Mr Derek O'Connor
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 80 times a season, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (131 rides).
It is weakest at Roscommon (0% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16% (n=131, Fair A/E 0.88). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 14.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.33 and +12.16 to a £1 stake over 111 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. John E Kiely supplies 6% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (9.9% vs 12.7%, A/E 0.66). The rider also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (17.8%, n=214). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Unibet Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown (Feb 2018, £113,000). The standout partner of the record: Its On The Line (IRE) — 6 wins from 14 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,672 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,672 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Mr Derek O'Connor's strike rate?
- Mr Derek O'Connor has won 182 of 1,429 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mr Derek O'Connor do best at?
- Navan by strike rate: 7 wins from 36 rides (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mr Derek O'Connor ride most for?
- John E Kiely, with 81 rides since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.9%).
- What is Mr Derek O'Connor's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 1,428 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.