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Jockey profile

Conor Smithers

354 rides in the lifetime window · 189 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–354
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=354
67 (19%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=354 · 0.81 incl. margin
−154.08
£1 level stake
n=354 at SP · −43.5%
£278k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 354 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mrs John Harrington: 4.8% from 83 Claiming: 5.7%
The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (2% over 50 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=85, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −112.33 to a £1 stake over 189 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mrs John Harrington supplies 23% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.8%, A/E 0.57). The rider also reads well on Good going (9.8%, n=123) and off a 15-30-day break (8.9%, n=112). The market has also underrated the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 1.70 across 118 rides (8.5% strike, +11.17 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 53 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.7%−1.9
n=189 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −112.33
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+19.4
n=16 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +10.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.2%−4.4
n=85 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −64.00
When favourite
36.4%
n=11 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +3.92
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.7%+0.1
n=349 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −149.08
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.9%+0.3
n=219 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −87.58
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.6
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5.6% · n=53
On Heavy going 0% vs 5.6% · n=38
On Good going 9.8% vs 5.6% · n=123
Off a 15-30-day break 8.9% vs 5.6% · n=112
At Punchestown 2% vs 5.6% · n=50
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.5% vs 5.6% · n=118
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 272 15 5.5% −128.08
Chase 55 3 5.5% −35.00
NH Flat 24 2 8.3% +12.00
Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 123 12 9.8% +3.25
Soft 122 4 3.3% −78.00
Good to Soft 69 4 5.8% −39.33
Heavy 38 0 0% −38.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 50 1 2% −48.33
Kilbeggan 23 2 8.7% −14.00
Wexford 22 1 4.5% −10.00
Naas 21 0 0% −21.00
Down Royal 21 1 4.8% −11.00
Ballinrobe 20 1 5% −9.00
Fairyhouse 20 1 5% −10.00
Cork 19 1 5.3% −4.00
Clonmel 17 1 5.9% +4.00
Limerick 16 0 0% −16.00
Downpatrick 15 1 6.7% −5.50
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Sligo 13 3 23.1% +3.25
Galway 12 3 25% +26.50
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 4 26.7% 1.15 −0.08
2nd–3rd fav 31 4 12.9% 0.88 −10.00
4th–6th fav 89 5 5.6% 0.79 −27.50
7th+ in betting 219 7 3.2% 1.39 −116.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.9% completed · 327 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 55 76.4% 2 1 9 1 0
Hurdle 272 87.9% 6 3 24 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mighty Mo Missouri (IRE) 15 1 4 27 Jan 24
Ashdale Flyer (IRE) 12 0 3 7 Jun 25
Vairue (IRE) 10 1 1 17 Nov 24
Striking (FR) 8 1 2 6 Sep 24
Greenway Machine (IRE) 7 0 1 14 Apr 25
Strong Contender (IRE) 6 2 3 23 Oct 26
Demanding Gerry (IRE) 5 0 2 7 Nov 26
Chesterbaylad (IRE) 5 0 0 25 Aug 25
Confidential Gosip (IRE) 5 0 1 5 Aug 24
Millen To One (IRE) 5 0 0 2 Jun 23
Il Silenzio (GB) 4 1 3 9 Nov 26
Our Sara (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 189 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
400031181431040
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMrs John Harrington
23% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 0.57
TrainerRWSR£1
Mrs John Harrington 83 4 4.8% −61.33
Ms Helen P Markham 35 1 2.9% −22.00
Paul Nolan 31 2 6.5% +5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
20
Archived wins
£278k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 13 wins
Timurshah (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Galway (IRE) · Aug 2026
£10,500
Timurshah (IRE) — EASYFIX Iggy Daly Handicap Hurdle Galway (IRE) · Jul 2026
£10,500
Wolf Prince (IRE) — Foley's Bar & Off Licence Handicap Hurdle Sligo · Jul 2026
£9,000
Notable horses
Timurshah (IRE) Strong Contender (IRE) Mighty Mo Missouri (IRE) Vairue (IRE) Striking (FR) Ashdale Bob (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,108 runs since 2011 (713 horses).
Zoffany (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,788 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,399 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
Pushkin (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 6.8% of 322 runs since 2010 (22 horses).
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 13.6% of 2,269 runs since 2016 (257 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 55.6% · 5–9
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,649 runs since 2013 (844 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.9% from 330.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 354 · newest first

The latest 50 of 354 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 July 2020 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Nov 26 Cheltenham Hartur D'arc (FR)T: John McConnell From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 9th 40/1
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Duke Otto (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (Div I)16f · Good · 16 ran 1st 18/1
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Angelsworknovrtime (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Racing Again November 19th Beginners Steeplechase18f · Good · 10 ran 7th 40/1
10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) My Trump Card (IRE)T: John McConnell William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 4th 12/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Il Silenzio (GB)T: Martin Brassil Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 11/2
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Demanding Gerry (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 5/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Stumblin In (IRE)T: W J Martin Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 33/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Angelsworknovrtime (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 5th 22/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Duke Otto (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 10th 40/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Intense Approach (GB)T: John McConnell Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 12 ran 1st 9/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Barrys Spirit (IRE)T: Adrian Murray Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 4th 22/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ilen's Dream (IRE)T: Gearoid O'Loughlin Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 8th 125/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Albatala (IRE)T: John McConnell Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran UR 15/2
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Strong Contender (IRE)T: Norman Lee Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 6th 3/1J
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Andyourbirdcansing (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 7/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Kate Knows Best (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 12/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ddakji (IRE)T: Conor Houlihan Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 150/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Ladiam (IRE)T: Norman Lee Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 6th 16/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Shannon Bank (IRE)T: Andrew Kinirons Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 14th 50/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Maxicourt (IRE)T: Patrick J Duffy William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran UR 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 23 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 10 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Conor Smithers's strike rate?
Conor Smithers has won 20 of 354 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Conor Smithers do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 1 wins from 50 rides (2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Conor Smithers ride most for?
Mrs John Harrington, with 83 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.8%).
Is Conor Smithers in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Conor Smithers's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 354 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).