Mr Eireann Cagney
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 11.1% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.44). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 14.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.16 and +51.00 to a £1 stake over 188 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Richard Fahey supplies 33% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (10.1% vs 14.3%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (21.2%, n=33) and on Good going (18.2%, n=55). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 9.5% over 42 rides, 4.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.74 across 52 rides (9.6% strike, −24.26 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 238 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 238 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2012 to 16 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr Eireann Cagney's strike rate?
- Mr Eireann Cagney has won 34 of 238 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mr Eireann Cagney do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mr Eireann Cagney ride most for?
- Richard Fahey, with 79 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10.1%).
- What is Mr Eireann Cagney's Fair A/E?
- 1.11, from 238 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.