5:15 Kempton (AW)
A 13-runner Flat class 6 contest over 1m at Kempton (AW) (5:15), on Standard To Slow going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
One clear front-runner with little to pressure it — likely an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Ernie McCrew KTB Selection57/100
Limited class performer who has been up and down this year with a win and two placings from his last six runs. Drops back to a trip he has won over though he is unproven on standard to slow going and makes his first appearance at Kempton. Trainer holds a 9% strike rate here from 558 runs.
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2Miss Mambo48/100
Limited filly who has shown little since a placed effort at this trip on turf in the summer. She was well held on her only previous visit to Kempton and has failed to land a blow in three runs since. First-time headgear is now applied but the yard's modest record here offers little encouragement.
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3Captive Beauty47/100
Limited performer who has shown little since a placed effort on debut. Dropping back to 1m today asks a fresh question after a laboured effort over slightly further last time. Trainer holds an 8% strike rate at Kempton from 24 runs while the jockey also operates at a modest level here.
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4Positive Thoughts47/100
Limited horse who has shown only modest form across 11 starts and remains winless at this trip from four attempts. The yard has a 0% strike rate from six runs at Kempton while the colt is unproven on standard to slow ground. Billy Loughnane takes the ride on a first visit to the track.
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5Grand Vista47/100
Limited performer who has shown bits of ability but remains winless after ten runs. Has a placed effort at this trip but was only fifth on his one visit here and has failed to place in three of his last four starts. Trainer holds a solid 11% strike rate at the track from a decent-sized sample.
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6Henfield46/100
Limited horse who has shown just fair form at best in ten starts this year.
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7Lihou Lady45/100
Lihou Lady has shown only modest form in four starts and sits right at the bottom of the handicap on her handicap debut.
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8Grey Sands41/100
Grey Sands is a limited performer who has been largely out of form since an early win.
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9Arvana Belle40/100
Limited performer who has been knocking at the door without success lately, finishing second in three of her last four starts.
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10Alice's Influence40/100
Limited performer who has shown consistent but modest form this year without winning.
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11Call Alert40/100
Limited performer who has failed to build on an early promise shown in his second start.
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12Wild Rosie39/100
Wild Rosie has shown only limited ability across ten runs and her recent form of 607846 suggests she is struggling to make a serious impact at this level.
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13Girls Allowed30/100
Limited filly who has shown very little in eight starts and was beaten 14 lengths when last of nine over course and distance on her most recent visit.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Ernie McCrew on a Fit Score of 57/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Miss Mambo and Captive Beauty.
KTB Selection Ernie McCrew
This is the narrative read of the 5:15 Kempton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Kempton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Kempton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Kempton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 5:15 at Kempton (AW)?
Ernie McCrew tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 57/100.
How many runners are in this race?
13 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 5:15 at Kempton (AW)?
The going is described as Standard To Slow.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m.
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