What is Mr Patrick Millman's strike rate?

Mr Patrick Millman has won 50 of 410 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr Patrick Millman do best at?

Salisbury by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mr Patrick Millman ride most for?

Rod Millman, with 254 rides since 2008 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (11.4%).

What is Mr Patrick Millman's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 406 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr Patrick Millman

410 rides in the lifetime window · 222 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 41 days ago 98% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

50–410

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=410

119 (29%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=406 · 0.96 incl. margin

−25.66

£1 level stake

n=410 at SP · −6.3%

£265k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (41 rides). Rides mostly for Rod Millman — 62% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 410 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 41.2% when favourite Rod Millman: 11.4% from 254 LTO winners: 14.6% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Salisbury (18.2%, n=33), clear of the rider's 12.2% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (6.8% over 44 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.90). Rod Millman supplies 62% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.4%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (17.5%, n=40) and in Class 6 (15.8%, n=177). The market has also underrated the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 1.55 across 145 rides (15.9% strike, +12.18 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 7.3% over 41 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.2%+0.0

n=222 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −13.91

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.6%+2.4

n=41 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −18.15

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.1%−6.1

n=33 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −10.00

When favourite

41.2%

n=34 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +11.51

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.3%−2.9

n=151 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −23.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.5%−3.7

n=71 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +38.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Salisbury 18.2% vs 12.2% · n=33

At Kempton (AW) 6.8% vs 12.2% · n=44

Over 1m5f – 2m 17.5% vs 12.2% · n=40

In Class 6 15.8% vs 12.2% · n=177

On Standard (AW) going 15.9% vs 12.2% · n=145

On Soft going 7.3% vs 12.2% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 402 50 12.4% −17.66

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 145 23 15.9% +12.18

Good to Firm 89 12 13.5% +5.41

Good 73 8 11% −21.75

Good to Soft 49 4 8.2% −16.50

Soft 41 3 7.3% +8.00

Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 44 3 6.8% −26.67

Wolverhampton (AW) 37 6 16.2% −14.15

Newbury 33 4 12.1% −3.00

Salisbury 33 6 18.2% −8.09

Lingfield (AW) 32 4 12.5% −4.25

Southwell (AW) 20 6 30% +16.75

Windsor 19 0 0% −19.00

Nottingham 15 1 6.7% −2.00

Leicester 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Doncaster 13 0 0% −13.00

Beverley 12 2 16.7% +3.00

Sandown 11 1 9.1% −4.50

Goodwood 11 0 0% −11.00

Ffos Las 10 1 10% +0.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 10 2 20% +37.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 177 28 15.8% +49.60

Class 5 152 17 11.2% −28.59

Class 4 56 5 8.9% −21.67

Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 7 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 45 16 35.6% 1.54 +12.01

2nd–3rd fav 101 16 15.8% 0.98 −17.67

4th–6th fav 150 15 10% 1.14 +17.00

7th+ in betting 114 3 2.6% 0.66 −37.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 164 22 13.4% +25.25

6f – 7f 105 9 8.6% −44.42

1m – 1m1f 86 11 12.8% −31.09

1m5f – 2m 40 7 17.5% +33.10

Under 6f 14 1 7.1% −7.50

2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 4 1 25% +2.00

2009 7 1 14.3% −1.50

2010 8 1 12.5% −3.50

2011 18 1 5.6% −9.00

2012 20 2 10% +27.00

2013 71 6 8.5% −43.50

2014 48 6 12.5% −1.75

2015 22 1 4.5% −18.50

2016 14 0 0% −14.00

2017 24 6 25% +14.50

2018 25 3 12% +11.50

2019 30 6 20% +3.26

2020 10 0 0% −10.00

2021 19 2 10.5% −6.00

2022 22 4 18.2% +9.83

2023 14 4 28.6% +3.50

2024 27 5 18.5% +32.50

2025 20 1 5% −15.00

2026 7 0 0% −7.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 383 49 12.8% −1.91

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 150 18 12% −49.75

11-13 runners 129 16 12.4% −29.15

5-7 runners 59 10 16.9% +16.24

14-16 runners 51 6 11.8% +58.00

17+ runners 20 0 0% −20.00

2-4 runners 1 0 0% −1.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mustajed (GB) 26 4 9 4 Sep 12

