6:00 Dundalk (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Lahore Da King KTB Selection62/100

   Form 107005 · Anthony Mullins · Iqbal Khan(7)

   Lahore Da King is a modest performer who has won twice at this track from seven starts and also has two wins from eight runs at today's 7f trip. He drops back from 1m having been well held on his last two starts, though the recent form figures of 107005 show he is capable of better on his day. The trainer's modest 7% strike rate at Dundalk is offset by the jockey's strong 40% record from a small sample of five rides, with the combination showing an A/E of 2.70 and positive LSP of +£7.00. He usually races held up and produces his effort late, which fits the shape of a race where the leader may get first run. With an official rating of 67 and two wins from seven on standard ground he remains dangerous when the cards fall right.

2. 2Barbapapa56/100

   Form 3-0939 · Henry de Bromhead · Adam Grant(7)

   Barbapapa is a modest performer with a solid record at this track, having won three of nine starts here. He was placed on his most recent visit to Dundalk and has three wins from 13 runs on standard ground, so the surface is no problem. The trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at the venue, the yard at 9% from 329 runs and the rider at 7% from 45 rides, yet the horse's own course form and trip success give him a fighting chance from stall one. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the leader to come back to him. His recent form of 3-0939 suggests he can be competitive at this level when things go his way.

3. 3Mickey The Steel55/100

   Form 373613 · Joseph Anthony Murray · Rory Mulligan(5)

   Mickey The Steel is a modest performer with a solid record here, winning twice from five starts at Dundalk. He drops back to 7f today after his last run over a mile, a trip where he has won once from eight attempts. The trainer strikes at 9% from 123 runs at the track while the jockey operates at 7% from 214 rides, though the combination has shown an A/E of 2.06 and positive LSP of +£15.50. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his recent form of 373613 indicates he remains capable at this level. With an official rating of 71 and two wins from five on standard ground he cannot be ruled out.

4. 4Rappell54/100

   Form 621034 · Paul W Flynn · J M Sheridan

   Rappell is a modest performer who has won once over this trip and once here from four runs at Dundalk. His recent form of 621034 shows he can be competitive at this level when on his game yet he is drawn wide in stall 14 which will not help. The trainer records a solid 11% strike rate at the track from 474 runs while the jockey operates at 7% from 747 rides, with the pair showing an A/E of 1.02. Usually held up, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he will need to overcome both the draw and the uncontested leader. One win from five on standard ground completes a profile that still holds place claims.

5. 5Nazario53/100

   Form -44748 · J. P. Murtagh · Ben Coen

   Nazario is a modest performer who has shown his best form at this track, finishing placed on both starts here. He drops back to 7f having last run over a mile and a half, a trip at which he is 0-5 but has been placed twice. The trainer and jockey both have solid but unspectacular records at Dundalk on the all-weather, the yard at 11% from 655 runs and the rider at 10% from 853 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, his official rating of 68 looks fair on his placed efforts at the venue. With two placed efforts from two runs on standard ground he is respected in a race where the pace may not collapse.

6. 6Iff In Doubt53/100

   Form -41250 · Edward Lynam · Reese Holohan(5)

   Iff In Doubt is a modest performer who has won once here from seven starts and also scored at this trip. Recent form has been patchy with a clear best effort when second at this track in February but he ran poorly last time. The trainer and jockey both have solid records at Dundalk, the yard at 13% from 1296 runs and the rider at 14% from 88 rides.

7. 7Leveraging52/100

   Form 1-0607 · Ms Sheila Lavery · Robbie Colgan

   Leveraging is a modest performer who won over 6f here in January but has been well held in four starts since. He steps up to 7f for the first time today which asks a fresh question, though he has already tried the trip twice without success. The trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Dundalk.

8. 8Hastily51/100

   Form 000909 · Tom McGuinness

   Hastily is a limited horse who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. He has won over this trip in the past and holds a respectable record on the surface here at Dundalk including one victory from eight runs. The trainer continues in solid form at this venue with an above-par strike rate.

9. 9In A Hurry50/100

   Form 892603 · Keith Henry Clarke · Rory Cleary

   In A Hurry is a modest performer who has shown a bit of spark at this track, finishing third on his only visit here. He has won over today's 7f trip and is 2 from 2 when placed on standard ground, though his recent form of 892603 suggests he is vulnerable to sharper rivals. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Dundalk from a large sample and the jockey's 5% record at the venue add further caution. He is the sole front-runner and could be allowed an easy lead.

10. 10Battle Borne50/100

    Form 020809 · Patrick J McKenna · Patrick McGettigan(5)

    Battle Borne is a modest performer who has won once at this track and once at today's trip from a modest overall strike-rate. He has been out of form for some time with recent efforts offering little encouragement. The trainer's modest record at Dundalk adds no positive and the jockey's 9% strike-rate here is respectable but far from compelling.

11. 11Jess Abi45/100

    Form 50078- · Mark Fahey · Gavin Ryan

    Jess Abi is a limited performer who has shown little in six starts and was well held in both Dundalk runs over further. Dropping back to 7f asks a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 12 is no help. The trainer and jockey both have solid if unspectacular records at the track.

12. 12Glendower43/100

    Form 9/3579 · Eoin Doyle · Wesley Joyce

    Glendower is a modest performer who has been well below form in three starts this year after a lengthy absence. He drops sharply from 2m to an untried 7f today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at Dundalk while this will be the horse's first run here.

13. 13Beat The Devil43/100

    Form 506098 · Patrick Magee · Chris Hayes

    Beat The Devil is a limited performer who has won once in 13 runs at Dundalk but has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. He drops back to 7f having been placed at the trip earlier in his career yet the yard's modest 6% strike rate at the track offers little encouragement. The jockey's solid 9% record here is the main positive in an otherwise unconvincing profile.

14. 14Evangelic42/100

    Form 4040-0 · R K Watson · Adam Caffrey

    Evangelic is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little on his most recent start. Connections have a poor record at this track and the horse is unproven on standard ground while making his first visit to Dundalk. He has placed once over today's trip but that was some time ago.

15. 15Elusive Duke42/100

    Form 227200 · M A Molloy · James Ryan

    Elusive Duke is a modest performer who has been placed a few times this year but has gone off the boil lately with two poor efforts. He has only one run at Dundalk and one on standard ground so both are very limited samples. He drops back to 7f today having been tried at a mile last time.