3:35 Redcar
A 15-runner Class 6 handicap over 5f 217y on soft ground at Redcar brings the curtain down on the Flat season here. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with two horses sharing a mark of 66 while the remainder tail off gradually, suggesting a competitive but modest event. Several runners are dropping in class and the majority have shown at least some competitiveness on soft ground, though a handful remain unproven on the surface.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical. Several prominent runners including Hurstwood, Lumenbourg, Fordham Flyer, Miss Rainbow, Hares Bredth, Sunday River, Reposado, Star Allure and Dinamo should be able to secure handy early positions. The key question is whether those racing close to the pace can dictate matters or whether the race will fall to one of the held-up types such as Lesley's Boy or Taaklam who can pounce late off a steady gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Lesley's Boy KTB Selection66/100
Lesley's Boy is a limited performer who has been knocking on the door without winning of late and now drops back to his winning trip. He has shown he can be competitive on soft ground but makes his first appearance at Redcar. The Richard and Peter Fahey stable posts a 17% strike rate at the track from 29 runs while Oisin Orr records an 18% strike rate from 121 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he arrives off an official rating of 59 with recent form figures of 588426.
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2Taaklam66/100
Taaklam is a modest performer who has won once in nine starts at this trip. Dropping in class, he is unproven on soft ground and makes his first appearance at Redcar. The Harriet Bethell yard has a 31% strike rate at the course from 13 runs while Oisin McSweeney operates at an 11% strike rate from 57 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he carries an official rating of 62 with recent form figures of 761975.
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3Hurstwood58/100
Hurstwood is a limited performer who has won three times from eight runs at this track and has scored six times at today's trip from 48 attempts. He has been competitive on soft ground without winning and arrives in decent form having won two of his last six starts. Dropping in class, the Peter Niven yard posts an 11% strike rate at Redcar from 87 runs while Jake Dickson rides at a 3% strike rate here from 31 rides. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he carries an official rating of 56 with recent form figures of 471147.
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4Lumenbourg56/100
Lumenbourg is a modest performer who has been placed four times from six runs at Redcar without winning. He has won once at today's trip from eight attempts and has shown he can be competitive on soft ground. Dropping in class, the Julie Camacho yard and Ryan Sexton operate at their usual level here with respective strike rates of 8% from 322 runs and 11% from 72 rides at the track. Usually races handily on or close to the lead, he carries an official rating of 64 with recent form figures of 146523.
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5Impressor55/100
Impressor is a limited performer who has won both previous starts at Redcar. He steps up in trip today having won twice at this distance in the past and has shown ability on soft ground with four wins from 18 starts. Dropping in class, the Phillip Makin yard posts a 7% strike rate at Redcar from 75 runs while Sam James records an 11% strike rate from 243 rides here. Typically settling in midfield, the 9-year-old carries an official rating of 58 with recent form figures of 608013.
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6Fordham Flyer53/100
Fordham Flyer is a modest performer who has finished no better than sixth in three starts this year after two promising efforts as a juvenile. Stepping up in trip today having failed to win in two previous tries at this distance, he is dropping in class. Half-brother to Diomed Duke who won four of 19 starts, he has shown competitiveness on soft ground without winning.
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7Miss Rainbow52/100
Miss Rainbow is a modest performer who has been placed on soft ground and has won three times at today's trip. She has run seven times at Redcar without winning and her recent form of 334183 shows she can be competitive at this level. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, the yard and jockey both post strike rates in line with their wider figures.
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8Hares Bredth52/100
Hares Bredth is a limited performer who has won once here and once at today's trip. Recent form is modest and he has shown some competitiveness on soft ground without winning. Dropping in class and usually racing handily, the yard's strike rate at Redcar sits below their overall figure while the jockey matches his general rate.
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9Big Apple Jack50/100
Big Apple Jack is a modest performer who has shown mixed form this year with a recent win and a solid third here last season. He has winning form on soft ground and has won over today's trip though he drops back from 7f now. Typically settling in midfield, the yard and jockey both post strike rates in line with their course figures.
