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Jockey profile

Jack Dace

595 rides in the lifetime window · 329 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
57–595
Wins / Runs
9.6%
Strike rate
n=595
151 (25%)
Placed
1.05
n=593 · 0.89 incl. margin
−23.27
£1 level stake
n=595 at SP · −3.9%
£670k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (78 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 595 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Luke Dace: 9% from 111 First rides: 10% LTO winners: 17.9% Claiming: 9.9%
The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2.9% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.9% (n=78, Fair A/E 1.23), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.90). Luke Dace supplies 19% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 1.33) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (13.7%, n=124). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 6.1% over 214 rides, 3.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10%+0.4
n=329 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −15.97
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.9%+8.3
n=78 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +27.07
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.6%+0.0
n=83 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +25.50
When favourite
15.4%
n=26 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −14.55
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.9%+0.3
n=555 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −9.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.3%−5.3
n=47 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −29.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 9.6% · n=78
With Stuart Williams 16.7% vs 9.6% · n=42
At Southwell (AW) 2.9% vs 9.6% · n=34
With Ralph Beckett 15.8% vs 9.6% · n=38
Over 1m – 1m1f 13.7% vs 9.6% · n=124
Over 6f – 7f 6.1% vs 9.6% · n=214
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 311 31 10% +33.50
Good to Firm 108 10 9.3% −25.84
Good 90 9 10% −18.38
Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% +6.50
Soft 25 3 12% −5.67
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −8.38
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 104 11 10.6% +17.25
Kempton (AW) 77 9 11.7% +64.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 58 7 12.1% −1.50
Southwell (AW) 34 1 2.9% −27.50
Goodwood 25 3 12% −1.50
Brighton 22 0 0% −22.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 22 2 9.1% −9.00
Bath 21 3 14.3% +5.00
Yarmouth 21 3 14.3% +20.45
Lingfield 21 1 4.8% −14.50
Windsor 19 1 5.3% −4.00
Newbury 18 1 5.6% −15.38
Leicester 17 1 5.9% −4.00
Newcastle (AW) 16 1 6.3% −10.00
Epsom 13 1 7.7% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 232 17 7.3% −50.13
Class 5 173 20 11.6% +36.53
Class 4 122 14 11.5% +7.83
Class 2 34 4 11.8% +1.50
Class 3 33 2 6.1% −18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 6 17.1% 0.57 −14.55
2nd–3rd fav 123 22 17.9% 1.07 −12.72
4th–6th fav 205 19 9.3% 1.19 −5.00
7th+ in betting 232 10 4.3% 1.38 +9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Defiant (GB) 20 1 6 25 Feb 26
Haveagobeau (GB) 18 2 5 15 Oct 26
Youthful King (GB) 16 2 4 14 Oct 26
Lunario (IRE) 15 2 3 9 Oct 26
Lady Manzor (GB) 12 3 5 9 Sep 26
Tatmeen (IRE) 11 1 2 25 Mar 26
Ocean Heights (GB) 11 2 2 10 Feb 26
Valentine Boy (GB) 10 2 4 4 Nov 26
King Cabo (USA) 10 1 1 4 Nov 25
Now The Eagle (FR) 8 1 3 7 Oct 26
Invincible Melody (IRE) 7 0 3 23 Feb 26
Henrythenate (GB) 6 2 2 24 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 329 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
911851259171011126
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardLuke Dace
19% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 1.33
TrainerRWSR£1
Luke Dace 111 10 9% +42.75
Stuart Williams 42 7 16.7% +13.00
Ralph Beckett 38 6 15.8% −1.00
Amanda Perrett 35 4 11.4% +10.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
57
Archived wins
£670k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 32 wins
Lady Manzor (GB) — BetMGM All-Weather Vase Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 4
£25,770
Prince Of The Seas (IRE) — LiveScoreBet Total Betting Experience Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Goodwood · Aug 2025 · Class 2
£23,193
Maelstrom (GB) — Tote.co.uk For Racing & Sports Betting Handicap Stakes Ascot · Sep 2026 · Class 2
£18,900

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Havana Grey (GB) 16.7% · 4–24
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,612 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.
Morpheus (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,673 runs since 2018 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 148.
Brazen Beau (AUS) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,475 runs since 2019 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,075 runs since 2019 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.3% from 124. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.
Kodiac (GB) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Gregorian (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,949 runs since 2018 (165 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 117.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 595 · newest first

The latest 50 of 595 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 August 2024 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Brighton Play Me (GB)T: Jim Boyle bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 8th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jack Dace's strike rate?
Jack Dace has won 57 of 595 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack Dace do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 58 rides (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jack Dace ride most for?
Luke Dace, with 111 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9%).
Is Jack Dace in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jack Dace's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 593 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).