Race Preview

2:12 Bath

Thursday 29 October 2026 ·14 runners KTB Selection: Spirit Lead Me · 58/100

This Class 6 handicap over a mile on heavy ground at Bath brings together 14 modest performers in a genuinely-run contest. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with no standout standout but a clear preference for Spirit Lead Me on the numbers. Recent form is mixed across the field, several runners arrive with course placings or wins, and the heavy surface will sort out those unproven on it.

How the race shapes up

A front-runner is likely to be pressed by several prominent and handy types in what is expected to be a genuinely-run, fair test. Thiscouldbefun tends to make the running while Pitney, Rwenearlytheredad, Lovely Jubly, Man From Havana, Rogue Sea, Havana Mojito and Riyadh Gem are all usually on or close to the pace. That early speed should ensure a proper gallop, posing the key question of which of the mid-division and held-up runners can time their effort best off it.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Spirit Lead Me KTB Selection58/100

    Form 998611 · Richard Hughes · Finley Marsh

    Spirit Lead Me is a limited performer who has been in and out this year but showed his better side when winning his only start here and also has four wins from 12 starts at this trip. He is unproven on heavy ground and that remains a clear question mark. The yard's 13% strike rate at Bath is in line with their record elsewhere. Settling typically in midfield from draw 6, he has the recent form 998611 and carries an official rating of 58. Richard Hughes and Finley Marsh team up with respective Bath strike rates of 13% and 14%, and this four-year-old has course-and-distance winning form to call upon.

  2. 2Equion51/100

    Form 549815 · Tony Carroll · Hector Crouch

    Equion is limited on official ratings and with a career record that shows more modest than high-class ability. He has placed both starts at Bath and is 2-6 on heavy ground, while the drop back to 1m looks a fair move given five previous wins at the trip. Trainer's 11% strike rate at the track is above his general mark. Typically settling in midfield from draw 4, the eight-year-old arrives with form figures of 549815 and an official rating of 56. Tony Carroll and Hector Crouch combine with a 13% record together at Bath, and the horse has shown placed form over course and distance.

  3. 3Kaleidoscope Eyes48/100

    Form 315210 · Bernard Llewellyn · Charlie Tucker(7)

    Kaleidoscope Eyes is a modest performer with a recent form line of 315210 that shows both ability and inconsistency. He steps up to 1m having won three times from nine starts at the trip while the heavy ground looks suitable on the back of one win from one run. Trainer at Bath has a 5% strike rate from 235 runs in line with their record elsewhere and this is the horse's first appearance here. Settling typically in midfield from a low draw of 2, the four-year-old carries an official rating of 65 and is dropping in class. Bernard Llewellyn and the 7lb claimer Charlie Tucker have modest strike rates at the venue.

  4. 4Thiscouldbefun47/100

    Form 301465 · J. S. Moore · Isobelle Chalmers(7)

    Thiscouldbefun is a modest performer who has won once from six runs at Bath and is 3 from 22 at this trip. He has placed on heavy ground from a small sample and arrives in ordinary recent form. The trainer's 8 percent strike rate at the track is in line with his record elsewhere. Tending to make the running or race on the pace from draw 3, the four-year-old has form figures of 301465 and an official rating of 63. J. S. Moore and the 7lb claimer Isobelle Chalmers team up with a modest 6% record together at Bath, and the horse has course-winning form.

  5. 5Look Back Smiling46/100

    Form 437636 · Neil Mulholland · Dougie Costello

    Look Back Smiling is a modest performer who has been consistent enough in recent months without winning. He has run only once at Bath and finished tenth, while the trainer's 7% strike rate at the track sits below his overall figure. Dropping back to a trip he has won at before is a positive on heavy ground where he has shown some ability. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 10, the six-year-old has recent form figures of 437636 and carries an official rating of 62. Neil Mulholland and Dougie Costello have a 10% record together, though both have modest Bath strike rates.

  6. 6Pitney46/100

    Form 3D2504 · Michael Attwater · David Probert

    Pitney is a limited performer who has been running in this grade for some time without winning. He has shown some course familiarity with two runs at Bath yielding a fourth and a fifth, while his trainer maintains a 13% strike rate here from 167 runs, above their 6% at other tracks. The horse is unproven on heavy ground and is drawn in stall 1 of 14.

  7. 7Rwenearlytheredad46/100

    Form -65026 · Barry Murphy · Ashley Lewis(3)

    Rwenearlytheredad is a limited performer who has been on the go for a long time and arrives in ordinary form. He steps up to 1m having won at the trip before but showed no spark on his only heavy-ground start. The yard records an 8% strike rate at Bath while this is the horse's first run here and he tries headgear for the first time.

