2:55 Listowel
The Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap at Listowel brings together an 18-strong field of mostly modest performers over 1m1f on good ground. With a high-confidence lone-leader pace shape, the race looks set to hand an uncontested advantage to the one horse able to dictate from the front. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Satono Chevalier on 68, with Amplitude (66) and U S Navy Spearhead (63) the closest pursuers.
How the race shapes up
A lone leader with high confidence means one horse should bowl along in front with little pressure, setting a tempo that could prove difficult for the many held-up types to bridge in the straight. The race is therefore likely to be won from the front or by those positioned handily, posing the key question of whether any of the closers can produce the necessary late surge on this stiff track. Most of the field, including the top five in the KTB rankings, are held-up runners who will be hoping the leader does not get an easy time of it.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Satono Chevalier KTB Selection68/100
Satono Chevalier is a fair performer with plenty of racing behind him and a recent win on his record. He has been placed on good ground and at today's trip though he is yet to win at either, while he drops back in distance from his latest start. Both trainer and jockey have very limited experience at Listowel, with the trainer showing a 25% strike rate and an A/E of 11.74 from just four runs, and the jockey a 33% strike rate with an A/E of 4.65 from three rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to time his challenge perfectly against the uncontested leader. The eight-year-old comes into this off recent form figures of 813006 and is the KTB Selection.
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2Amplitude66/100
Amplitude is a fair performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning. He drops back to a trip he has won at before though his three runs on good ground have produced no placed efforts. Trainer Joseph G Murphy and jockey G F Carroll both have solid records at Listowel, the yard recording a 14% strike rate with an A/E of 1.2 from 128 runs and the rider a 13% strike rate with an A/E of 1.24 from 180 rides. Their combined record reads 116 wins from 1184 runners for a 10% strike rate and an A/E of 0.95. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the four-year-old will be looking to come from off the pace in a race where the leader may not come back.
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3U S Navy Spearhead63/100
U S Navy Spearhead showed fair ability when winning a 1m4f maiden on debut. He now drops back in trip to 1m1f which asks a fresh question. Trainer P G Fahey has an 11% strike rate from 27 runs at Listowel while jockey Jessica O'Gorman has had only two rides here so the sample is too small to judge, though she has struck at a 50% rate with an A/E of 4.62. Their combined record shows 4 wins from 17 runners for a 24% strike rate and an A/E of 2.34. Usually held up, though with limited evidence, the three-year-old is unproven on good ground and will need to show his maiden win was not a one-off.
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4Dragon Of Malta58/100
Dragon Of Malta is a modest performer who has won three times at Listowel from eight starts and holds a solid course record here. He steps up in trip today having been out of the frame on his last three runs at this distance, though he has shown bits of form over shorter this season. Trainer P F O'Donnell and jockey Julian Pietropaolo both hold respectable records at the track, the yard at 10% with an A/E of 1.08 from 31 runs and the rider at 14% with an A/E of 1.38 from seven rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the nine-year-old has a 1-10 record on good ground and recent form figures of -80454.
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5Resurgence53/100
Resurgence has shown fair form in three runs, finishing second on his most recent start after two placed efforts last year. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of him, while the wide draw in stall 14 is far from ideal. Mrs J Harrington has a solid 12% strike rate at Listowel from 415 runs though jockey Shane Foley's 9% record from 242 rides is more modest; together they are 425-3446 (12%) with an A/E of 0.81. Usually held up with medium confidence, the three-year-old is 2-2 on good ground without a win and arrives with form figures of 24-2.
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6Earls51/100
Earls is a modest performer who has been knocking on the door this season with three seconds from his last six starts. He has won over this track and placed at today's trip though he steps up in distance for the first time today after his most recent run over 7½f. Gavin Cromwell has a solid 11% strike rate here from 201 runs while Jack Kearney remains winless from 11 local rides.
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7Cala Bonita51/100
Cala Bonita is a modest performer who has been up and down this year with a win and a ninth from her last two starts. She has won over today's trip and handles good ground, though she is making her first appearance at Listowel. Trainer and jockey both have solid enough records at the track without setting it alight.
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8Red Autumn51/100
Red Autumn is a fair sort who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing fourth on both of his last two starts. He has already shown he handles this ground and has strong course connections through the trainer, though his own record here is only a modest fifth from one run. Stepping up in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question of him from a wide draw.
