4:38 Kempton (AW)
A 12-runner Flat class 5 contest over 6f at Kempton (AW) (4:38), on Standard To Slow going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
Two or more habitual front-runners — the pace looks strong and could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Invincible Isaac KTB Selection58/100
Modest performer who has already won over this trip and at this track from just two runs here. Recent form has been patchy but the Kempton stats show he can produce his best round here. Trainer continues in solid form at the venue with a 24% strike rate.
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2Laylaty56/100
Modest performer with a solid recent record of 4312 in four starts. Has already won over today's 6f trip and holds strong course connections through the yard. Trainer's 10% strike rate from 105 runs at Kempton is modest but the high data confidence from ratings and race history gives a fair picture of what to expect.
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3Wait Geordie55/100
Fair performer who has shown mixed form across seven runs this year. Recent efforts have been ordinary and he has yet to place at this trip. Trainer Hugo Palmer has a solid 15% strike rate at Kempton from a large sample while apprentice Luke Catton is unproven at the track.
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4Harry's Pop55/100
Harry's Pop is a fair 2-year-old who has shown his best form on turf with two wins at this trip from eight starts. He arrives in decent order after a win and a second on his last two outings yet is unproven on standard to slow going and makes his first visit to Kempton. The yard's 9% strike rate at the track from 57 runs offers no strong pointers either way.
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5Sydney Grace54/100
Fair performer who has shown consistent ability in four starts, winning at this track over 5f before a solid second when tried at 6f. Steps up in trip again today from a middle draw and the yard's solid 11% strike rate at Kempton gives some encouragement. Going suitability remains unknown with such a light record.
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6Soeur de Flash54/100
Modest performer who has shown consistent placed form in three starts at this trip.
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7Frumoasa51/100
Modest performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing third here on her most recent start.
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8Bahia Bonita49/100
Modest filly who has shown ordinary form in three runs, winning once at this trip.
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9Minster Boy45/100
Modest performer who has shown ability in four runs, finishing second over this trip on his second start before two lesser efforts at 7f.
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10Maximus Meridius45/100
Modest performer who has shown consistent form, finishing in the first four on all five starts including two placed efforts at this trip.
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11Yahaira44/100
Modest performer who has already shown she can win at this trip.
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12Agent Rose41/100
Agent Rose has shown only modest form in three starts and was beaten a long way on both previous runs here at Kempton.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Invincible Isaac on a Fit Score of 58/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Laylaty and Wait Geordie.
KTB Selection Invincible Isaac
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 9 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Laylaty | 6/4 | LiveScore Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 4:38 Kempton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Kempton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Kempton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Kempton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 4:38 at Kempton (AW)?
Invincible Isaac tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 58/100.
How many runners are in this race?
12 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 4:38 at Kempton (AW)?
The going is described as Standard To Slow.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 6f.
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