Race Preview

4:30 Killarney

Monday 5 October 2026 ·14 runners KTB Selection: Femme Beauty · 59/100

This 14-runner Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap over 1m3f50y on yielding to soft ground features a largely modest field of three-year-olds. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with no standout standout but several horses arriving in reasonable heart or showing glimpses of ability. The overall numbers point to a competitive, tactical race where course knowledge, trip suitability and the ability to produce a late effort on this surface will be key.

How the race shapes up

The pace shape lacks a natural leader, suggesting a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy or well positioned early could pay dividends. With so many runners noted as held-up types, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace rather than a strongly-run stamina test. The key question is whether any horse can quicken effectively off a modest gallop on yielding to soft ground while others are caught flat-footed.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Femme Beauty KTB Selection59/100

    Form 143113 · G. O'Leary · Danny O'Leary(7)

    Femme Beauty is a modest performer who has been in and out of form this year but arrives in decent heart after two recent wins. She has already won over this trip and showed she handles the track when successful here earlier in the season. The step up from 1m2f looks a fair question on yielding to soft ground where she has yet to place. Usually held up, she produces her effort late and that style should be suited to the expected steadily-run race. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.12 from 38 runs, though the jockey has no record at the track. With an official rating of 73 and recent form figures of 143113 she holds leading claims from a fair draw in stall 6.

  2. 2Gentle Soda55/100

    Form 075 · E McNamara · Conor Cusack(7)

    Gentle Soda is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing seventh of 14 on the latest run. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has not tried, which asks a fresh question of him. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the race to fall right in a steadily-run affair. The trainer has a 6% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.63 from 368 runs while the claiming jockey has a 33% strike rate from only three rides here. With an official rating of 68 and recent form figures of 075 he has plenty to prove on his first run at this trip and on unproven yielding to soft ground.

  3. 3Wie Wunderbar54/100

    Form 36213 · Mrs J. Harrington · Keithen Kennedy

    Wie Wunderbar is a modest performer who has shown some consistency, finishing in the first three on three of his five starts. He drops back in trip today having won at this distance on his penultimate run, though the wider draw in stall 10 is far from ideal. Usually prominent, he races handily on or close to the lead, which could be an advantage in a race lacking an obvious leader. The trainer has a 10% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.65 from 499 runs while the jockey has a 13% strike rate from 15 rides here. With an official rating of 69 and recent form figures of 36213 he remains a solid contender if he can overcome both the draw and unproven ground.

  4. 4Marjorie Daw53/100

    Form 41-840 · Joseph G Murphy · Adam Browne-Souza(7)

    Marjorie Daw is a modest performer who has shown some ability on her better days but has been below form in both starts this season. The step up in trip is an unknown that could suit or expose her further. Usually held up, she produces her effort late and that style could be effective if the race develops into a sprint for the line. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 1.08 from 162 runs while the claiming jockey is still seeking a first course success from six rides. With an official rating of 74 and recent form figures of 41-840 she has the highest rating in the field but needs to bounce back.

  5. 5Tanzanite Diamond53/100

    Form 345084 · Adrian McGuinness · Sam Coen

    Tanzanite Diamond is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability in maidens without ever threatening to win. He drops back in trip today having looked stretched by 1m4f last time, which asks a fresh question of him. Usually held up with a high degree of confidence in that assessment, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a steadily-run race. The trainer has a 9% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.84 from 120 runs while the jockey has a 21% strike rate from 14 rides here. With an official rating of 65 and recent form figures of 345084 he has more to do than some but the drop in distance may help.

  6. 6Believe Believe51/100

    Form 908-21 · M D O'Callaghan · Reese Holohan(2)

    Believe Believe is a modest performer who has shown some improvement since joining this yard, finishing second in a handicap over 1m1f last time. He steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question. Usually held up, the trainer has an 11% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 0.85 from 44 runs while the jockey has a 50% strike rate from only two rides here.

  7. 7Shay's Dream51/100

    Form 008902 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Julian Pietropaolo(4)

    Shay's Dream is a modest performer who has shown little in most of his seven starts but did manage to place when tried at this trip last time. Joseph Patrick O'Brien has a solid 18% strike rate from 457 runs at Killarney while the claiming jockey has an above-average A/E despite a modest 8% strike rate from just 13 rides here. Course connections give some hope but the recent form remains patchy and the small sample on this ground leaves suitability unknown.

