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Trainer profile

Shaun Harley

113 runners in the lifetime window · 12 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2013 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–113
Wins / Runs
10.6%
Strike rate
n=113
26 (23%)
Placed
1.17
Fair A/E
n=113 · 0.93 incl. margin
−11.24
£1 level stake
n=113 at SP · −9.9%
£109k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 113 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Martin Harley: 9.3% from 54
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 6.8% (n=73, Fair A/E 0.94). Martin Harley rode 48% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.3%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (20%, n=30).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.2%−6.4
n=24 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −21.12
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −2.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%−3.8
n=73 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −18.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 20% vs 10.6% · n=30
With claiming riders up 6.8% vs 10.6% · n=73
With a new jockey booking 12% vs 10.6% · n=50 · A/E 1.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 40 4 10% −11.12
Soft 26 1 3.8% −11.00
Good to Firm 17 3 17.6% −3.62
Good 14 3 21.4% +15.50
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 7 1 14.3% +8.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Curragh 11 2 18.2% +19.00
Sligo 10 1 10% +7.00
Hamilton 8 3 37.5% +9.50
Leopardstown 8 0 0% −8.00
Kempton (AW) 8 1 12.5% +2.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 4 1 25% +6.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 26 5 19.2% +0.76
Class 5 10 2 20% +5.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 1 100% +6.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 2 20% 0.76 −4.24
2nd–3rd fav 21 5 23.8% 1.59 +8.00
4th–6th fav 32 2 6.3% 0.83 −12.00
7th+ in betting 50 3 6% 1.45 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Key Decision (IRE)from Alan Swinbank · then Jo Davis 24 2 2 28 Jun 11
Sovento (GER)from Waldemar Hickst · then Alan McCabe 23 3 7 25 Jan 12
Belle Noverre (IRE)from J S Bolger · then John G Carr 23 4 7 29 Jul 11
Muskatsturm (GER)then C Moore 17 2 5 15 Oct 11
Liberty Love (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan · then Niall Moran 9 1 5 26 Jan 13
Mobus Wan (FR) 4 0 0 26 Oct 11
Prime Contract (IRE)from Gerard Keane 3 0 0 18 Jan 13
Fiuntas (IRE)from J S Bolger 3 0 0 20 Feb 09
Scary Movie (IRE)from Emmet Michael Butterly · then Thomas McLaughlin 2 0 0 7 Dec 12
Sandokan (GER)from Barney Curley 2 0 0 11 Sep 09
Swimandyouwin (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Jan 08
Brabazon (IRE)from Emmet Michael Butterly · then Emmet Michael Butterly 1 0 0 19 Nov 12
All 12 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 12 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Emmet Michael Butterly (2) and J S Bolger (2); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0330130152913912013
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMartin Harley
48% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 0.97
RiderRWSR£1
Martin Harley 54 5 9.3% −6.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
12
Archived wins
£109k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Muskatsturm (GER) — Bank Of Scotland (Ire) EBF September Handicap Curragh · Sep 2008
£42,315
Belle Noverre (IRE) — Cosmic Cases Scottish Trophy Series Final (Handicap) Hamilton · Aug 2010 · Class 3
£7,771
Key Decision (IRE) — Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (50-70) Curragh · Oct 2009
£6,565
Notable horses
Belle Noverre (IRE) Sovento (GER) Key Decision (IRE) Muskatsturm (GER) Liberty Love (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Key Of Luck (USA) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 136.
Kornado (GB) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 8.5% of 130 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Noverre (USA) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Lecroix (GER) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.5% of 105 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Le Triton (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.4% of 384 runs since 2008 (58 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 114 · newest first

The latest 50 of 114 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 December 2007 to 26 January 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Jan 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Liberty Love (IRE)J: Sean Levey coral.co.uk Mobile Betting HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 2nd 9/4F
24 Jan 13 Lingfield (AW) Liberty Love (IRE)J: William Carson Follow Us On Twitter At LingfieldPark HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 2/1F
18 Jan 13 Dundalk (AW) Prime Contract (IRE)J: Joe Doyle Follow Dundalk On Facebook Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 25/1
07 Jan 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Liberty Love (IRE)J: William Carson Get Free Bets With bookmakers.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 3/1
04 Jan 13 Dundalk (AW) Prime Contract (IRE)J: Joe Doyle Happy New Year To All Our Patrons Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1
07 Dec 12 Dundalk (AW) Scary Movie (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Christmas Race & Dine Packages Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 10/1
07 Dec 12 Dundalk (AW) Prime Contract (IRE)J: Joe Doyle Christmas Race & Dine Packages Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 12/1
19 Nov 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Brabazon (IRE)J: Martin Harley Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 20/1
17 Nov 12 Lingfield (AW) Scary Movie (IRE)J: Martin Harley Bet On Today's Football At bluesq.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 8/1
12 Oct 12 Tramore Liberty Love (IRE)J: Shane Gray Join Tramore Supporters Club For 2013 Handicap (47-65)14f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 8/1
05 Sep 12 Bath Liberty Love (IRE)J: Martin Harley Jrl Sports Promotions HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 4/1
26 Jun 12 Ballinrobe Liberty Love (IRE)J: Shane Foley Michael & Peggy Dowd Memorial Handicap (47-65)14f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 5/2F
19 May 12 Wexford Liberty Love (IRE)J: Sam James Owenduff Handicap (47-65)14f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 2/1F
26 Apr 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Liberty Love (IRE)J: William Carson Download Our iPhone App HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/1
01 Mar 12 Kempton (AW) Liberty Love (IRE)J: Martin Harley 32redpoker.com HandicapClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 13 ran UR 3/1J
25 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Sovento (GER)J: Martin Harley Ellen Westcott Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 10/3
07 Dec 11 Kempton (AW) Sovento (GER)J: Martin Harley Is Go Burn Grey Outpaced HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 5/4F
05 Dec 11 Lingfield (AW) Sovento (GER)J: Martin Harley totepool Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 15/8F
26 Oct 11 Kempton (AW) Mobus Wan (FR)J: Martin Harley Free Entry For Betdaq Members Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 12/1
15 Oct 11 Catterick Muskatsturm (GER)J: Frederik Tylicki toteexacta Claiming StakesClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shaun Harley's strike rate?
Shaun Harley has won 12 of 113 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Shaun Harley?
Martin Harley, with 54 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.3%).
What is Shaun Harley's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 113 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).