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Trainer profile

Hilal Kobeissi

161 runners in the last 5 seasons · 43 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–161
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=161
43 (27%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=159 · 0.79 incl. margin
+35.45
£1 level stake
n=161 at SP · +22.0%
£152k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (45 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 161 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.9%
The read

The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (12%, n=75) and in Class 5 (11.8%, n=76). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 3% over 33 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.65 across 53 runners (5.7% strike, −26.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.7%−3.1
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.8
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%+0.9
n=26 · A/E 2.17 · £1 +2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%−0.5
n=16 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%+2.1
n=45 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 12% vs 6.8% · n=75
In Class 5 11.8% vs 6.8% · n=76
Over 1m – 1m1f 3% vs 6.8% · n=33
With claiming riders up 8.9% vs 6.8% · n=45
On Standard (AW) going 5.3% vs 6.8% · n=75 · A/E 0.74
Off a 15-30-day break 5.7% vs 6.8% · n=53 · A/E 0.65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 75 4 5.3% −30.88
Good to Firm 41 3 7.3% +71.00
Good 28 1 3.6% −13.00
Soft 9 2 22.2% +8.33
Good to Soft 5 1 20% +3.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 21 2 9.5% +1.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 1 5.3% −15.88
Windsor 12 3 25% +78.00
Kempton (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Lingfield (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Yarmouth 10 0 0% −10.00
Southwell (AW) 9 1 11.1% +10.00
Brighton 8 3 37.5% +50.00
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Doncaster 7 1 14.3% −2.67
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Goodwood 5 0 0% −5.00
Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 76 9 11.8% +93.45
Class 4 29 1 3.4% −21.00
Class 6 29 0 0% −29.00
Class 2 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 5 1 20% +14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 31 3 9.7% 0.69 −19.55
4th–6th fav 54 7 13% 1.69 +64.00
7th+ in betting 69 1 1.4% 0.58 −2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Majd Al Kazem (FR) 8 0 0 22 Oct 26
Swift Winds (IRE) 8 1 2 29 Nov 25
Max Mayhem (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy · then George Baker 8 0 1 5 Jul 25
Tourist (GB)from Jack Jones · then Robert Cowell 7 2 5 24 Aug 24
Gurkhali Warrior (IRE)from Darryll Holland 7 0 2 29 Apr 22
Marwaan (GB) 6 1 2 23 Oct 25
Bomba Del Mundo (IRE) 6 1 1 10 Oct 25
Al Baarez (IRE) 6 0 0 14 Aug 25
Justice Twice (IRE) 6 0 4 4 Jul 25
Inspired Knowhow (GB)from Marco Botti 6 0 0 28 Jun 25
Pasea Grande (GB) 5 0 0 26 Dec 24
Qatar Wave (IRE) 5 0 1 3 Oct 24
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Keady (3); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00140114510541014
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Taryn Langley 15 2 13.3% +30.00
Clifford Lee 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Faleh Bughenaim 12 2 16.7% +16.00
Sean D Bowen 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Darragh Keenan 12 2 16.7% +74.00
Benoit De La Sayette 9 0 0% −9.00
Marco Ghiani 6 0 0% −6.00
Kieran Shoemark 4 1 25% −0.88
Paddy Bradley 4 0 0% −4.00
Abdulla Rashid Al-Hajri 3 0 0% −3.00
Jefferson Smith 3 0 0% −3.00
George Wood 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
12
Archived wins
£177k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 6 wins
Well Enough (IRE) — Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2025 · Class 3
£7,956
Tourist (GB) — Thames Alfa Romeo Slough Handicap Windsor · Aug 2024 · Class 4
£5,653
Rolling The Dice (IRE) — Laithwaites Wine EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · Jul 2021 · Class 4
£5,400
Notable horses
Tourist (GB) Well Enough (IRE) Rolling The Dice (IRE) Swift Winds (IRE) Marwaan (GB) Bomba Del Mundo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodiac (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Mehmas (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,196 runs since 2020 (751 horses).
No Nay Never (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,355 runs since 2018 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,991 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Zarak (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 15.2% of 2,011 runs since 2021 (329 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 369. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.5% from 254. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 202.
The Gurkha (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,029 runs since 2020 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 196 · newest first

The latest 50 of 196 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 September 2020 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Majd Al Kazem (FR)J: Warren Fentiman CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 22/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Majd Al Kazem (FR)J: Clifford Lee Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 10/1
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mystic Ballistic (GB)J: Ivan Rossi Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 200/1
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Amorist (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 2nd 12/1
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pien De Dane (IRE)J: Ivan Rossi Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 3rd 100/1
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Majd Al Kazem (FR)J: George Wood Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 28/1
26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Ghazalia (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tree Wizard (GB)J: Abdulla Rashid Al-Hajri Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 10/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mystic Ballistic (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Weatherbys Stallion Book Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 12/1
15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ghazalia (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 11/1
10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Muchacho (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 200/1
02 Sep 26 Bath Tree Wizard (GB)J: Abdulla Rashid Al-Hajri Bath Country Race Day, What A Way To Make Weekend! EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 16/1
01 Sep 26 Brighton Muchacho (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 4 ran 4th 15/2
26 Aug 26 Catterick Ghazalia (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen Yorkshire Dales Distillery/EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes(for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/1
23 Aug 26 Brighton Tree Wizard (GB)J: Abdulla Rashid Al-Hajri blackmorebuild.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 9/2
25 Jul 26 Lingfield Mystic Ballistic (GB)J: Thomas Greatrex Pristine Homes Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 25/1
17 Jul 26 Newbury Majd Al Kazem (FR)J: Saffie Osborne Bet On The Open With BetVictor Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 12/1
15 Jul 26 Lingfield Mystic Ballistic (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Hamways Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 14/1
20 Jun 26 Newmarket Shavkat (GB)J: Finley Marsh JCB Tele-Handler HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 25/1
19 Jun 26 Newmarket Ragazzo Grandi (IRE)J: George Wood Zyn Pacesetter British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good · 4 ran 4th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 12 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Hilal Kobeissi's strike rate?
Hilal Kobeissi has won 11 of 161 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Hilal Kobeissi in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hilal Kobeissi's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).