14 21 7 Mar 25
Raifteiri (IRE)from Neil King 49 1 5 5 May 18
Darkest Day (IRE)from Gary Moore 34 3 8 28 Nov 25
Formidableopponent (IRE)from Noel Meade 32 5 9 3 Nov 18
Cool Valley (IRE) 27 0 6 17 Jul 21
Some Ambition (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 19 0 0 4 May 22
Don't Look Back (GB)from Lucinda Russell 18 0 1 25 May 25
So Be It (IRE)from Liam Lennon 17 0 3 4 Oct 24
Shantou Moon (IRE)from Tristan Davidson 13 0 2 16 Aug 25
Colonel Manderson (FR)from Dan Skelton 13 1 1 11 Dec 24
Fostered Phil (IRE)from James Ewart 11 2 4 16 Feb 26
Tim's Approach (IRE)from Anthony Mullins 11 0 0 12 Nov 13
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (5) and William Young (3); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10181700221119435
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDerek Fox
22% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.89
RiderRWSR£1
Derek Fox 93 5 5.4% +26.25
Sam Coltherd 74 8 10.8% +31.12
Mr John Dixon 38 1 2.6% −12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
28
Archived wins
£261k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 6 wins
Ardera Cross (IRE) — Coral Handicap Chase Cartmel · Aug 2019 · Class 2
£15,640
Ardera Cross (IRE) — Gordon's Pink Gin Handicap Chase Ayr · Nov 2019 · Class 3
£9,357
Ardera Cross (IRE) — Louis Roederer Handicap Chase Cartmel · Jul 2019 · Class 3
£7,538
Notable horses
Ardera Cross (IRE) Formidableopponent (IRE) Darkest Day (IRE) Fostered Phil (IRE) Raifteiri (IRE) Colonel Manderson (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shantou (USA) 14.1% · 14–99
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,842 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Galileo (IRE) 2% · 1–49
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Aizavoski (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 12.8% of 744 runs since 2018 (60 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 141.
Arakan (USA) 15.6% · 5–32
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Yeats (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,850 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Zerpour (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 9.8% of 215 runs since 2011 (13 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 432 · newest first

The latest 50 of 432 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 January 2013 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Ayr An Mhi (IRE)J: Derek Fox United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran F 125/1
15 Oct 26 Perth Jasper Glory (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 300/1
04 Oct 26 Kelso Boston Queen (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 80/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Boston Queen (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 100/1
23 Sep 26 Perth Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 6th 18/1
29 Aug 26 Cartmel Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Hadwins Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1
15 Aug 26 Perth Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Malcolm Group Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 4th 66/1
12 Jul 26 Perth Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Derek Fox Book Your Christmas Party Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 250/1
21 Jun 26 Hexham Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Derek Fox Chris Lowther & Brian Ellison 28 Years Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 125/1
23 May 26 Cartmel Fortunes Dawn (IRE)J: Derek Fox Cartmel Sticky Toffee Pudding Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 7th 125/1
02 Apr 26 Kelso Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1
23 Feb 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 7 ran F 40/1
16 Feb 26 Carlisle Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Sandy Molloy Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 8/1
10 Feb 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt 100% Racing TV Profits Back To Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 80/1
13 Jan 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Dream Weddings At Western House Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 125/1
02 Jan 26 Ayr Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Golf Inn Prestwick For The Ayr Stayers Trophy Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 22/1
02 Jan 26 Ayr Don Occhetti (IRE)J: Conor Rabbitt Sunday Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Soft · 19 ran PU 66/1
14 Dec 25 Carlisle Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Racing Blogger Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/2
01 Dec 25 Ayr Fostered Phil (IRE)J: Derek Fox Festive Dining At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 19.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 9/1
28 Nov 25 Musselburgh Darkest Day (IRE)J: Aaron Anderson 100% Racing TV Profits Back To Racing Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Young Jnr's strike rate?
William Young Jnr has won 28 of 432 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does William Young Jnr do best at?
Ayr by strike rate: 10 wins from 84 runners (11.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for William Young Jnr?
Derek Fox, with 93 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.4%).
Is William Young Jnr in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William Young Jnr's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 432 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).