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10Sunday River45/100
Sunday River is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date and now steps up in trip for the first time. Dropping in class and unproven on soft ground, the yard's strike rate at Redcar sits below their figure at other tracks while the jockey's record here is in line with his record elsewhere. Drawn in stall 15 with only a modest family behind him he has plenty to prove.
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11Reposado41/100
Reposado is a modest performer who has been placed on soft ground and at today's trip without winning. Recent form of 228868 shows consistency at this level but no breakthrough in 19 starts. Usually racing handily, the trainer is 0% from 11 runs at Redcar while the jockey is 4% from 136 rides here.
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12Star Allure41/100
Star Allure is a limited performer who has shown little spark in 21 starts and arrives off the back of three modest efforts. She has placed once in a single run at Redcar and has been placed at today's trip without winning, but her two runs on soft ground have produced no win or place. Usually racing handily, the trainer has no recorded runs at this track while the jockey's one ride here is too small a sample to judge.
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13Solar Cooper41/100
Solar Cooper is a limited performer who has won once in 11 starts and carries an official rating of 58. He has shown mixed form this year with a win on this trip but has been well held on his last three outings. Usually held up, the yard and jockey both post strike rates at Redcar in line with their overall figures.
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14Miss Tino29/100
Miss Tino has shown little so far with form figures of 505 and holds an official rating of 42 that matches her limited level. She has run twice at this trip without success and remains unproven on soft ground. Half-sister to Intrinsic Bond who won seven of 48 starts, the yard and jockey both record modest strike rates at Redcar.
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15Dinamo29/100
Dinamo is a limited performer who has shown little since his early juvenile days and arrives here with a recent form line of 947-68. He makes his first appearance at Redcar on soft ground he has failed to handle in one previous run and steps up in trip for the first time. Usually racing handily, the yard's strike rate here is in line with its record elsewhere while the jockey's is below his general figure.
KTB verdict
Lesley's Boy is the KTB Selection. A limited performer who has been knocking at the door without winning lately, he drops back to his winning trip having shown he can be competitive on soft ground. The Fahey stable and Oisin Orr both have solid records at Redcar, and in a muddling tactical race his late kick from a held-up position could prove decisive. Main dangers are Taaklam, who shares the top Fit rating and is dropping in class, along with course winner Hurstwood, placed performer Lumenbourg and Redcar specialist Impressor.
KTB Selection Lesley's Boy
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:30am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Lesley's Boy | 17/2 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Taaklam | 9/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Hurstwood | 10/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Lumenbourg | 7/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Impressor | 8/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Fordham Flyer | 20/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Miss Rainbow | 15/2 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Hares Bredth | 17/2 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Big Apple Jack | 9/2 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Sunday River | 15/2 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Reposado | 9/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Star Allure | 16/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Solar Cooper | 33/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
| Miss Tino | 40/1 | Bet365, 12:15am |
| Dinamo | 40/1 | William Hill, 12:15am |
This is the narrative read of the 3:35 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Redcar racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Redcar?
Hurstwood has won three times from eight runs at this track. Impressor has won both previous starts here while Lumenbourg has been placed four times from six runs.
How many runners are proven on soft ground?
Lesley's Boy, Hurstwood, Lumenbourg, Impressor, Fordham Flyer, Miss Rainbow, Hares Bredth, Big Apple Jack, Reposado and Dinamo have all shown some competitiveness on soft ground. Taaklam, Sunday River, Solar Cooper and Miss Tino remain unproven on the surface.
Which trainers have the best strike rates at Redcar?
Harriet Bethell has a 31% strike rate at Redcar from 13 runs. Richard and Peter Fahey are 17% from 29 runs while Peter Niven is 11% from 87 runs.
Who are the most experienced jockeys at this track?
Oisin Orr has an 18% strike rate at Redcar from 121 rides, Sam James is 11% from 243 rides and Jason Hart is 14% from 530 rides.
Which horses are dropping in class?
Taaklam, Hurstwood, Lumenbourg, Impressor, Fordham Flyer, Hares Bredth, Sunday River and Miss Tino are all dropping in class.
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