  8. 8Lovely Jubly46/100

    Form 68-135 · Michael Attwater · Taryn Langley(5)

    Lovely Jubly is a limited performer who has won once from two starts at Bath and once from two on heavy ground. She has also won twice from eight at this trip and arrives in decent form after a win and a third on her last two starts. The trainer holds a 13% strike rate at the track from 167 runs which is above their 6% at other courses.

  9. 9Man From Havana44/100

    Form 57-009 · Dominic Ffrench Davis · Ben Ffrench Davis(5)

    Man From Havana is a limited performer who has struggled since handicapping and finished no better than ninth on his last three starts. He has been beaten a long way on his only previous visit to Bath and has failed to place in five runs at this trip. The yard's 5% strike rate at the track is in line with their record elsewhere.

  10. 10Divine Wish43/100

    Form -45400 · Mike Murphy · Kieran O'Neill

    Family: the dam has had 3 other runners, none of them a winner.

    Divine Wish is a limited performer who has shown little spark in six starts to date and finished well beaten on all four outings this year. First-time headgear is now applied while the dam has produced no winners from three previous foals. Trainer at Bath has a 12% strike rate from 26 runs, in line with their record elsewhere.

  11. 11Rogue Sea42/100

    Form /357-8 · John & Rhys Flint · Charles Bishop

    Rogue Sea is a modest performer who ran poorly over 1m2f here last time and now drops back to 1m for the first time in a while. He has been competitive on heavy ground but his only previous run at this track was an 8th of 11. Trainer at Bath has a 6% strike rate from 68 runs which is in line with their record elsewhere.

  12. 12Havana Mojito42/100

    Form 226024 · John Gallagher · William Carson

    Havana Mojito is a limited performer who has run 32 times in the last year and shown ordinary form at this level. He has been placed on heavy ground in the past yet remains unproven on today's surface, while his four runs at Bath have produced no better than fourth. The trip is no problem as he has won over it, though the yard's 5% strike rate at the track is in line with their record elsewhere.

  13. 13Just Queen High42/100

    Form 090970 · Ian Williams · Edward Greatrex

    Just Queen High is a modest performer who has struggled this year with a string of poor efforts. Has won on heavy ground but steps up in trip to 1m for the first time today which asks a fresh question. Trainer at Bath has a 13% strike rate from 168 runs which is in line with their record elsewhere while this is the horse's first run at the track.

  14. 14Riyadh Gem40/100

    Form 03-850 · Faye Bramley · William Cox

    Riyadh Gem is a modest performer who has won once over this trip from eight attempts. Makes a first appearance at Bath today having shown modest form on his last three starts. Trainer has a 0% strike rate from five runs at the track while the horse remains unproven on heavy ground.

KTB verdict

Spirit Lead Me is the KTB Selection. He showed his better side when winning his only start here, has four wins from 12 starts at the trip, and the yard's strike rate at Bath is in line with their record elsewhere, though the heavy ground does pose a question. The selection should settle in midfield in a race run at a genuine pace. His main dangers are Equion, who has placed both starts at Bath and is 2-6 on heavy, and Kaleidoscope Eyes, who has won on heavy and is dropping in class.

KTB Selection Spirit Lead Me

Early prices

The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:03am, 29 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.

RunnerEarly priceBookmaker, time
Spirit Lead Me7/2Bet365, 12:03am
Equion9/2William Hill, 12:03am
Kaleidoscope Eyes8/1BoyleSports, 12:03am
Thiscouldbefun11/1William Hill, 12:03am
Look Back Smiling11/2Bet365, 12:03am
Pitney11/1Bet365, 12:03am
Rwenearlytheredad12/1Bet365, 12:03am
Lovely Jubly15/2Bet365, 12:03am
Man From Havana25/1William Hill, 12:03am
Divine Wish33/1Bet365, 12:03am
Rogue Sea35/17Bet, 12:03am
Havana Mojito10/1Bet365, 12:03am
Just Queen High16/1William Hill, 12:03am
Riyadh Gem20/1Bet365, 12:03am

Questions about this race

Which horse is proven at both the course and the trip?

Spirit Lead Me has won his only start here and has four wins from 12 starts at this trip.

Who is the only front-runner among the principals?

Thiscouldbefun tends to make the running or race on the pace.

Which runners are proven on heavy ground?

Equion is 2-6 on heavy, Kaleidoscope Eyes is 1-1 on heavy, Thiscouldbefun has placed once from one run on heavy, Look Back Smiling is 1-6 on heavy, Lovely Jubly is 1-2 on heavy, Rogue Sea has placed once from one run on heavy, and Just Queen High is 1-1 on heavy.

Which horses are trying first-time headgear?

Rwenearlytheredad and Divine Wish are both fitted with first-time headgear.

What does the family line tell us about Divine Wish?

The dam has had 3 other runners, none of them a winner.

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