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9No More Porter50/100
No More Porter is a modest performer who has been around a bit and rarely wins. He has shown some competitiveness on good ground with eight places from 18 starts yet remains winless at this trip after one placing in seven attempts. The yard holds a solid 12% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample but this horse could only finish ninth on his sole run here.
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10Khormor Syd48/100
Khormor Syd is a modest performer who has shown better form this year with two seconds from his last three starts. Has won over today's trip but only ran once here at Listowel and finished seventh, while his record on good ground is also limited to a single unplaced effort. Trainer records a 9% strike-rate from 32 runs at the track.
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11Titanium47/100
Titanium is a fair sort who has run creditably on this track before, finishing third on his only visit. He drops back from 1m7f to a trip he has won over in the past, though his most recent efforts have been modest. The trainer has a poor record here while the jockey operates at a solid 11% strike rate.
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12Great Mover47/100
Great Mover is a modest performer who has been a regular in this grade without winning since last year. Steps up in trip today having already shown he can win at this distance, though his recent form has been patchy and he has only placed twice from eight runs on good ground. Trainer holds a solid 11% strike-rate at Listowel from a big sample while the jockey is less prolific here.
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13Java Wood46/100
Java Wood is a modest performer with a mixed record this year and no win on good ground from five attempts. Dropping back in trip today after a recent run over further and has been placed once in five starts at this distance. First time at Listowel for both horse and trainer while the jockeys 6 percent strike rate from 333 rides here offers little encouragement.
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14Iamimmaculate45/100
Iamimmaculate is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this year without winning. Steps up in trip today having been placed over this distance once already, though the larger field and wide draw from stall 12 are both negatives. Trainer's modest 4% strike rate at Listowel from 28 runs adds little confidence here.
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15Expound44/100
Expound is a modest performer who has been consistent enough without winning for a while and showed some spark when second here over further last season. Drops back to a trip he has won at three times from ten starts and acts well on good ground with five wins from fifteen runs. Trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at Listowel from a large sample is a negative while the jockey has too few rides here to judge.
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16Royal Bones44/100
Royal Bones is a modest performer who has shown consistent form in three runs, finishing placed on both starts at this trip including a second last time. Drops back from 1m2f today which looks a neutral move at this stage. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Listowel from a big sample while the jockey is operating at 5% here from 22 rides.
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17Justenzia42/100
Justenzia is a modest performer who has been below form for a while and finished last of seven at this track on her only previous run here. Drops back from 1m4f to a trip she has won at before and has shown some competitiveness on good ground. Trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Listowel adds little encouragement.
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18Unterberg36/100
Unterberg is a modest performer who has won once over today's trip but has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. Only placed once from 11 starts on good ground and was well held when he tried this track as a 4-year-old. Trainer has failed to land a winner from seven runs at Listowel while the 7 lb claimer has had too few rides here to judge.
KTB verdict
Satono Chevalier is the KTB Selection and has the right profile to capitalise on what looks a favourable pace set-up. A fair performer with a recent win to his name, he is effective on good ground and at the trip, and the combination of trainer and jockey strike rates at Listowel adds further appeal despite their limited local experience. The main dangers are likely to come from Amplitude, who drops back to a winning distance with strong local trainer and jockey figures, and the progressive maiden winner U S Navy Spearhead, though both must overcome the disadvantage of being held-up types in a race with a clear lone leader. Dragon Of Malta's course record cannot be ignored either.
KTB Selection Satono Chevalier
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 21 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Satono Chevalier | 28/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Amplitude | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| U S Navy Spearhead | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Dragon Of Malta | 7/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Resurgence | 10/3 | Dragon Bet |
| Earls | 20/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Cala Bonita | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Red Autumn | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| No More Porter | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Khormor Syd | 18/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Titanium | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Great Mover | 14/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Java Wood | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Iamimmaculate | 10/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Expound | 22/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Royal Bones | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Justenzia | 16/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Unterberg | 33/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 2:55 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
How does the lone-leader pace shape affect the race?
One clear front-runner with little to pressure it should set an uncontested lead that can be hard for the many held-up runners to peg back.
What is Satono Chevalier's record on good ground?
Placed 1 of 8 on good — competitive, no win.
Which horse has the strongest course record at Listowel?
Dragon Of Malta has won here three times from eight starts.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Listowel among those with runners?
M K Flannery has a 25% strike rate at Listowel with an A/E of 11.74 from four runs.
How many of the field are held-up types?
Seventeen of the eighteen runners are described as usually held up and producing their effort late.
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