What is Adam McLean's strike rate?

Adam McLean has won 16 of 318 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adam McLean do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 65 rides (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Adam McLean ride most for?

Derek Shaw, with 201 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (5.5%).

What is Adam McLean's Fair A/E?

0.61, from 317 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Adam McLean

318 rides in the lifetime window · 120 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2017 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

16–318

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=318

70 (22%)

Placed

0.61

Fair A/E

n=317 · 0.56 incl. margin

−184.83

£1 level stake

n=318 at SP · −58.1%

£163k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.61). Rode mostly for Derek Shaw — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 318 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb Derek Shaw: 5.5% from 201 Claiming: 5.7%

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −65.08 to a £1 stake over 120 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Derek Shaw supplied 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 0.72). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.5%, n=32). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 0% over 34 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.27 across 54 rides (1.9% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5%+0.0

n=120 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −65.08

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

8.7%+3.7

n=23 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −16.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.2%−2.8

n=45 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −43.33

When favourite

46.2%

n=13 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +2.17

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.7%+0.7

n=282 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −148.83

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.1%+2.1

n=28 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 12.5% vs 5% · n=32

Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 5% · n=34

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.9% vs 5% · n=54

With C&D winners 7.6% vs 5% · n=105

At Wolverhampton (AW) 2.3% vs 5% · n=86

At Southwell (AW) 7.7% vs 5% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 212 10 4.7% −148.83

Good to Firm 34 1 2.9% −31.50

Good 30 2 6.7% −7.50

Good to Soft 25 3 12% +20.00

Soft 16 0 0% −16.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 86 2 2.3% −69.33

Southwell (AW) 65 5 7.7% −47.25

Kempton 35 2 5.7% −9.00

Lingfield (AW) 23 1 4.3% −20.25

Nottingham 15 1 6.7% +0.00

Leicester 10 0 0% −10.00

Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00

Newmarket 7 1 14.3% −4.50

Windsor 7 0 0% −7.00

Salisbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Newmarket 5 0 0% −5.00

Yarmouth 5 0 0% −5.00

Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00

Brighton 4 0 0% −4.00

Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 133 6 4.5% −100.25

Class 5 112 3 2.7% −88.83

Class 4 28 2 7.1% −9.50

Class 3 22 1 4.5% −19.25

Class 2 19 3 15.8% +22.00

Class 7 4 1 25% +11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 7 38.9% 1.36 +1.17

2nd–3rd fav 46 1 2.2% 0.14 −38.50

4th–6th fav 103 5 4.9% 0.54 −43.50

7th+ in betting 151 3 2% 0.58 −104.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Shawkantango (GB) 18 3 7 8 Jan 15

Loyalty (GB) 18 2 9 5 Jun 14

Baby Strange (GB) 12 1 3 29 Oct 14

Mataajir (USA) 10 1 3 27 Dec 13

Invigilator (GB) 9 0 1 17 Oct 14

Maro (GB) 8 0 0 3 Jun 14

Divertimenti (IRE) 7 1 4 2 Jan 15

Chateau Lola (GB) 7 0 0 10 Feb 14

Action Front (USA) 7 0 2 27 Nov 13

Burning Thread (IRE) 6 0 0 2 Jun 17

Diamondsinthesky (IRE) 6 0 3 1 Jan 15

Queen Hermione (IRE) 6 1 1 17 Oct 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7613089030074

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDerek Shaw

63% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 0.72

TrainerRWSR£1

Derek Shaw 201 11 5.5% −110.58

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£163k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 9 wins

Top Boy (GB) — BetBright Trophy (Handicap) York · May 2014 · Class 2

£31,125

Baby Strange (GB) — Betfred 'watch Fred's Pushes On Betfred Tv' Handicap Newcastle · Jun 2013 · Class 2

£12,450

Loyalty (GB) — CME Group Challenge Handicap Kempton (AW) · Nov 2013 · Class 2

£11,828

Notable horses

Shawkantango (GB) Loyalty (GB) Top Boy (GB) Baby Strange (GB) Mataajir (USA) Divertimenti (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Medicean (GB) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Piccolo (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Superior Premium (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 8.1% of 651 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.8% from 152. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.2% from 215.

Refuse To Bend (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).

Antonius Pius (USA) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 318 · newest first

The latest 50 of 318 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 August 2012 to 2 June 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Jun 17 Bath Burning Thread (IRE)T: David Elsworth Sun Bets Download The App HandicapClass 4 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 20/1

10 Aug 16 Salisbury Burning Thread (IRE)T: David Elsworth S H Jones Wines HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 17/2

05 Aug 16 Newmarket Ivor's Magic (IRE)T: David Elsworth Tamdown Selling StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 6/4F

03 Aug 16 Pontefract Burning Thread (IRE)T: David Elsworth Chaplins Club HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 4th 12/1

18 Jul 16 Windsor Burning Thread (IRE)T: David Elsworth Sky Bet Windsor Sprint Series HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 33/1

14 Jul 16 Doncaster Ivor's Magic (IRE)T: David Elsworth Richard Pencott Memorial British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10 Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th 16/1

06 Jul 16 Yarmouth Ivor's Magic (IRE)T: David Elsworth First Furnishings Of Gorleston Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 9/1

23 Jun 16 Nottingham Ivor's Magic (IRE)T: David Elsworth 32Red Casino Novice Auction StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

13 Jun 16 Windsor Burning Thread (IRE)T: David Elsworth Bet In Play With Ladbrokes HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

13 May 16 Newmarket Bastille Day (GB)T: David Elsworth Edmondson Hall Solicitors & Sports Lawyers HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 9/2

12 May 16 Salisbury Knight Of The Air (GB)T: Mick Channon Littleton Stud Racing Excellence Apprentice Handicap (Whips shall be carried but not used)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

27 Apr 16 Ascot Bastille Day (GB)T: David Elsworth Redcentric Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 3rd 8/1

26 Apr 16 Brighton Roy Rocket (FR)T: John Berry L&S Printing - Official Print Partner Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 7/2

20 Apr 16 Lingfield (AW) Justice Focused (IRE)T: David Elsworth Belated Happy Birthday Wishes Jon Harris Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

13 Apr 16 Kempton (AW) Highland Castle (GB)T: David Elsworth 32Red HandicapClass 3 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 14/1

02 Apr 16 Kempton (AW) Highland Castle (GB)T: David Elsworth Betfred 'like Us On Facebook' Queen's Prize HandicapClass 2 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 16/1

04 Mar 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Well Owd Mon (GB)T: Sarah Hollinshead Bet In Play At Coral Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

02 Mar 16 Kempton (AW) Justice Lady (IRE)T: David Elsworth Racinguk.com/anywhere HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 11/10F

22 Feb 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Justice Good (IRE)T: David Elsworth Download The New Unibet Racing App HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 15/2

20 Feb 16 Lingfield (AW) Burning Thread (IRE)T: David Elsworth Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam McLean's strike rate?: Adam McLean has won 16 of 318 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam McLean do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 65 rides (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Adam McLean ride most for?: Derek Shaw, with 201 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (5.5%).
What is Adam McLean's Fair A/E?: 0.61, from 317 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.