Jonathan Burke
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 270 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (653 rides). The rider is in form now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Wetherby (23.1%, n=65), clear of the rider's 12% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.2% (n=653, Fair A/E 0.95), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=1,251, Fair A/E 1.05). Right now the rider is firing: 5 winners from 29 rides in the last 14 days (17.2%, 5.2pts above the 12% baseline). Tom George supplies 14% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.1%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 45 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the thetote.com Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2015, £132,200). The standout partner of the record: Boothill (IRE) — 6 wins from 12 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 5,213 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 5,213 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 April 2012 to 14 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 4) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 14 runs (won 5) · fastest on KTB Speed in 11 runs (won 2) · to 13 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jonathan Burke's strike rate?
- Jonathan Burke has won 626 of 5,213 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jonathan Burke do best at?
- Market Rasen by strike rate: 26 wins from 142 rides (18.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jonathan Burke ride most for?
- Tom George, with 723 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (13.1%).
- Is Jonathan Burke in form?
- In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 17.2%. That is above the baseline of 12% since 2008.
- What is Jonathan Burke's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 5,208 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.