  8. 8Ocean Fire45/100

    Form 855 · R P Cody · Jack Kearney

    Ocean Fire is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing no better than fifth on each occasion. The trainer has a poor record at Killarney and this yard's three-year-olds often need time. Dropping back in trip is an unknown and the small amount of form available gives only limited encouragement.

  9. 9Shambata43/100

    Form 4074 · J. P. Murtagh · Patrick McGettigan(2)

    Shambata is a modest performer who has shown little in four starts since a promising debut, finishing no better than seventh on his last two outings. First-time headgear is now fitted as he drops back in trip to a distance he has not tried. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 71 runs at Killarney while the jockey is 11% from just nine rides here.

  10. 10Running Point42/100

    Form 236-80 · Jarlath P Fahey · Jack Cleary

    Running Point is a modest performer who showed fair form when placed on his first two starts last season but has been well held in both runs this year. The stable has a modest 3% strike rate at Killarney from 61 runs while the jockey is 1-20 here. Stepping up markedly in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question of a horse whose going suitability also remains unknown on just six career runs.

  11. 11Cascade Canyon42/100

    Form 040920 · Kevin Thomas Coleman · Terry Casey(7)

    Cascade Canyon is a limited horse who has shown very little in seven starts and arrives here with a recent form line of 040920. Dropping back from 1m6f to an untried 1m3f poses a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 12 is no help. The trainer holds a solid 8% strike-rate from 26 runs at Killarney but the 7lb claimer has only two rides here so far.

  12. 12Chestnut Palace40/100

    Form 745445 · Noel Meade · Nicola Burns(2)

    Chestnut Palace is a modest performer who has shown ordinary form in seven starts this year, with a string of mid-field finishes that leave him short of the best at this level. The step up in trip is an unknown that could suit or expose him further. The trainer has a solid 11% strike rate from 245 runs at Killarney, though the jockey is still seeking her first winner from eight rides here.

  13. 13Coilins Girl36/100

    Form 976 · J. P. Murtagh · Rory Mulligan

    Coilins Girl has shown only modest form in three runs to date and sits in the limited category for this step up in trip. The yard posts a 7% strike rate at Killarney from 71 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from nine rides here. With so few runs on the board the trip and ground both remain unknown quantities.

  14. 14Premier Princess32/100

    Form 50680 · Denis Gerard Hogan · Mel Sheridan(7)

    Premier Princess has shown very little in six starts and looks a limited performer on the balance of her form and ratings. She drops back from 2m to a trip she has never tried, which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer has an 8% strike-rate from 248 runs at Killarney while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.

KTB verdict

Femme Beauty is the KTB Selection. She arrives in decent heart after two recent wins, has already won over this trip and showed she handles the track when successful here earlier in the season. Her ability to produce a late effort from a held-up position should be well suited to the steadily-run race that is anticipated. The main dangers are Wie Wunderbar, who has shown consistency and won at this trip, and Marjorie Daw, who has the highest official rating in the field and could improve for the step up in distance if she returns to her better form.

KTB Selection Femme Beauty

Morning odds

Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.

RunnerMorning priceBookmaker
Femme Beauty6/1Bet Victor
Gentle Soda18/1Bet Victor
Wie Wunderbar7/2Bet365
Marjorie Daw28/1Bet365
Tanzanite Diamond11/1Bet365
Believe Believe7/2Bet Victor
Shay's Dream6/1Bet365
Ocean Fire12/1BetTom
Shambata17/2Bet Victor
Running Point16/1Bet Victor
Cascade Canyon28/1Bet365
Chestnut Palace10/1Bet365
Coilins Girl16/1Bet365
Premier Princess66/1Bet365

Questions about this race

Why is Femme Beauty the selection despite the step up in trip on yielding to soft ground?

She has already won over this trip, showed she handles the track when successful here earlier in the season, and arrives in decent heart after two recent wins.

How is the race likely to be run given the pace shape?

It lacks a leader so is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.

Which horses are suited by a held-up run style in this field?

Femme Beauty, Gentle Soda, Marjorie Daw, Tanzanite Diamond, Believe Believe, Shay's Dream, Shambata, Running Point, Cascade Canyon, Chestnut Palace, Coilins Girl and Premier Princess are all usually held up.

Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Killarney in this race?

Joseph Patrick O'Brien has an 18% strike rate at Killarney from 457 runs.

Which jockey has performed best at Killarney relative to expectations?

Reese Holohan has a 50% strike rate at Killarney with an A/E of 2.18 from two rides.

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