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Jockey profile

D J Moran

951 rides in the lifetime window · 539 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 141 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
47–951
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=951
159 (17%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=951 · 0.71 incl. margin
−457.60
£1 level stake
n=951 at SP · −48.1%
£1.14m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (60 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 951 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance J S Bolger: 8.4% from 179 LTO winners: 10% Claiming: 6.2%
The read

The record is strongest at Navan (12.9%, n=62) and Fairyhouse (10.3%, n=39) — all clear of the rider's 4.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 10% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.94). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −134.00 to a £1 stake over 211 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. J S Bolger supplies 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.4% vs 4.9%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (13.6%, n=59) and off a 0-7-day break (10.1%, n=109). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tote Galway Mile EBF Premier Handicap at Galway (Jul 2007, £96,810).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.5%−0.4
n=489 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −211.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+5.1
n=60 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −33.52
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.3%−1.6
n=211 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −134.00
When favourite
20%
n=15 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −8.10
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.2%+1.3
n=454 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −156.83
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.3%−1.6
n=584 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −350.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6%+1.1
n=50 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Brian Nolan 16.2% vs 4.9% · n=37
At trips under 6f 13.6% vs 4.9% · n=59
At Navan 12.9% vs 4.9% · n=62
Off a 0-7-day break 10.1% vs 4.9% · n=109
On last-time-out winners 10% vs 4.9% · n=60
At Fairyhouse 10.3% vs 4.9% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 948 47 5% −454.60
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 218 14 6.4% −77.02
Standard (AW) 209 6 2.9% −154.00
Good 164 9 5.5% −76.08
Good to Firm 132 8 6.1% −52.50
Heavy 112 5 4.5% −43.00
Good to Soft 84 3 3.6% −34.00
Firm 32 2 6.3% −21.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 197 6 3% −142.00
Curragh 162 5 3.1% −94.00
Leopardstown 110 2 1.8% −90.00
Navan 62 8 12.9% +8.00
Gowran Park 59 5 8.5% −1.75
Naas 50 0 0% −50.00
Fairyhouse 39 4 10.3% +3.50
Cork 32 2 6.3% −7.25
Roscommon 28 3 10.7% +6.67
Tipperary 25 4 16% +24.23
Down Royal 23 1 4.3% −12.00
Galway 19 0 0% −19.00
Wexford 19 0 0% −19.00
Limerick 19 0 0% −19.00
Ballinrobe 18 1 5.6% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 50 3 6% −18.00
Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 3 20% 0.77 −8.10
2nd–3rd fav 91 20 22% 1.75 +44.50
4th–6th fav 200 13 6.5% 0.93 −51.00
7th+ in betting 645 11 1.7% 0.54 −443.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Six of Hearts (GB) 12 2 6 1 Apr 11
Camira (IRE) 11 1 5 5 Aug 10
Leah Claire (IRE) 9 1 3 27 Mar 11
No Trimmings (IRE) 9 1 2 26 Nov 10
Obe Brave (GB) 9 0 1 2 Jun 10
Monivea (IRE) 9 2 3 5 Sep 09
East Of Tara (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Apr 11
Incline (IRE) 8 0 0 21 Oct 09
Lonesome Maverick (IRE) 8 1 3 26 Aug 09
Danetime Lily (IRE) 8 3 3 26 Jun 09
Apt Son (USA) 7 1 4 16 Sep 10
Calle Aneto (IRE) 7 1 2 22 Aug 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 539 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
005848573200
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJ S Bolger
19% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 1.16
TrainerRWSR£1
J S Bolger 179 15 8.4% −6.25
Ms Joanna Morgan 62 4 6.5% −33.75
Lee Smyth 45 1 2.2% −34.00
Brian Nolan 37 6 16.2% +25.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
90
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£2.18m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 25 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Incline (IRE) — Tote Galway Mile EBF Premier Handicap Galway · Jul 2007
£96,810
Rock Moss (IRE) — Netjets Scurry Premier Handicap Curragh · Jun 2008
£65,100
Oh Goodness Me (GB) — Lodge Park Stud E.B.F Park Express Stakes (group 3) Curragh · Mar 2009 · Group 3
£58,590
Notable horses
Danetime Lily (IRE) Oxford City (IRE) Zacharova (IRE) Incline (IRE) Six of Hearts (GB) Monivea (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,567 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Galileo (IRE) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,203 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Bertolini (USA) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Celtic Swing (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Medecis (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,595 runs since 2008 (112 horses).
Bachelor Duke (USA) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (109 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.2% from 143.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,867 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,867 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 27 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Jun 26 Woodbine (CAN) Foxtrotanna (USA)T: Steve Attard bet365 Highlander Stakes (Turf)5f · Firm · 7 ran 7th 52/1
17 Apr 11 Navan Cool Newport (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Family Day Handicap (47-70)10f · Yielding · 17 ran 17th 25/1
17 Apr 11 Navan Yo Credo (IRE)T: Irene J Monaghan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 66/1
17 Apr 11 Navan Heir To The Mint (USA)T: J S Bolger Navan Chairman Handicap (47-70)6f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 19th 16/1
16 Apr 11 Naas Rowayton (GB)T: Muredach Kelly Go Racing In Kildare Handicap6f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 14th 20/1
15 Apr 11 Dundalk (AW) East Of Tara (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Bookings At dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 25/1
15 Apr 11 Dundalk (AW) Manaaqeb (GB)T: J S Bolger Dundalk Stadium On Facebook Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 8/1
10 Apr 11 Leopardstown Hunting Tower (GB)T: J J Lambe Leopardstown Leap On Facebook Handicap14f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 10/1
10 Apr 11 Leopardstown Alghanem (IRE)T: M Phelan Family Days At Leopardstown Handicap (47-75)8f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 9th 16/1
05 Apr 11 Limerick Adatara (IRE)T: M M Lynch Limerick Run Maiden11.5f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 33/1
05 Apr 11 Limerick Stable Bank (IRE)T: J S Bolger www.limerickraces.ie Online Special Packages Handicap (50-80)8f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 25/1
03 Apr 11 Curragh Articilitis (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Laura Foster Celebrating Mother's Day Handicap (60-90)10f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 33/1
03 Apr 11 Curragh Sovento (GER)T: Shaun Harley Celebrating Mother's Day At The Races Handicap (55-80)6f · Heavy · 20 ran 16th 20/1
03 Apr 11 Curragh Deire Na Sli (IRE)T: J S Bolger Anne Brewster Memorial Loughbrown Stakes (Listed)7f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 20/1
03 Apr 11 Curragh Cheerful Giver (IRE)T: J S Bolger Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 8/1
01 Apr 11 Dundalk (AW) Six of Hearts (GB)T: Cecil Ross www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 8/1
01 Apr 11 Dundalk (AW) East Of Tara (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Dundalk Stadium On Facebook Handicap (47-60)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 12/1
27 Mar 11 Leopardstown Leah Claire (IRE)T: Matthieu Palussiere Follow Leopardstown On Facebook Handicap (60-100)10f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 10/1
27 Mar 11 Leopardstown Radharcnafarraige (IRE)T: J S Bolger Leopardstown 1,000 Guineas Trial Stakes (Fillies' Group 3)7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 12/1
27 Mar 11 Leopardstown Headache (GB)T: Brendan W Duke Leopardstown Music Nights Handicap (50-85)7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is D J Moran's strike rate?
D J Moran has won 47 of 951 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does D J Moran do best at?
Navan by strike rate: 8 wins from 62 rides (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does D J Moran ride most for?
J S Bolger, with 179 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (8.4%).
What is D J Moran's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 951 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).