4:50 Dundalk (AW)
This 7f Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden at Dundalk on standard ground features a large field of 17 two-year-olds, many of them lightly raced or making their debut. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched, with no standout performer on the numbers and a top rating of only 55. Overall the contest looks modest in quality and the lack of a clear leader points to a tactical, steadily-run race where positioning and a good draw could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and is expected to produce a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. Several runners prefer to race held up, while a few others typically settle in mid-division or race prominently, so the key question will be which horses can obtain a decent early position without using up too much energy on this tight track. With a wide-open look to the race on paper, those drawn nearest the inside and able to track the pace may hold an advantage as the field swings into the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Star Glory KTB Selection55/100
Star Glory has shown fair form across four runs and has been placed twice at this trip without winning. The wide draw in stall 17 is a clear negative on a tight track like Dundalk. Trainer Noel Meade has a modest 9% strike rate here from a large sample while jockey Adam Caffrey records a solid 12% from 500 rides. The filly is usually held up and produces her effort late, which may not be ideal in a steadily-run affair. She holds an official rating of 85 and comes into the race with recent form figures of 6252. As the KTB selection she is taken to come out on top despite the obvious drawbacks of her draw and the trainer's modest record at the venue.
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2Donner Dancer51/100
Donner Dancer is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. The yard has a solid 21% strike rate at Dundalk from 66 runs so the trainer knows what is required here, while the 5 lb claiming jockey has a more modest 9% record from 157 rides at the track. Pedigree and sales information is the main guide but with low data confidence any strong view would be guesswork. By In Swoop, the colt has no course win on record and remains entirely unproven on standard ground. Connections will hope the yard's respectable record at the venue can be put to good use on debut in what looks a steadily-run race.
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3Lady's Court50/100
Lady's Court is lightly raced and only modest so far on the evidence of two runs including a fifth here over 6f. The step up to 7f is an unknown and first-time headgear is now applied. Trainer has a solid 11% strike rate at Dundalk from a big sample while the jockey's 5% rate from over a thousand rides is more modest. Typically settling in midfield, she has one run on standard ground with no win or place to show for it. Recent form figures read 54 and she holds an official rating that reflects her modest level of ability so far.
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4Lady Quigley49/100
Lady Quigley has shown little in two starts to date, finishing ninth then last over 6f. She now steps up to 7f for the first time, which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer holds an 11% strike rate at Dundalk from a big sample while the jockey is operating at 7%. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she remains unproven on standard ground with no course form on record. Recent form figures of 90 underline her modest level of ability at this early stage of her career.
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5Sake Nights48/100
Sake Nights is a newcomer from the powerful Aidan O'Brien stable. The yard has a solid 18% strike rate at Dundalk from a big sample. Connections are respected but the wide draw in stall 13 and low-confidence data mean this is very much an unknown on debut. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 13% strike rate from 714 runs together. With no course win on record and neutral going data the colt's chance will rest on the strength of the yard and whatever pedigree clues are available.
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6Madam Sweetie Pie48/100
Madam Sweetie Pie is a first foal of a modest maiden who is a half-sister to a couple of useful winners. Bred to have speed and sold for 72,000 euros as a yearling, connections are respected here though the jockey's modest strike rate at the track adds a note of caution on debut.
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7Sonic Sabiha47/100
Sonic Sabiha has shown modest form in three starts so far with a best of seventh and now drops back to 7f having failed to make an impact at that trip twice before. The yard holds a 10% strike rate from a large sample at Dundalk while jockey Luke McAteer matches that figure from his own sizeable record here. Data confidence remains low given the small sample and limited overall substance.
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8Catch The Boss47/100
Catch The Boss caught the eye when finishing eighth on debut over 6f at the Curragh. Steps up to 7f today which asks a fresh question of this lightly raced colt. Trainer Jessica Harrington has a 9% strike rate from 868 runs at Dundalk.
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9Alpha Betty45/100
Alpha Betty showed fair pace on debut when finishing fourth over this trip at Dundalk. The yard has a modest 6% strike rate here from 98 runs while the jockey is operating at a 5% strike rate from nearly 2000 rides. With just one run on the clock and a wide draw in stall 14 the form is hard to weigh up with any confidence.
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10Esprit De Loi45/100
Esprit De Loi is a newcomer from a yard that has a modest 9% strike rate at Dundalk from a large sample. The jockey also operates at a modest 7% strike rate here over many rides. With low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on the pedigree and sales background.
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11Ladies Gossip45/100
Ladies Gossip is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a solid 15% strike rate at Dundalk. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien stable clearly knows its way around this track, though the jockey's 7% record from a large sample is more modest. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence available, the assessment rests entirely on her sales and pedigree background.
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12Secret Vega45/100
Secret Vega is a newcomer from a yard that has a solid 11% strike-rate at Dundalk from a large sample. The Ben Coen partnership also carries a 10% record at the track. With no racecourse form and only low data confidence the colt's chance rests entirely on his pedigree and sales background.
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13Dragon Scales44/100
Dragon Scales showed only modest form when sixth on debut over this trip at Dundalk. The yard has a 5% strike rate here from 41 runs so expectations remain low. With just one run on the clock the colt remains very lightly raced and open to improvement.
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14Moyanna Castle44/100
Moyanna Castle showed little on its sole start over 6f at this track when finishing ninth. It now steps up to 7f for the first time which asks a fresh question of a horse with only one run on the board. The trainer has had just a single runner at Dundalk so that too remains an unknown.
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15Little Scotch44/100
Little Scotch showed only modest form when fifth on debut over this trip. The yard has an 8% strike rate at Dundalk from a large sample while the 3lb claimer is operating at a similar level with an 11% record here. Everything else is guesswork on such limited evidence.
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16Aquired Taste43/100
Aquired Taste is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The pedigree and sales background offer the only clues here and the data confidence remains low. Trainer T G McCourt has a modest 7% strike rate at Dundalk from a huge sample while apprentice Sadhbh Tormey is operating at 4% from her 46 rides at the track.
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17Ippy40/100
Ippy is a modest performer who has shown some ability on his three starts, finishing a close third on his most recent outing. He has been placed at this trip and from stall 8 he should get a decent run. Trainer has a modest 5% strike rate here from 73 runs while jockey is operating at 7% from 214 rides.
KTB verdict
Star Glory is the KTB selection and sets a fair standard on her placed efforts at this trip despite the wide draw in stall 17. She has shown consistent form without winning and the steadily-run nature of the race may allow her late kick to be timed to advantage. The main dangers are the well-bred newcomers from powerful yards, particularly Donner Dancer and the Aidan O'Brien representative Sake Nights, along with Lady's Court who brings some course experience. The race is modest on the KTB numbers and the large field plus tactical pace shape make it tricky, yet the selection is taken to overcome her disadvantages.
KTB Selection Star Glory
This is the narrative read of the 4:50 Dundalk (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Dundalk (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Dundalk (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Dundalk (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is the wide draw in stall 17 a negative for Star Glory?
The wide draw in stall 17 is a clear negative on a tight track like Dundalk.
What does the pace shape suggest about how the race will unfold?
Lacks a leader — likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which runners are making their racecourse debut?
Donner Dancer, Sake Nights, Madam Sweetie Pie, Esprit De Loi, Ladies Gossip, Secret Vega and Aquired Taste are newcomers with no racecourse form.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Dundalk for the yard of Lady's Court and Lady Quigley?
Paul W Flynn has an 11% strike rate at Dundalk from 474 runs.
How many runs has Star Glory had and what is her best trip performance?
Star Glory has shown fair form across four runs and has been placed twice at this trip without winning.
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