What is David Egan's strike rate?

David Egan has won 781 of 6,617 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Egan do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 34 wins from 206 rides (16.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Egan ride most for?

Roger Varian, with 1,027 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 182 (17.7%).

Is David Egan in form?

In the last 14 days: 35 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 11.4%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.8% since 2008.

What is David Egan's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 6,572 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Egan

6,617 rides in the lifetime window · 3,966 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

781–6,617

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=6,617

2,141 (32%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=6,572 · 0.84 incl. margin

−1,690.30

£1 level stake

n=6,617 at SP · −25.5%

£18.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 350 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (782 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 6,617 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Fresh horses: 12.4% 33.8% when favourite Roger Varian: 17.7% from 1,027 LTO winners: 18% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (23.1%, n=134), clear of the rider's 11.8% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (4.1% over 296 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18% (n=782, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7% (n=1,013, Fair A/E 1.03). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 7.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −291.67 to a £1 stake over 619 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Roger Varian supplies 16% of the rides and beats the rider's average (17.7% vs 11.8%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Firm going (25.7%, n=35). 48 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Juddmonte International Stakes at York (Aug 2021, £567,100). The standout partner of the record: Arizona Blaze (GB) — 6 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.1%−0.7

n=3,966 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −901.26

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18%+6.2

n=782 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −173.61

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.4%+0.6

n=967 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −191.32

When favourite

33.8%

n=730 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −87.77

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.4%−0.4

n=760 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −132.06

Big fields · 14+ runners

7%−4.8

n=1,013 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −310.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−4.0

n=619 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −291.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bath 23.1% vs 11.8% · n=134

On Firm going 25.7% vs 11.8% · n=35

At Ascot 4.1% vs 11.8% · n=296

On last-time-out winners 18% vs 11.8% · n=782

With horses switching code 0% vs 11.8% · n=33

With Roger Varian 17.7% vs 11.8% · n=1,027

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 6,616 781 11.8% −1,689.30

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,017 261 12.9% −442.76

Good to Firm 1,533 179 11.7% −431.30

Good 1,419 158 11.1% −397.90

Good to Soft 746 88 11.8% −178.04

Soft 675 65 9.6% −185.27

Heavy 192 21 10.9% −65.76

Firm 35 9 25.7% +10.73

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 602 75 12.5% −71.37

Newmarket 380 36 9.5% −107.81

Chelmsford (AW) 377 51 13.5% −81.16

Wolverhampton (AW) 373 49 13.1% −97.84

Yarmouth 335 39 11.6% −112.53

Windsor 308 32 10.4% −127.96

Ascot 296 12 4.1% −188.84

Lingfield (AW) 293 33 11.3% −112.84

Goodwood 283 22 7.8% −81.92

Newbury 263 32 12.2% −15.67

Newmarket 229 23 10% −72.42

Doncaster 206 34 16.5% +22.03

Newcastle (AW) 206 28 13.6% −56.01

Nottingham 191 27 14.1% −9.43

Haydock 186 19 10.2% −84.92

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,689 237 14% −446.56

Class 4 1,523 195 12.8% −421.88

Class 6 1,077 121 11.2% −250.14

Class 2 916 75 8.2% −205.94

Class 3 672 90 13.4% −78.67

Class 1 619 48 7.8% −291.67

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 841 279 33.2% 1.05 −69.35

2nd–3rd fav 1,683 282 16.8% 0.99 −268.65

4th–6th fav 2,144 162 7.6% 0.92 −487.50

7th+ in betting 1,949 58 3% 0.87 −864.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fantasy Master (GB) 17 3 7 4 Nov 26

Arizona Blaze (GB) 16 6 10 14 Sep 25

Valiant Force (USA) 15 2 3 12 Jul 26

California Dreamer (GB) 14 0 4 24 May 26

Delagate This Lord (GB) 13 4 9 1 Aug 22

Mr Nugget (GB) 12 0 2 2 Nov 26

Power Blue (IRE) 12 2 4 17 Oct 26

Mitbaahy (IRE) 12 3 7 18 Jul 26

Tony Montana (GB) 12 1 5 15 May 26

Mokaatil (GB) 12 1 1 1 Apr 24

Evanesco (GB) 11 3 5 12 Sep 26

Shandoz (GB) 11 4 5 28 Sep 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 3,966 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

4 from 35 11.4% · −0.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.4%

Lifetime base11.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

·815101113111313101413

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRoger Varian

16% of all rides
17.7% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Roger Varian 1,027 182 17.7% −230.93

Ian Williams 240 17 7.1% −86.29

John Butler 211 29 13.7% +44.73

Kevin Philippart De Foy 198 32 16.2% −86.09

Mick Channon 182 20 11% −42.72

Jane Chapple-Hyam 168 22 13.1% −1.29

Adrian Murray 147 21 14.3% −13.66

Richard Hughes 128 16 12.5% −38.29

Tom Clover 109 20 18.3% +2.13

David Loughnane 101 7 6.9% −43.20

Michael Bell 96 9 9.4% −27.87

Heather Main 91 11 12.1% −18.76

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

781

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£18.3m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 95 wins

Mishriff (IRE) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2021 · Group 1

£567,100

Eldar Eldarov (GB) — Cazoo St Leger Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Doncaster · Sep 2022 · Group 1

£445,741

Eldar Eldarov (GB) — Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1) Curragh · Sep 2023 · Group 1

£342,000

Notable horses

Arizona Blaze (GB) Eldar Eldarov (GB) Delagate This Lord (GB) Shandoz (GB) Haveoneyerself (IRE) Fantasy Master (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 9.1% · 17–186

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.5% · 18–157

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 17.4% · 20–115

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,219 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Frankel (GB) 15.8% · 18–114

Progeny have won 18% of 7,540 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 12.7% · 13–102

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Dubawi (IRE) 21.6% · 21–97

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,981 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,617 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,617 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 May 2016 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Pull The Rug (IRE)T: Grace Harris Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Royal Titan (USA)T: Marco Botti AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 17/2

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Tough Decision (GB)T: Tom Clover Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 1/1F

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Havana Touch (GB)T: John Butler AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 3/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Magical Life (GB)T: J. S. Moore All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 5/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Dhahabi (IRE)T: Ian Williams Watch Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Ghost Story (IRE)T: John Butler Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 9/2

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Arbaawy (GB)T: John Butler Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 3/1F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Autumn's Breeze (IRE)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 13/2

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Fantasy Master (GB)T: Robert Cowell Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 5/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Saxophonic (GB)T: David Simcock Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/4F

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Foxy Night (IRE)T: John Butler AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 16/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snooze Lane (IRE)T: Sarah Hollinshead AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Mr Nugget (GB)T: David Simcock ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 28/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Alidoolally (GB)T: David Menuisier AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 125/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Beechwood Glory (IRE)T: John Butler AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 2/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Rocsane (IRE)T: George Margarson All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 11/8F

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Shalaa Asker (GB)T: Charlie Wallis Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 16/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Split Elevens (GB)T: John Butler Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Henley On Thames (IRE)T: Kevin Philippart de Foy Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 2nd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 12 runs (won 6, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Egan's strike rate?: David Egan has won 781 of 6,617 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Egan do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 34 wins from 206 rides (16.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Egan ride most for?: Roger Varian, with 1,027 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 182 (17.7%).
Is David Egan in form?: In the last 14 days: 35 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 11.4%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.8% since 2008.
What is David Egan's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 6,572 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.