Masai Moon (GB) 17 2 4 11 Aug 14

Fast Steps (IRE) 12 1 5 3 Aug 26

Master Grey (IRE) 11 3 6 7 Aug 24

Cotton Club (IRE) 10 1 4 28 Aug 17

Hawridge Glory (IRE) 8 2 4 12 Jul 18

Shavansky (GB) 8 1 2 15 Aug 14

Biotic (GB) 7 1 2 22 Sep 18

Concur (IRE) 6 2 2 9 Jan 19

Dance (GB) 6 0 3 27 May 13

Airshow (GB) 5 3 3 13 Dec 24

Singing The Blues (IRE) 5 2 2 13 Aug 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 222 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12172730581815105130

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRod Millman

62% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

Rod Millman 254 29 11.4% −35.51

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

£265k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 6 wins

Dream Harder (IRE) — Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2023 · Class 4

£8,444

Airshow (GB) — Unibet Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jan 2022 · Class 4

£5,338

Fast Steps (IRE) — Corinthian Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Sandown · Aug 2022 · Class 4

£5,338

Notable horses

Mustajed (GB) Master Grey (IRE) Airshow (GB) Masai Moon (GB) Hawridge Glory (IRE) Concur (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alhaarth (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Lujain (USA) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,816 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Royal Applause (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Iceman (GB) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2010 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 33.3% · 4–12

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,644 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 329.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 410 · newest first

The latest 50 of 410 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2008 to 2 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Oct 26 Ascot Bold Impact (IRE)T: Rod Millman Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 5th 12/1

19 Sep 26 Newmarket Bold Impact (IRE)T: Rod Millman Turners Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire (Class 4 Handicap) (Special Rider Conditions)Class 4 · 9f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

31 Aug 26 Epsom Curran (IRE)T: Rod Millman Betfred 'nifty 50' Amateurs' Derby Handicap Stakes (for Gentleman Amateur Jockeys) (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 33/1

21 Aug 26 Salisbury Optimatum (GB)T: Rod Millman Taste The World Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 7th 13/2

03 Aug 26 Windsor Fast Steps (IRE)T: Rod Millman A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 9/2

23 Jul 26 Newbury Just An Hour (IRE)T: Rod Millman Frasers Plus Designer Outlet Swindon Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 13/8F

20 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Rosemary's Rose (IRE)T: Rod Millman Free Bets On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1

18 Dec 25 Southwell (AW) Cable Beach (GB)T: Tom Tate Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 4/1C

11 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Spectacular Style (GB)T: Ian Williams Sky Bet Club Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 10/1

29 Oct 25 Nottingham Fast Steps (IRE)T: Rod Millman Download The PricedUp App AJA Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Jockeys)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 15/2

25 Oct 25 Newbury Beggarman (GB)T: Hughie Morrison Grundon Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 25/1

06 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Star Start (IRE)T: Ruth Carr Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

03 Oct 25 Ascot Tadreeb (IRE)T: Rod Millman Thames Materials Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 11th 9/1

20 Sep 25 Newmarket Mafnood (GB)T: George Baker Turners Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire (Handicap)Class 4 · 9f · Good · 14 ran 14th 22/1

31 Aug 25 Brighton Fen Tiger (IRE)T: Julia & Shelley Birkett Make A Difference Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 7th 13/2

29 Aug 25 Salisbury Silent Flame (GB)T: Rod Millman New Hall Hospital Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 10/3J

25 Aug 25 Epsom Downs Fast Steps (IRE)T: Rod Millman Betfred Nifty 50 Amateurs' Derby Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 5th 6/1

29 Jul 25 Ffos Las Masterdream (FR)T: Neil Mulholland Alan Bennett Racing/Jack Bevan Racing Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

24 Jul 25 Newbury Fast Steps (IRE)T: Rod Millman Hunscote Stud Supports Heros Charity Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

23 Jul 25 Salisbury Monks Mead (GB)T: Mark Usher Highclere Castle Horse Feeds 'Carnarvon' Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Patrick Millman's strike rate?: Mr Patrick Millman has won 50 of 410 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr Patrick Millman do best at?: Salisbury by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr Patrick Millman ride most for?: Rod Millman, with 254 rides since 2008 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (11.4%).
What is Mr Patrick Millman's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 406 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.