2:32 Leopardstown

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1The Pintline KTB Selection56/100

   Martin Hassett · Paddy Harnett(3)

   The Pintline is a two-year-old newcomer from the Martin Hassett yard which has a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 34 runs and an A/E of 1.47. Connections hold their own at this track, with Paddy Harnett on board who himself has a 10% strike rate here from 63 rides and an A/E of 1.13. With no racecourse form to go on, the pedigree and sales details are the only pointers available and this remains very much an unknown quantity on debut. The KTB Fit rating of 56 nevertheless places him at the head of the field in this maiden.

2. 2Ah Sure Look52/100

   Form 08 · Martin Hassett · Chris Hayes

   Ah Sure Look has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing eighth on debut and again last time out. The Martin Hassett yard posts a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 34 runs with an A/E of 1.47, while Chris Hayes has an 8% record from over 1200 rides at the track. The colt is unproven on good ground and has only a small sample at this trip, leaving him hard to assess with any confidence. He is usually held up and produces his effort late, fitting the pattern of several runners who may be asked to come from off the pace in a race with tentative early speed.

3. 3Midnight Ace51/100

   Ciaran Murphy · Donagh O'Connor

   Midnight Ace is a newcomer with no racecourse experience, so the pedigree and sales background are the only clues available and data confidence is low as a result. The Ciaran Murphy yard has a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 67 runs with an A/E of 1.44, while jockey Donagh O'Connor operates at a more modest 4% from 160 rides here. By Ghaiyyath, he represents a sire with a 16% overall win rate. Drawn in stall five, he will need to overcome the lack of any previous form in what looks a competitive heat for a maiden.

4. 4Louis De Foix49/100

   P. Twomey · W. J. Lee

   Louis De Foix is a debutant whose bare form is unknown, with the pedigree and sales background offering only limited clues at this stage and low data confidence meaning any firm view would be premature. Trainer Patrick Twomey has a strong 25% strike rate at Leopardstown from 81 runs with an A/E of 1.08, though jockey W. J. Lee sits on a more modest 8% record from 860 rides at the track. By New Bay, a sire with a 14% overall win rate, the colt is another whose racecourse ability is entirely untested. The powerful Twomey-Lee combination nevertheless commands respect in a maiden of this nature.

5. 5Silent Kingdom47/100

   Form 7 · Diego Dias · Adam Grant(7)

   Silent Kingdom showed little on debut when finishing seventh over 1m1f. Dropping back in trip today poses a fresh question while first-time headgear is also applied. The Diego Dias yard has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Leopardstown, though jockey Adam Grant has a 25% record from a small sample of just four rides here with an A/E of 1.42. The colt is unproven on good ground and is usually held up, producing his effort late. With only one run on the board the form has to be treated with real caution and the KTB Fit of 47 reflects his modest profile.

6. 6Mashad46/100

   J. P. Murtagh · Ben Coen

   Mashad is a newcomer from the J. P. Murtagh yard which has a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 452 runs. By Baaeed, a sire with a 21% overall win rate, the colt was bought for €72,000 as a yearling and is a son of No Nay Never out of a useful middle-distance winner. Both trainer and jockey hold modest course records here and with no racecourse evidence available his debut remains very much an unknown.

7. 7Mount Meru45/100

   Form 2 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · J M Sheridan

   Mount Meru was placed second on debut over this trip at the course from a wide draw and is drawn even wider today. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard has a 12% strike rate at Leopardstown from 1089 runs, while jockey J M Sheridan operates at 7%. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is unproven on good ground. That debut effort gives him the strongest form in the field on paper.

8. 8Special Reserve45/100

   John Joseph Murphy · Shane Foley

   Special Reserve is a newcomer from the John Joseph Murphy yard which has a modest 3% strike rate from 276 runs at Leopardstown. Shane Foley is a more established rider here with an 11% strike rate from over a thousand rides. With no racecourse form to go on, assessment rests on pedigree and sales background.

9. 9Aladdin's Cave44/100

   Form 3 · Aidan O'Brien · Jack Cleary(5)

   Aladdin's Cave showed some promise when third on debut over this trip. The Aidan O'Brien yard has a strong 20% strike rate at Leopardstown from a huge sample of 2999 runners. Tending to make the running or race prominently, he is unproven on good ground. With only one run on the board the form has to be treated with real caution.

10. 10Etawann44/100

    J. P. Murtagh · Jamie Powell

    Etawann is a newcomer from the J. P. Murtagh yard which has a 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 452 runs. By Wootton Bassett, a sire with a 13% overall win rate, he has no racecourse form to go on so assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.

11. 11Kingdom Of Camelot44/100

    Form 44 · Aidan O'Brien · W. M. Lordan

    Kingdom Of Camelot has shown ordinary form in two starts so far, finishing fourth on both occasions. He now drops back in trip having failed to make an impact at this distance last time. The Aidan O'Brien yard has a 20% strike rate at Leopardstown from 2999 runs, though jockey W. M. Lordan has a more modest 8% record here. Usually held up, he has one run on good ground without placing.

12. 12Pirate Of Penzance43/100

    Aidan O'Brien · Gavin Ryan

    Pirate Of Penzance is a newcomer from the Aidan O'Brien yard which has a 20% strike rate from 2999 runs at Leopardstown. Gavin Ryan takes the ride and has a 6% strike rate from 280 rides at the track. With low data confidence on this debutant the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.

13. 13Raqi42/100

    Form 5 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Shay Wallace(7)

    Raqi showed fair pace when fifth on debut over 7f. He now steps up markedly in trip to an untested 1m, which asks a fresh question of him. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard has a 12% strike rate at Leopardstown from 1089 runs, though the 7lb claimer Shay Wallace has only three rides here so far. He is unproven on good ground.

14. 14Saxonian42/100

    Form 9 · J A Stack · Seamie Heffernan

    Saxonian showed little on his sole start when finishing ninth. The J A Stack yard has a modest 5% strike rate at Leopardstown from 113 runs while Seamie Heffernan has a 10% record from over 1500 rides here. Unproven on good ground and with only one run on the board, the colt remains something of an unknown quantity.

15. 15Captaincormac41/100

    Patrick Magee · Robbie Colgan

    Captaincormac is a debutant with limited information beyond his pedigree and sales background. The Patrick Magee yard has a modest 4% strike rate from 26 runs at Leopardstown while Robbie Colgan sits on a similar 4% from 424 rides here. First-time headgear is applied and overall confidence remains low.